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21.07.2021
19:50
Schedule for tomorrow, Thursday, July 22, 2021
Time Country Event Period Previous value Forecast
08:30 (GMT) United Kingdom MPC Member Dr Ben Broadbent Speaks    
10:00 (GMT) United Kingdom CBI industrial order books balance July 19 16
11:45 (GMT) Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision 0% 0%
12:30 (GMT) U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims July 3241 3100
12:30 (GMT) U.S. Chicago Federal National Activity Index June 0.29  
12:30 (GMT) U.S. Initial Jobless Claims July 360 350
12:30 (GMT) Eurozone ECB Press Conference    
14:00 (GMT) Eurozone Consumer Confidence July -3.3 -2.5
14:00 (GMT) U.S. Leading Indicators June 1.3% 0.9%
14:00 (GMT) U.S. Existing Home Sales June 5.8 5.9
23:01 (GMT) United Kingdom Gfk Consumer Confidence July -9 -8
19:00
DJIA +0.77% 34,778.35 +266.36 Nasdaq +0.69% 14,598.26 +99.39 S&P +0.73% 4,354.68 +31.62
16:02
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 6,998.28 +117.15 +1.70% DAX 15,422.50 +206.23 +1.36% CAC 40 6,464.48 +117.63 +1.85%
15:03
Australia: Unemployment rate drops to the lowest in over a decade - UOB

FXStreet reports that economist at UOB Group Lee Sue Ann reviews the latest labour market figures in Australia.

“The Australian economy added 29,100 jobs last month, much better than expectations for the addition of 20,000 jobs following the increase of 115,200 jobs previously. As was the case in May, employment gains were driven by full-time, up 51,600, while part-time jobs fell 22,500. This may well indicate conversion of part-time jobs into full-time jobs."

“The participation rate held at an elevated 66.2%, close to the record-high of 66.3% seen in March. Accompanying the rise in employment, the unemployment rate fell 0.2ppts to 4.9%.”

“In all, we strongly believe that monetary policy is not going to be materially shifted until there is some sign that the unemployment rate has fallen sufficiently to start pushing up wages."

14:36
EIA’s report reveals unexpected build in U.S. crude oil inventories

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported on Wednesday that crude inventories rose by 2.108 million barrels in the week ended July 16, following a decrease of 7.897 million barrels in the previous week. Economists had forecast a draw of 4.466 million barrels.

At the same time, gasoline stocks fell by 0.121 million barrels, while analysts had expected a fall of 1.043 million barrels. Distillate stocks declined by 1.349 million barrels, while analysts had forecast an advance of 0.557 million barrels.

Meanwhile, oil production in the U.S. remained unchanged at 11.400 million barrels a day.

U.S. crude oil imports averaged 7.1 million barrels per day last week, increased by 0.9 million barrels per day from the previous week.

14:30
U.S.: Crude Oil Inventories, July 2.108 (forecast -4.466)
14:11
EUR/USD: Knee-jerk spikes towards 1.1850 are to be sold post-ECB - Credit Suisse

eFXdata reports that analysts at Credit Suisse offer their outlook for EUR/USD ahead of tomorrow's ECB policy meeting.

"Ahead of this week’s ECB rate decision on 22 July, market pricing in terms of EUR implied volatility and risk reversals is exceptionally tepid despite some market participants raising the expectation that the ECB needs to deliver some form of more concrete policy agenda to back up the new objective introduced via the Strategy Review. This suggests that, in practice, the market is not expecting any EUR knee-jerk move higher on the risk of the ECB being insufficiently dovish." 

"We concur with the market’s benign pricing for this week’s ECB meeting, and remain locked into our short EUR/USD position from 1.2000, recommending that knee-jerk spikes towards 1.1850 are to be sold."

13:49
ECB: No changes to the accommodative stance expected - UOB

FXStreet reports that Lee Sue Ann, an economist at UOB Group, notes that the ECB is expected to keep the current stance at its next event.

“The ECB’s latest announcement - that purchases under the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP) over the coming quarter will continue to be conducted at a significantly higher pace than during the first months of this year - reinforces our view that the ECB will remain highly accommodative for longer.”

13:32
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.45%, Nasdaq +0.03%, S&P +0.31%
13:25
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.22%, NASDAQ futures -0.12%

U.S. stock-index futures were mixed on Wednesday, as investors weighed a raft of mostly upbeat corporate earnings and potential impact of rising coronavirus infections on global economic recovery.


Global Stocks:

Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Nikkei

27,548.00

+159.84

+0.58%

Hang Seng

27,224.58

-34.67

-0.13%

Shanghai

3,562.66

+25.87

+0.73%

S&P/ASX

7,308.70

+56.50

+0.78%

FTSE

6,986.44

+105.31

+1.53%

CAC

6,428.49

+81.64

+1.29%

DAX

15,334.22

+117.95

+0.78%

Crude oil

$68.37


+1.74%

Gold

$1,797.70


-0.76%

12:51
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


ALCOA INC.

AA

35.26

0.31(0.89%)

26761

ALTRIA GROUP INC.

MO

47.35

0.14(0.30%)

5177

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

3,571.50

-1.69(-0.05%)

20281

American Express Co

AXP

170.54

1.67(0.99%)

3210

Apple Inc.

AAPL

145.97

-0.18(-0.12%)

757401

AT&T Inc

T

28.01

0.10(0.36%)

76338

Boeing Co

BA

218.7

1.55(0.71%)

75553

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

208.75

0.79(0.38%)

52004

Chevron Corp

CVX

97.65

1.12(1.16%)

33553

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

53.5

-0.08(-0.15%)

15047

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

66.8

0.51(0.77%)

56377

Deere & Company, NYSE

DE

349.15

1.12(0.32%)

927

E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Co

DD

74.2

0.49(0.66%)

1684

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

56.63

0.67(1.20%)

110216

Facebook, Inc.

FB

341

-0.66(-0.19%)

51752

FedEx Corporation, NYSE

FDX

298.8

0.78(0.26%)

19256

Ford Motor Co.

F

14.08

0.17(1.22%)

501041

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

33.38

0.43(1.31%)

68959

General Electric Co

GE

12.73

0.03(0.24%)

177018

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

56.55

0.40(0.71%)

65000

Goldman Sachs

GS

367.5

2.74(0.75%)

13053

Google Inc.

GOOG

2,616.00

-6.03(-0.23%)

5666

HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC.

HON

227.7

-1.96(-0.85%)

6829

Intel Corp

INTC

55.2

-0.04(-0.07%)

60883

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

140.18

0.21(0.15%)

19899

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

170.19

1.74(1.03%)

33186

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

151.4

1.69(1.13%)

46086

McDonald's Corp

MCD

235.5

1.23(0.53%)

1362

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

76.49

0.32(0.42%)

3676

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

278.7

-0.62(-0.22%)

79170

Nike

NKE

160

0.26(0.16%)

1426

Pfizer Inc

PFE

41.22

0.17(0.41%)

173548

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

140.27

0.58(0.42%)

1784

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

118.01

0.59(0.50%)

13021

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

658.88

-1.62(-0.25%)

132098

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

57.25

1.42(2.54%)

360785

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

67.79

-0.15(-0.22%)

11979

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

56.66

1.08(1.94%)

394994

Visa

V

243.5

0.80(0.33%)

4763

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

142.05

0.18(0.13%)

4641

Walt Disney Co

DIS

177.01

0.26(0.15%)

10853

12:43
Canada’s new housing prices advance 0.6 percent in June

Statistics Canada reported on Wednesday the New Housing Price Index (NHPI) went up 0.6 percent m-o-m in June, following a 1.4 percent m-o-m gain in the previous month. This was the smallest increase in six months.

According to the report, new home prices rose in 20 out of the 27 census metropolitan areas (CMAs) surveyed in June, with Calgary (+3.5 percent m-o-m) recording the largest monthly advance in new home prices, as employment gains drove up the demand for housing by allowing more people to enter the market. Meanwhile, Vancouver (-0.3 percent m-o-m) was the only CMA that registered a drop in new home prices in June.

In y-o-y terms, NHPI surged 11.9 percent in June, following an 11.3 percent jump in the previous month.

12:31
Republican Senator Rob Portman confirms that GOP will block vote on bipartisan infrastructure package today - CNBC

  • Says the bill is still being negotiated
  • Expects it to be ready by later this week

12:30
Canada: New Housing Price Index, YoY, June 11.9%
12:30
Canada: New Housing Price Index, MoM, June 0.6%
12:21
European session review: USD gains amid persistent Delta variant concerns
TimeCountryEventPeriodPrevious valueForecastActual
06:00United KingdomPSNB, blnJune-24.3-21.5-22.8

USD rose against other major currencies in the European session on Wednesday as lingering worries about the impact of rising coronavirus infections on global economic recovery continued to fuel demand for the safe-haven dollar.

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), measuring the U.S. currency's value relative to a basket of foreign currencies, edged up 0.10% to 93.06.

Driven by the Delta variant, COVID-19 cases continued to climb across the world. South Korea and Thailand reported record infections. The chief of the Japanese government’s anti-virus task force warned that new cases in the country could top the peak of the third infection wave in early August, before the end of the Olympic Games in Tokyo.

Investors are worried that growing infections would trigger the imposition of new strict restrictions that could hurt the global economic recovery.

11:41
Company News: Verizon (VZ) quarterly results beat analysts’ estimates

Verizon (VZ) reported Q2 FY 2021 earnings of $1.37 per share (versus $1.18 per share in Q2 FY 2020), beating analysts’ consensus estimate of $1.30 per share.

The company’s quarterly revenues amounted to $33.764 bln (+10.9% y/y), beating analysts’ consensus estimate of $32.733 bln.

The company also issued upside guidance for FY 2021, projecting EPS of $5.25-5.35 versus analysts’ consensus estimate of $5.14 and its prior guidance of $5.00-5.15.

VZ rose to $56.25 (+1.21%) in pre-market trading.

11:31
BoJ keeps monetary conditions on hold - UOB

FXStreet reports that senior economist at UOB Group Alvin Liew assesses the latest BoJ meeting.

“The Bank of Japan (BOJ), as widely expected, decided to keep its policy measures unchanged at its Monetary Policy Meeting in July. And in its July 2021 outlook for economic activity and prices (The Bank’s View), the BOJ also kept its cautious recovery outlook but downgraded its FY2021 growth forecast slightly although the easing growth trend remains intact until FY2023. The most notable change was the inflation forecast upgrade for FY2021 (due to higher energy prices) but the persistent view of well below 2% inflation forecasts in FY2022/2023 remained intact.”

“July’s policy inaction and the updated inflation outlook did not change our view that the BOJ will not be tightening anytime soon and will maintain its massive stimulus in the next few years, possibly at least until FY2023. Markets are increasing convinced that the BOJ has reached the end of the line on normalization and will remain in a holding pattern on policy until at least April 2023 when Governor Kuroda is scheduled to leave the BOJ.”

11:25
Company News: Coca-Cola (KO) quarterly results beat analysts’ expectations

Coca-Cola (KO) reported Q2 FY 2021 earnings of $0.68 per share (versus $0.42 per share in Q2 FY 2020), beating analysts’ consensus estimate of $0.56 per share.

The company’s quarterly revenues amounted to $10.100 bln (+40.3% y/y), beating analysts’ consensus estimate of $9.300 bln.

The company also issued upside guidance for FY 2021, projecting EPS of +13-15% y/y to $2.20-2.24 versus analysts’ consensus estimate of $2.18.

KO rose to $56.92 (+1.95%) in pre-market trading.

11:15
U.S. weekly mortgage applications drop 4 percent

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reported on Wednesday the mortgage application volume in the U.S. fell 4.0 percent in the week ended July 16, following a 16.0 percent climb in the previous week.

According to the report, refinance applications declined 2.8 percent, while applications to purchase a home plunged 6.4 percent.

Meanwhile, the average fixed 30-year mortgage rate rose from 3.09 percent to 3.11 percent. This was the first increase in the last three weeks.

“Limited inventory and higher prices are keeping some prospective homebuyers out of the market,” noted Joel Kan, MBA’s associate vice president of economic and industry forecasting. “Refinance activity fell over the week, but because rates have stayed relatively low, the pace of applications was close to its highest level since early May 2021.”

10:55
Company News: Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) quarterly results beat analysts’ forecasts

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) reported Q2 FY 2021 earnings of $2.48 per share (versus $1.67 per share in Q2 FY 2020), beating analysts’ consensus estimate of $2.29 per share.

The company’s quarterly revenues amounted to $23.312 bln (+27.1% y/y), beating analysts’ consensus estimate of $22.539 bln.

The company also issued raised guidance for FY 2021, projecting EPS of $9.60-9.70 versus its previous guidance of $9.42-$9.57 and analysts’ consensus estimate of $9.55 and revenues of $92.5-93.3 bln versus its previous guidance of $90.6-$91.6 bln and analysts’ consensus estimate of $92.55 bln.

JNJ rose to $170.50 (+1.22%) in pre-market trading.

10:50
Company News: Netflix (NFLX) quarterly earnings miss analysts’ estimates

Netflix (NFLX) reported Q2 FY 2021 earnings of $2.97 per share (versus $1.59 per share in Q2 FY 2020), missing analysts’ consensus estimate of $3.16 per share.

The company’s quarterly revenues amounted to $7.342 bln (+19.4% y/y), roughly in line with analysts’ consensus estimate of $7.325 bln.

Its global streaming paid net adds were +1.54 mln versus +1.00 mln prior guidance.

The company issued guidance for Q3 FY 2021, projecting EPS of $2.55 versus analysts’ consensus estimate of $2.18 and revenues of $7.477 bln versus analysts’ consensus estimate of $7.48 bln. It also guided to Q3 FY 2021 net adds of 3.5 mln.

NFLX rose to $531.88 (+0.16%) in pre-market trading.

10:36
USD/JPY: Downside momentum alleviated above 110.20 - UOB

FXStreet reports that UOB Group’s FX Strategists note USD/JPY faces a tough resistance in the 110.20 region in the near term.

24-hour view: “USD traded between 109.32 and 109.95 yesterday before settling on a firm note at 109.84. Upward momentum has improved a tad and USD is likely to edge higher but a break of the strong resistance at 110.20 is unlikely.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “USD dropped to 109.05 on Monday (19 Jul) before rebounding quickly. While downward momentum has eased, only a break of the strong resistance at 110.20 would indicate that USD is unlikely to weaken further. In order to rejuvenate the flagging downward momentum, USD has to move and stay below 109.50 within these 1 to 2 days or a break of 110.20 would not be surprising.”

10:21
Gold to "rebound sharply" towards $2000 - Goldman Sachs

FXStreet reports that analysts at Goldman Sachs expect commodities to "rebound sharply" following their recent sell-offs while targeting gold to reach $2000 over the coming months.

“Commodities to rebound sharply unless there are widespread lockdowns due to the spreading delta mutant coronavirus.” 

“Do not expect widespread lockdowns.”

“Even if they were it delays the rapid bounce back by six to eight weeks.” 

“Forecast gold at US$2,000/oz in 3, 6 and 12-month horizons.”

09:58
USD/CNH faces extra gains above 6.5000 – UOB

FXStreet reports that FX Strategists at UOB Group said that USD/CNH is expected to gather extra upside traction once 6.5000 is cleared.

Next 1-3 weeks: “The current movement is viewed as part of a consolidation and USD is likely to trade sideways for now. Looking ahead, the upside risk appears to be greater but USD has to close above 6.5000 before a sustained advance can be expected. The prospect for a sustained advance is not high for now but it would remain intact as long as USD does not move below 6.4680 within these few days.”

09:40
Central banks will accelerate rise of China's yuan - OMFIF report

Reuters reports that a Global Public Investor survey showed that the Chinese yuan is on course to become a much more influential part of the global financial system with almost a third of central banks planning to add the currency to their reserve assets.

Survey, published annually by the London-based OMFIF think tank, showed 30% of central banks plan to increase yuan holdings over the next 12-24 months, compared to a much smaller 10% last year.

Other eye-catching findings from the report showed that 75% of central banks now think monetary policy is having excessive influence on financial markets, although only 42% think these policies needs to be actively reconsidered.

In stark contrast to the yuan, 20% of central banks plan to reduce their holdings of the U.S. dollar over the next 12-24 months and 18% plan to reduce their euro holdings over the same time period.

09:23
Construction output in Italy increased significantly in May

According to the report from Istat, in May 2021, estimates for construction output decreased by 3.6% in the month-on-month series, after 4 months of growth. Despite being negative in the early estimate, April 2021 recorded a month-on-month increase after revision.

In the three months to May 2021, the seasonally adjusted index of production in construction was up 7.8% when compared with the previous three months.

Year on year, the unadjusted index for construction output grew by 32.6%, while the calendar adjusted index (21 calendar working days versus 20 days in May 2020) rose by 37.3%.

In the first five months of 2021, construction output rose by 46.3% in the unadjusted series and increased by 45.4% in the calendar adjusted series.

09:01
AUD/USD: A break below 0.7300 remains on the cards – UOB

FXStreet reports that FX Strategists at UOB Group said that AUD/USD could breach the key 0.7300 mark in the next weeks.

Next 1-3 weeks: “AUD fell to an 8-month low yesterday as it tested the major support at 0.7300 (low has been 0.7300). While downward momentum remains strong, the sharp and rapid decline over the past few days are deeply oversold. That said, a break of 0.7300 is not ruled out but the pace of any further weakness is likely to be slower and 0.7270 is expected to offer solid support. On the upside, a breach of 0.7395 would indicate that the current weakness in AUD has run its course.”

08:41
Europe’s regional debt market is on a fast track back to normal

Bloomberg reports that Europe’s market for state and local debt is on its way back to pre-pandemic size.

As businesses reopen and tax revenues fill government coffers, finance officials are winding down their emergency programs and reining in expansive borrowing. Bond sales have already dropped dramatically from last year’s peak, and experts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. and UniCredit Bank predict the market will soon return to levels similar to 2019.

The shrinking market is bound to frustrate government debt investors, who view state-level European debt as a good way to squeeze a little extra yield out of ultra-safe issuers. 

“Issuance volumes will inevitably decline,” said Matthias Dax, a credit analyst for sub-sovereigns, agencies and ESG at UniCredit in Munich. “It was only an extraordinary effect of the coronavirus crisis.”

08:22
Italy's industrial sales declined in May - Istat

According to the report from Istat, in May 2021 estimates for seasonally adjusted index of industrial turnover decreased by 1.0% in the month on month series (-1.9% in the domestic market and +0.7% in the non-domestic one); in the three months to May 2021 total industrial turnover levels increased by 4.7% when compared with the previous three-month period (+5.4% in the domestic market and +3.2% in the non-domestic one).

Year on year the calendar adjusted industrial turnover index grew by 40.2% comparing to May 2020 (+41.0% in the domestic market and +38.6% in the non-domestic one). Calendar working days in May 2021 were 21, one more than May 2020.

Looking at the volume of turnover for the manufacturing sector, the seasonally adjusted index contracted by 1.4% in May 2021, while the calendar adjusted one rose by 33.8% compared with the same month of the previous year.

08:00
BlackRock upgrades Japan stocks, says they’re attractive despite Covid risks

CNBC reports that BlackRock upgraded Japanese stocks, saying that earnings growth will be lifted in the second half of this year, even as its “virus dynamics” improve.

The emergence of Covid cases surrounding the Olympics held in Japan is “obviously a risk,” Thomas Taw, an investment strategist at BlackRock, said.

Japan has put Tokyo under a state of emergency till August 22 and no spectators are allowed at the games.

However, Taw pointed to conditions that favor the Japanese markets despite the heightened risks from Covid during the Olympics.

“There’s obviously a risk in terms of what happens with the Olympics,” Taw said. However, he said it was a “temporary headwind.” 

For one, valuations are “a little bit more appealing in a place like Japan,” and the country’s central bank will continue to be accommodative, Taw said. He is also positive on earnings growth for companies there.

“Over the second half of the year, I expect some money will rotate into places like Japan, and Europe, which we have upgraded to overweight.”

07:41
CAD: Undervalued around current level - Credit Agricole

eFXdata reports that Credit Agricole CIB Research discusses CAD outlook and sees a scope for a bounce (lower USD/CAD).

"The discrepancy between the still relatively hawkish market rate hike expectations and the depressed level of the CAD is also among the main reasons why our FAST FX fair value model suggests that the CAD is looking undervalued. Looking ahead, investors will focus on the release of Canadian retail sales. To the extent that the data does not disappoint considerably, rates markets will continue to price in future BoC rate hikes," CACIB adds.

07:21
Covid appears to be the ‘Achilles’ heel’ for Southeast Asian economies - Jefferies

CNBC reports that Sean Darby, global head of equity strategy at Jefferies, said that the failure to contain Covid infections is impeding the recovery of many Southeast Asian economies.

“Indonesia, like many of the ASEAN economies, has yet to really get to grips with the Covid-19 virus,” Darby told CNBC.

“That seems to be the Achilles heel for the ASEAN economies at the moment,” he said referring to Association of Southeast Asian Nations regional grouping.

Goldman Sachs recently slashed its 2021 growth forecasts for major economies in Southeast Asia as a surge in the more infectious delta variant triggered daily record highs in infections in Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand these past weeks.

The surge in infections regionally has also called into question the credit ratings of South East Asia’s economies.

Moody’s Investors Service warned Monday that resurgent Covid infections in Indonesia could undermine the country’s credit rating.

Days earlier, S&P Global Ratings issued similar comments, warning in a July 15 report that Indonesia’s “existing credit buffers on ratings will be chipped away if ongoing lockdowns are prolonged.”

07:00
Asian session review: the dollar rose against major currencies

TimeCountryEventPeriodPrevious valueForecastActual
01:30AustraliaLeading IndexJune-0.06% -0.07%
01:30AustraliaRetail Sales, M/MJune0.4%-0.5%-1.8%
06:00United KingdomPSNB, blnJune-24.3-21.5-22.8


During today's Asian trading, the US dollar rose against the euro, the pound and the japanese yen.

The US dollar index is holding near the highest in 4 months against the background of steady demand for safe haven assets due to continuing concerns about the consequences of the growth of new coronavirus infections for the global economic recovery.

The focus of traders ' attention this week is the meeting of the European Central Bank (ECB), the results of which will be summed up on Thursday.

The Australian US dollar fell to its lowest level since the end of November 2020 amid a strengthening US dollar and a flight from risk due to worries about the rapid spread of a new strain of coronavirus. Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison suggested that the country will need to introduce strict restrictions this winter, while noting that 65-70% of the country's population needs to be vaccinated to stop lockdowns.

The ICE index, which tracks the dynamics of the dollar against six currencies (euro, swiss franc, yen, canadian dollar, pound sterling and swedish krona), rose by 0.15%.

06:43
Brent: Here’s why oil could hit $80 by year end – JP Morgan

FXStreet reports that analysts at JP Morgan discuss Brent oil prospects.

"The upcycle in energy prices is supported by a surge in demand as the world emerges from the pandemic and by “the unintended consequences of ESG [environmental, social and governance] and energy and transition policies. Such policies are “reducing fossil energy capacity faster than demand can switch to renewables.”

“Oil to surge beyond $80/barrel for Brent by year-end. Its 2022 year-end target is $62/barrel. “

“There is a risk of oil prices overshooting as the oil and gas industry reaches a tipping point due to chronic underinvestment.”

06:39
Options levels on wednesday, July 21, 2021 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1920 (1353)

$1.1885 (1669)

$1.1856 (177)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1762

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1738 (2005)

$1.1710 (5472)

$1.1675 (10614)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date August, 6 is 61807 contracts (according to data from July, 20) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1700 (10614);


GBP/USD

$1.3867 (728)

$1.3826 (375)

$1.3789 (107)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3598

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3549 (1157)

$1.3522 (822)

$1.3492 (969)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date August, 6 is 11822 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4000 (1379);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date August, 6 is 16739 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3950 (1618);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.42 versus 1.42 from the previous trading day according to data from July, 20

 

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

06:20
UK public borrowing falls to 22.8 billion pounds in June

According to the report from Office for National Statistics, public sector net borrowing (excluding public sector banks, PSNB ex) was estimated to have been £22.8 billion in June 2021; this was the second-highest June borrowing since monthly records began in 1993, £5.5 billion less than in June 2020.

Central government receipts in June 2021 were estimated to have been £62.2 billion, £9.5 billion more than in June 2020, while central government bodies spent £84.1 billion, £2.5 billion more than in June 2020.

Public sector net borrowing (PSNB ex) was estimated to have been £69.5 billion in the financial year-to-June 2021; this was the second-highest financial year-to-June borrowing since monthly records began in 1993, £49.8 billion less than in the same period last year.

Public sector net borrowing (PSNB ex) in the financial year ending (FYE) March 2021 was estimated to have been £297.7 billion, revised down by £1.5 billion from last month’s provisional estimate but still the highest borrowing since financial year records began in FYE March 1946.

Public sector net debt (excluding public sector banks, PSND ex) was £2,218.2 billion at the end of June 2021 or around 99.7% of GDP, the highest ratio since the 102.5% recorded in March 1961.

06:03
United Kingdom: PSNB, bln, June -22.8 (forecast -21.5)
02:30
Commodities. Daily history for Tuesday, July 20, 2021
Raw materials Closed Change, %
Brent 68.67 -0.51
Silver 24.906 -0.99
Gold 1810.107 -0.13
Palladium 2634.64 1.53
01:30
Australia: Retail Sales, M/M, June -1.8% (forecast -0.5%)
00:54
Australia: Leading Index, June -0.07%
00:30
Schedule for today, Wednesday, July 21, 2021
Time Country Event Period Previous value Forecast
01:30 (GMT) Australia Leading Index June -0.06%  
01:30 (GMT) Australia Retail Sales, M/M June 0.4% -0.5%
06:00 (GMT) United Kingdom PSNB, bln June -24.3 -21.5
12:30 (GMT) Canada New Housing Price Index, YoY June 11.3%  
12:30 (GMT) Canada New Housing Price Index, MoM June 1.4%  
14:30 (GMT) U.S. Crude Oil Inventories July -7.897 -4.167
00:15
Currencies. Daily history for Tuesday, July 20, 2021
Pare Closed Change, %
AUDUSD 0.73272 -0.2
EURJPY 129.401 0.22
EURUSD 1.17799 -0.14
GBPJPY 149.663 0.01
GBPUSD 1.36249 -0.34
NZDUSD 0.69165 -0.37
USDCAD 1.26733 -0.56
USDCHF 0.92099 0.43
USDJPY 109.844 0.37

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