Major US stock indices rose significantly on Friday, helped by the rise in quotations of the healthcare sector and industrial companies, as well as the hope that the final draft of the tax reform will soon be submitted to the Congress.
The focus was also on the United States. As the results of studies published by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York showed, the region's production index declined in December, while the fall was stronger than the average forecasts of economists. According to the data, the production index in the current month fell to +18 points compared to +19.4 points in November. Previous value was not revised. Economists had expected the index to decline to +18.6 points.
Industrial production in the US rose less than expected in November, as the fall in utility services offset the recovery from hurricanes in the oil and gas industry and the third monthly growth in production, the Federal Reserve said in a statement. The total volume of industrial production increased by 0.2% after the revised one, with an increase of 1.2% in October. Economists predicted an increase in industrial production by 0.3% last month.
Almost all components of the DOW index finished the auction with an increase (26 out of 30). The leader of growth was shares of Intel Corporation (INTC, + 3.01%). Outsider were shares of International Business Machines Corporation (IBM, -0.97%).
Almost all sectors of the S & P index recorded an increase. The health sector grew most (+ 1.0%). The decrease was shown only by the base resources sector (-0.1%).
At closing:
Dow + 0.58% 24.651.74 +143.08
Nasdaq + 1.17% 6.936.58 +80.06
S & P + 0.90% 2.675.81 + 23.80
U.S. stock-index futures were higher on Friday as concerns about the U.S. tax overhaul reduced.
Global Stocks:
Nikkei 22,553.22 -141.23 -0.62%
Hang Seng 28,848.11 -318.27 -1.09%
Shanghai 3,266.15 -26.29 -0.80%
S&P/ASX 5,997.00 -14.30 -0.24%
FTSE 7,465.27 +17.15 +0.23%
CAC 5,345.32 -11.82 -0.22%
DAX 13,074.14 +6.06 +0.05%
Crude $57.31 (+0.47%)
Gold $1,264.00 (+0.55%)
Industrial production moved up 0.2 percent in November after posting an upwardly revised increase of 1.2 percent in October. Manufacturing production also rose 0.2 percent in November, its third consecutive monthly gain. The output of utilities dropped 1.9 percent. The index for mining increased 2.0 percent, as oil and gas extraction returned to normal levels after being held down in October by Hurricane Nate. Excluding the post-hurricane rebound in oil and gas extraction, total industrial production would have been unchanged in November. Total industrial production was 106.4 percent of its 2012 average in November and was 3.4 percent above its year-earlier level. Capacity utilization for the industrial sector was 77.1 percent in November, a rate that is 2.8 percentage points below its long-run (1972-2016) average.
Manufacturing sales declined 0.4% to $53.5 billion in October, following two consecutive monthly increases.
Sales fell in 8 of 21 industries, representing 56.0% of the manufacturing sector. Sales of motor vehicles and other transportation equipment accounted for most of the decline in October. Excluding these two industries, manufacturing sales increased 0.5%.
In constant dollars, sales decreased 1.5% in October, reflecting a lower volume of goods sold.
Business activity continued to grow at a solid clip in New York State, according to firms responding to the December 2017 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index, at 18.0, remained close to last month's level. The new orders index and the shipments index both showed sustained strong gains, with the former holding steady at 19.5 and the latter edging up to 22.4. Delivery times were slightly longer than last month, and inventory levels were stable. Labor market indicators pointed to a small increase in employment but no change in hours worked. Both input prices and selling prices rose at a somewhat faster pace than last month. Indexes assessing the six-month outlook suggested that firms remained optimistic about future business conditions.
(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)
ALCOA INC. | AA | 42.04 | 0.18(0.43%) | 402 |
ALTRIA GROUP INC. | MO | 72.49 | 0.17(0.24%) | 530 |
Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ | AMZN | 1,164.00 | -0.13(-0.01%) | 10851 |
Apple Inc. | AAPL | 172.46 | 0.19(0.11%) | 31043 |
AT&T Inc | T | 37.9 | -0.14(-0.37%) | 9245 |
Boeing Co | BA | 292.4 | 0.56(0.19%) | 8915 |
Caterpillar Inc | CAT | 149 | 0.43(0.29%) | 3424 |
Chevron Corp | CVX | 119.98 | 0.05(0.04%) | 143 |
Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO | 38.25 | 0.10(0.26%) | 10010 |
Citigroup Inc., NYSE | C | 75.33 | 0.19(0.25%) | 9505 |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 82.99 | -0.13(-0.16%) | 1986 |
Facebook, Inc. | FB | 178.4 | 0.10(0.06%) | 35714 |
Ford Motor Co. | F | 12.71 | 0.08(0.63%) | 1697 |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE | FCX | 16.28 | -0.04(-0.25%) | 12690 |
General Electric Co | GE | 17.82 | 0.06(0.34%) | 43669 |
Goldman Sachs | GS | 256.5 | 0.94(0.37%) | 816 |
Hewlett-Packard Co. | HPQ | 20.6 | -0.25(-1.20%) | 2118 |
Home Depot Inc | HD | 183.41 | 0.38(0.21%) | 193 |
Intel Corp | INTC | 43.57 | 0.23(0.53%) | 1495 |
International Business Machines Co... | IBM | 154.5 | 0.59(0.38%) | 908 |
JPMorgan Chase and Co | JPM | 105.9 | 0.39(0.37%) | 16573 |
McDonald's Corp | MCD | 173.75 | 0.20(0.12%) | 989 |
Merck & Co Inc | MRK | 56.61 | 0.18(0.32%) | 4203 |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 85.54 | 0.19(0.22%) | 9376 |
Nike | NKE | 64.46 | 0.16(0.25%) | 32741 |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 36.67 | 0.03(0.08%) | 3887 |
Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ | SBUX | 59.44 | -0.05(-0.08%) | 1452 |
Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ | TSLA | 340.55 | 1.52(0.45%) | 20602 |
The Coca-Cola Co | KO | 46.05 | 0.15(0.33%) | 2098 |
Twitter, Inc., NYSE | TWTR | 21.83 | 0.17(0.78%) | 30671 |
United Technologies Corp | UTX | 124.47 | 0.17(0.14%) | 100 |
Verizon Communications Inc | VZ | 52.64 | -0.25(-0.47%) | 3387 |
Visa | V | 113.6 | 0.29(0.26%) | 646 |
Wal-Mart Stores Inc | WMT | 98 | 0.24(0.25%) | 3013 |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 106.4 | -1.21(-1.12%) | 757115 |
Yandex N.V., NASDAQ | YNDX | 33.08 | 0.36(1.10%) | 3705 |
Cisco Systems (CSCO) resumed with a Hold at Stifel
More confident now that inflation will be steady
It's important for inflation that food prices are less volatile than in 2017
Inflation expectations now anchor at 4 pct
See oil prices averaging $55 in 2018
Ups 2018 gdp growth forecast to around 2 pct from 1.0-1.5 pct
Says 50 bps rate cut fits C.Bank gradual monetary easing policy
Will cut rates to 6-7 pct over a year or two
The first estimate for euro area (EA19) exports of goods to the rest of the world in October 2017 was €187.9 billion, an increase of 8.8% compared with October 2016 (€172.6 bn). Imports from the rest of the world stood at €168.9 bn, a rise of 10.1% compared with October 2016 (€153.4 bn). As a result, the euro area recorded a €18.9 bn surplus in trade in goods with the rest of the world in October 2017, compared with +€19.2 bn in October 2016. Intra-euro area trade rose to €160.0 bn in October 2017, up by 9.7% compared with October 2016. These data are released by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.
Sees inflation at 1.7 pct in 2020
Says economic risks include Brexit, Catalonia
Average inflation in 2018 at 1.5 pct and 1.4 pct in 2019
Unemployment rate at around 11 pct by end-2020
EUR/USD: 1.1700 (2.6 b), 1.1750 (764 m), 1.1800 (2.9 b), 1.1825-30 (911 m), 1.1850 (791 m), 1.1875 (592 m), 1.1900-10 (942 m)
GBP/USD: 1.3300 (929 m), 1.3400 (410 m), 1.3450-52 (399 m)
USD/JPY: 111.60-70 (324 m), 112.00 (1.2 b), 112.25-30 (2.0 b), 112.50 (1.4 b), 112.75 (510 m), 113.00 (790 m) , 113.20-30 (594 m)
USD/CAD: 1.2750 (345 m), 1.2775-80 (605 m), 1.2850 (759 m), 1.2900 (866 m)
AUD/USD: 0.7570-80 (786 m), 0.7700 (342 m), 0.7740-50 (441 m), 0.7800 (1.1 b)
NZD/USD: 0.6900 (335 m), 0.7100 (211 m)
EUR/GBP: 0.8850 (662 m), 0.8900 (596 m), 0.9000 (1.3 b), 0.9050 (1.5 b)
Lifts 2019 adjudsted gdp growth forecast to 1.7 pct vs 1.6 pct seen in june
Raises 2018 inflation forecast to 1.6 pct vs 1.4 pct, sees 2019 inflation at 1.7 pct vs 1.8 pct
Sees inflation in 2020 at 1.9 pct
Raises 2018 adjusted gdp growth forecast to 2.5 pct vs 1.7 pct seen in june
EUR/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.1923 (3793)
$1.1904 (2179)
$1.1877 (208)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.1787
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.1733 (3591)
$1.1691 (4015)
$1.1645 (3556)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date January, 5 is 92764 contracts (according to data from December, 14) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1800 (4647);
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.3579 (4098)
$1.3541 (2106)
$1.3507 (745)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.3444
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.3394 (1853)
$1.3360 (2189)
$1.3322 (1855)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date January, 5 is 30451 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3500 (4098);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date January, 5 is 30119 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3300 (2518);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.99 versus 0.98 from the previous trading day according to data from December, 14
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
The large manufacturers' sentiment index rose to 25 from 22 a quarter ago, according to the quarterly Tankan survey from Bank of Japan, cited by rttnews. This was the highest score since the end of 2006.
At the same time, the large non-manufacturers' sentiment indicator held steady at 23 in the fourth quarter.
However, both big manufactures and non-manufacturers forecast conditions to weaken in the next quarter. The outlook index among manufacturers came in at 19 and that in non-manufacturing at 20.
Large enterprises among all sectors plan to raise their fixed investment in the year through March 2018. Fixed investment is forecast to rise 7.4 percent compared to a 2.1 percent fall for FY 2016.
A governor can't stop talking about household debt, by-product of monetary policy, want to make sure we don't underestimate how important that is
Very important that we have an independent monetary policy, we are a year or two behind the U.S. in the cycle
European stocks closed at their lowest in a week Thursday, with bank shares in the red, and they struggled throughout the session even after data showed eurozone business activity revved up this month. The euro turned lower in the wake of the European Central Bank issuing updated inflation targets as policy makers wrapped up for the year.
U.S. stock-market indexes relinquished earlier gains, finishing lower on Thursday, with the selling pressure coming from health-care, materials sectors and telecoms sectors.
In Asia, the Topix index in Japan slipped 1.1 per cent as financials fell 1.3 per cent and telecoms stocks lost 4.3 per cent. There was better news for Japan's large manufacturers, which reported their best quarter in 11 years as the Bank of Japan's Tankan reading rose three points to +25 in the fourth quarter.
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