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19.10.2017
22:28
Commodities. Daily history for Oct 19’2017:

(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Oil 51.40 -1.23%

Gold 1,291.90 +0.69%

22:27
Stocks. Daily history for Oct 19’2017:

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei +85.47 21448.52 +0.40%

TOPIX +5.40 1730.04 +0.31%

Hang Seng -552.67 28159.09 -1.92%

CSI 300 -12.91 3931.25 -0.33%

Euro Stoxx 50 -17.57 3602.08 -0.49%

FTSE 100 -19.83 7523.04 -0.26%

DAX -52.93 12990.10 -0.41%

CAC 40 -15.52 5368.29 -0.29%

DJIA +5.44 23163.04 +0.02%

S&P 500 +0.84 2562.10 +0.03%

NASDAQ -19.15 6605.07 -0.29%

S&P/TSX +35.84 15818.00 +0.23%

22:26
Currencies. Daily history for Oct 19’2017:

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1845 +0,46%

GBP/USD $1,3151 -0,39%

USD/CHF Chf0,97603 -0,48%

USD/JPY Y112,56 -0,35%

EUR/JPY Y133,34 +0,11%

GBP/JPY Y148,03 -0,74%

AUD/USD $0,7877 +0,37%

NZD/USD $0,7026 -1,86%

USD/CAD C$1,24848 +0,19%

22:06
Schedule for today, Friday, Oct 20’2017 (GMT0)

00:45 New Zealand Visitor Arrivals September 5.80% 3.10%

09:00 Germany Producer Price Index (MoM) September 0.2% 0.1%

09:00 Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) September 2.6% 2.9%

11:00 Eurozone Current account, unadjusted, bln August 32.5 26.2

11:30 United Kingdom PSNB, bln September -5.09 -5.7

15:30 Canada Retail Sales YoY August 7.8%

15:30 Canada Retail Sales, m/m August 0.4% 0.5%

15:30 Canada Retail Sales ex Autos, m/m August 0.2% 0.3%

15:30 Canada Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, y/y September 0.9%

15:30 Canada Consumer price index, y/y September 1.4% 1.6%

15:30 Canada Consumer Price Index m / m September 0.1% 0.3%

17:00 U.S. Existing Home Sales September 5.35 5.30

20:00 U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count October 743

21:00 U.S. FOMC Member Mester Speaks

21:45
New Zealand: Visitor Arrivals, September 3.10%
20:09
The major US stock indexes finished trading in different directions

Major US stock indexes completed the trading session without a single dynamic against the backdrop of the fall in Apple shares and a number of weak corporate results.

A certain influence on the course of trading was provided by the US data. The Ministry of Labor reported that the number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits fell to its lowest level for more than 44 years in the past week, indicating a rebound in employment growth after the decline associated with a decline in employment in September. Primary claims for unemployment benefits fell by 22,000 to 222,000, seasonally adjusted for the week to October 4, the lowest level since March 1973. Data for the previous week were revised, and showed 1000 more initial hits than previously reported.

At the same time, the report submitted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia showed that the index of business activity in the production sector increased in October, reaching a level of 27.9 points compared to 23.8 points in September. Economists had expected a decline to 22 points.

In addition, the index of leading indicators from the Conference Board for the US fell by 0.2 percent in September to 128.6, after an increase of 0.4 percent in August and 0.3 percent in July. "The index fell for the first time in the past 12 months, partly as a result of the temporary impact of hurricanes," said Ataman Ozildirim, director of business cycles at the Conference Board. - The source of weakness was focused on the labor market, while most of the components of the index continued to make a positive contribution. Despite the decline in September, the long-term trend of LEI remains in line with the continued steady growth of the US economy in the second half of the year. "

Most components of the DOW index finished trading in positive territory (20 out of 30). The leader of growth was the shares of The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV, + 2.28%). Outsider were the shares of Apple Inc. (AAPL, -2.60%).

Most sectors of the S & P index recorded a decline. The largest decrease was in consumer goods (-1.3%). The utilities sector grew most (+ 0.7%).

At closing:

DJIA + 0.04% 23,166.69 +9.09

Nasdaq -0.29% 6,605.07 -19.15

S & P + 0.03% 2.562.11 + 0.85

19:00
DJIA -0.05% 23,144.92 -12.68 Nasdaq -0.43% 6,595.90 -28.32 S&P -0.05% 2,559.9 -1.35
16:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 -19.83 7523.04 -0.26% DAX -52.93 12990.10 -0.41% CAC 40 -15.52 5368.29 -0.29%
15:05
AUD/CAD 1H TIME FRAME CHART

As we can see on 1 hour time frame chart, the price is about to hit our downside trend line.



In this way, we can be attentive to two scenarios. If the price breaks our trend line and if as the next h1 candles close above the same line, then we can expect a bullish move to values close to 0.9868 by stopping slightly below the trend line.


Other scenario, if the price shows signs of downward rejection of this same line then it may indicate a possible new downward impulse thus forming a lower low relative to the previous one.

14:41
Russia's Putin says new U.S. sanctions were designed to squeeze Russia out of European energy markets, force Europe to buy U.S. LNG
14:00
U.S.: Leading Indicators , September -0.2% (forecast 0.1%)
13:46
Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

EURUSD: 1.1600 (EUR 320m) 1.1700 (665m) 1.1750 (725m) 1.1765 (715m) 1.2000 (1.42bln)

USDJPY: 110.00-05 (USD 905m) 111.30 (350m) 111.50 (505m) 112.20 (370m) 112.30(320m) 112.50 (445m) 113.00-10 (855m) 113.95-00 (560m)

GBPUSD: 1.3170 (GBP 470m) 1.3250 (265m) 1.3480 (400m) 1.3495-00 (500m)

USDCHF: 0.9600 (USD 400m)

AUDUSD: 0.7500(AUD 670m) 0.7700 (325m) 0.7800 (360m) 0.7900 (405m)

USDCAD: 1.2400 (490m) 1.2500 (890m)

AUDNZD: 1.1015 (540m)

AUDJPY: 87.50 (230m)

13:44
Brussels - British PM May says continued cooperation with Europe must be at heart of future relations
13:31
U.S. Stocks open: Dow -0.24%, Nasdaq -0.62%, S&P -0.37%
13:21
Before the bell: S&P futures -0.44%, NASDAQ futures -0.61%

U.S. stock-index futures signaled that equities would retreat from their freshly minted record highs at today's opening bell.


Global Stocks:

Nikkei 21,448.52 +85.47 +0.40%

Hang Seng 28,159.09 -552.67 -1.92%

Shanghai 3,370.10 -11.70 -0.35%

S&P/ASX 5,896.13 +5.65 +0.10%

FTSE 7,500.33 -42.54 -0.56%

CAC 5,347.25 -36.56 -0.68%

DAX 12,938.63 -104.40 -0.80%

Crude $51.25 (-1.52%)

Gold $1,287.30 (+0.34%)

12:52
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


ALCOA INC.

AA

46.25

-1.50(-3.14%)

5806

ALTRIA GROUP INC.

MO

64.1

-0.71(-1.10%)

40703

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

989

-8.00(-0.80%)

19466

American Express Co

AXP

89.54

-2.54(-2.76%)

29442

Apple Inc.

AAPL

157.15

-2.61(-1.63%)

484349

AT&T Inc

T

35.87

0.16(0.45%)

137912

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

16.28

0.11(0.68%)

86486

Boeing Co

BA

257.1

-2.94(-1.13%)

11634

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

130.02

-1.27(-0.97%)

5126

Chevron Corp

CVX

117.6

-0.55(-0.47%)

3554

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

33.47

-0.08(-0.24%)

4398

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

72.44

-0.68(-0.93%)

33989

Deere & Company, NYSE

DE

129.33

0.61(0.47%)

100

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

82.48

-0.28(-0.34%)

3159

Facebook, Inc.

FB

174.65

-1.38(-0.78%)

97961

Ford Motor Co.

F

12.12

-0.07(-0.57%)

8995

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

14.7

-0.13(-0.88%)

25959

General Electric Co

GE

23.03

-0.09(-0.39%)

76848

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

44.8

-0.32(-0.71%)

13269

Goldman Sachs

GS

239.41

-2.62(-1.08%)

6609

Google Inc.

GOOG

984

-8.81(-0.89%)

3050

Hewlett-Packard Co.

HPQ

21.65

-0.07(-0.32%)

2030

Home Depot Inc

HD

162.7

-0.75(-0.46%)

3732

Intel Corp

INTC

39.85

-0.40(-0.99%)

45004

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

159

-0.53(-0.33%)

58797

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

97.23

-0.76(-0.78%)

29356

McDonald's Corp

MCD

165.3

-0.47(-0.28%)

1836

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

63.16

-0.35(-0.55%)

3595

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

77.28

-0.33(-0.43%)

39106

Nike

NKE

51.4

-0.90(-1.72%)

47074

Pfizer Inc

PFE

35.73

-0.10(-0.28%)

5286

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

91.7

-0.38(-0.41%)

6456

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

54.95

-0.26(-0.47%)

3372

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

355.61

-4.04(-1.12%)

59504

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

46.24

-0.16(-0.34%)

2042

Travelers Companies Inc

TRV

129.99

-0.03(-0.02%)

4045

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

17.88

-0.14(-0.78%)

18278

United Technologies Corp

UTX

119.14

-0.04(-0.03%)

1843

UnitedHealth Group Inc

UNH

204.09

-1.14(-0.56%)

330

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

49.65

1.00(2.06%)

243891

Visa

V

107.31

-0.49(-0.45%)

10407

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

86

-0.22(-0.26%)

7125

Walt Disney Co

DIS

98

-0.25(-0.25%)

3845

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

32.1

-0.22(-0.68%)

100

12:49
Rating reiterations before the market open

Facebook (FB) reiterated with a Buy at Stifel; target $200

12:48
Downgrades before the market open

NIKE (NKE) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman

12:47
Manufacturing firms reported continued growth in Philadelphia region

Manufacturing firms reported continued growth in regional manufacturing in October. The survey's current indicators for general activity, new orders, shipments, and employment all remained positive this month. Both of the survey's current labor market indicators showed notable improvement. The indexes assessing the six-month outlook suggest that firms remained optimistic about future growth.

The index for current manufacturing activity in the region increased 4 points to a reading of 27.9 and is now at its highest reading since May (see Chart 1). More than 39 percent of the firms indicated increases in activity this month, while 11 percent reported decreases. Both the new orders and shipments indexes remained positive but fell this month, decreasing 10 points and 13 points, respectively. Both the unfilled orders and delivery times indexes were positive for the 12th consecutive month, suggesting longer delivery times and an increase in unfilled orders.

12:45
US initial jobless claims declined more than in the previous week

In the week ending October 14, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 222,000, a decrease of 22,000 from the previous week's revised level. This is the lowest level for initial claims since March 31, 1973 when it was 222,000. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 243,000 to 244,000. The 4-week moving average was 248,250, a decrease of 9,500 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up by 250 from 257,500 to 257,750.

Claims taking procedures continue to be severely disrupted in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands as a result of power outages and infrastructure damage caused by Hurricanes Irma and Maria.

12:30
U.S.: Continuing Jobless Claims, 1888 (forecast 1900)
12:30
U.S.: Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey, October 27.9 (forecast 22)
12:30
U.S.: Initial Jobless Claims, 222 (forecast 240)
12:25
Company News: Verizon (VZ) quarterly earnings beat analysts’ forecast

Verizon (VZ) reported Q3 FY 2017 earnings of $0.98 per share (versus $1.01 in Q3 FY 2016), beating analysts' consensus estimate of $0.97.

The company's quarterly revenues amounted to $31.700 bln (+2.5% y/y), generally in-line with analysts' consensus estimate of $31.446 bln.

VZ rose to $49.70 (+2.16%) in pre-market trading.

12:19
Company News: Travelers (TRV) quarterly results beat analysts’ estimates

Travelers (TRV) reported Q3 FY 2017 earnings of $0.91 per share (versus $2.40 in Q3 FY 2016), beating analysts' consensus estimate of $0.37.

The company's quarterly revenues amounted to $6.660 bln (+4.2% y/y), beating analysts' consensus estimate of $6.426 bln.

TRV rose to $132.20 (+1.68%) in pre-market trading.

12:13
Company News: American Express (AXP) quarterly results beat analysts’ expectations

American Express (AXP) reported Q3 FY 2017 earnings of $1.50 per share (versus $1.24 in Q3 FY 2016), beating analysts' consensus estimate of $1.48.

The company's quarterly revenues amounted to $8.436 bln (+8.5% y/y), beating analysts' consensus estimate of $8.307 bln.

The company also issued upside guidance for FY2017, projecting EPS of $5.80-5.90 (prior $5.60-5.80), versus analysts' consensus estimate of $5.74.

AXP fell to $90.10 (-2.15%) in pre-market trading.

12:02
Company News: Alcoa (AA) quarterly earnings miss analysts’ estimate

Alcoa (AA) reported Q3 FY 2017 earnings of $0.72 per share (versus $0.32 in Q3 FY 2016), missing analysts' consensus estimate of $0.77.

The company's quarterly revenues amounted to $2.964 bln (+27.3% y/y), generally in-line with analysts' consensus estimate of $2.946 bln.

AA fell to $46.40 (-2.83%) in pre-market trading.

11:18
Britain's EU withdrawal bill not scheduled for debate in parliament next week - leader of House of Commons
10:35
OPEC Sec. Gen. says Novak and Falih will consult on whether to hold meeting in early 2018 if no extension decision made in November
10:00
Bank of England's Haldane says jobs-rich, wages-poor UK labour market begs all sorts of questions about future inflation pressure
09:39
Russian deputy foreign minister Ryabkov meets Iran deputy formin, confirms Russia's commitment to nuclear deal - Russia's formin
09:05
OPEC Sec. Gen says global oil demand growth has been robust and there are signs of a strengthening trend

  • There is no doubt the oil market is rebalancing at an accelerating pace

08:37
UK retail sales down 0.8% in September, more than expected

The underlying pattern in the retail industry is one of growth; for the three-months on three-months measure, the quantity bought increased by 0.6%.

In September 2017, the quantity bought in the retail industry decreased by 0.8% when compared with August 2017; non-food stores provided the greatest downward pressure following growth in August 2017.

Year on year, the quantity bought in the retail sector increased by 1.2%, with non-food (household goods, clothing stores) and non-store retailing all providing growth.

Store prices continue to rise across all store types and are at their highest year-on-year price growth since March 2012 at 3.3% (non-seasonally adjusted).

Online sales values increased year-on-year by 14%, accounting for approximately 17% of all retail spending.

08:30
United Kingdom: Retail Sales (MoM), September -0.8% (forecast -0.1%)
08:30
United Kingdom: Retail Sales (YoY) , September 1.2% (forecast 2.1%)
08:16
Spain's cabinet to proceed with article 155 of the constitution on saturday after catalan leader's letter- sources
08:03
Spain's IBEX falls sharply, now down 0.4 pct after catalan leader fails to clarify independence bid
07:47
Major stock exchanges in Europe trading in the red zone: FTSE 7526.41 -16.46 -0.22%, DAX 13038.03 -5.00 -0.04%, CAC 5374.66 -9.15 -0.17%
06:43
Options levels on thursday, October 19, 2017 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1943 (3609)

$1.1883 (3012)

$1.1831 (388)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1803

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1749 (2365)

$1.1699 (2999)

$1.1666 (4761)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date November, 3 is 99165 contracts (according to data from October, 18) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2000 (6332);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3294 (1454)

$1.3261 (1366)

$1.3233 (1050)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3211

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3175 (2105)

$1.3145 (2133)

$1.3099 (1285)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 3 is 37539 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3300 (3440);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 3 is 33001 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (2287);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.88 versus 0.88 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 18

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

06:29
Eurostoxx 50 futures up 0.1 pct, DAX futures up 0.1 pct, CAC 40 futures down 0.1 pct, FTSE futures down 0.1 pct
06:28
Swiss trade balance surplus rose more than expected in September

While exports were adjusted for working days in the third quarter of 2017 by 2.5% imports rose by as much as 7.4% with this plus the Foreign trade continues at a high level. The trade balance decreased from CHF 10.3 billion 8.5 billion francs In the third quarter of 2017, exports grew by 2.5% per working day (real: + 1.4%).

Compared to the record high quarter, they still rose by a seasonally adjusted 0.2% to. Imports showed an increase of 7.4% (real: + 1.6%) compared with the previous year. The seasonally adjusted increase to the strong second quarter of 2017 was still 0.6%.

06:24
China's gross domestic product expanded 1.7 percent on quarter

China's gross domestic product expanded 1.7 percent on quarter in the third quarter of 2017, the National Bureau of Statistics cited by rttnews.

That was in line with forecasts and down from 1.8 percent in the second quarter.

On a yearly basis, GDP advanced 6.9 percent - unchanged from the previous three months and exceeding expectations for 6.8 percent.

The bureau also said that industrial production jumped an annual 6.6 percent in September - beating forecasts for 6.5 percent and up from 6.0 percent in August.

Retail sales were up 10.3 percent on year, beating expectations for 10.2 percent and up from 10.1 percent in the previous month.

Fixed asset investment was up an annual 7.5 percent, missing forecasts for 7.7 percent and down from 7.8 percent a month earlier.

06:19
10-year U.S. treasury yield at 2.344 percent vs U.S. close of 2.339 percent on Wednesday
06:18
The 40th Prime Minister of New Zealand will be Jacinda Ardern, New Zealand dollar falls over 1 cent as market awaits news on new government
06:12
Australian unemployment rate down 0.1% to 5.5% in September


  • Employment increased 23,800 to 12,281,200.

  • Unemployment decreased 2,200 to 716,600.

  • Unemployment rate remained steady at 5.5%, following a revised august 2017 estimate.

  • Participation rate increased by less than 0.1 pts, but remained at 65.2% in rounded terms.

  • Monthly hours worked in all jobs increased 3.1 million hours (0.2%) to 1,714.5 million Hours.

Seasonally adjusted:

  • Employment increased 19,800 to 12,290,200. Full-time employment increased 6,100 to

  • 8,398,200 and part-time employment increased 13,700 to 3,892,000.

  • Unemployment decreased 11,800 to 711,500. The number of unemployed persons

  • Looking for full-time work decreased 10,600 to 487,100 and the number of unemployed

  • Persons only looking for part-time work decreased 1,200 to 224,400.

  • Unemployment rate decreased 0.1 pts to 5.5%.

  • Participation remained steady at 65.2%.

  • Monthly hours worked in all jobs increased 11.2 million hours (0.7%) to 1,718.2 million Hours.

06:00
Switzerland: Trade Balance, September 2.918 (forecast 2.470)
05:41
Global Stocks

European stocks finished with gains Wednesday, as falls in the euro and the pound helped exporters and offset disappointing financial updates from companies such as Zalando. Where indexes are trading: The Stoxx Europe 600 index SXXP, +0.29% posted a 0.3% rise to end at 391.56. On Tuesday, the pan-European benchmark fell 0.3%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average punched firmly higher on Wednesday to a historic close above 23,000. It took 54 trading days for the gauge to close above the next round-number milestone, representing the third fastest 1,000-point advance in history. However, the record-setting climb for the more than 120-year old stock-market average might hint at some softness.

Asian stocks inched up to near decade highs on Thursday, continuing to ride on a global equities rally, while the dollar resumed its rise on the back of a spike in U.S. yields.

04:32
Japan: All Industry Activity Index, m/m, August 0.1% (forecast 0.2%)
02:00
China: Fixed Asset Investment, September 7.5% (forecast 7.7%)
02:00
China: GDP y/y, Quarter III 6.8% (forecast 6.8%)
02:00
China: Retail Sales y/y, September 10.3% (forecast 10.2%)
02:00
China: Industrial Production y/y, September 6.6% (forecast 6.2%)
00:30
Australia: Changing the number of employed, September 19.8 (forecast 15)
00:30
Australia: Unemployment rate, September 5.5% (forecast 5.6%)

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