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12.12.2017
23:50
Japan: Core Machinery Orders, y/y, October 2.3% (forecast -2.8%)
23:50
Japan: Core Machinery Orders, October 5% (forecast 3.0%)
23:30
Commodities. Daily history for Dec 12’2017:

(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Oil 57.41 +0.47%

Gold 11245.80 +0.33%

23:27
Stocks. Daily history for Dec 12’2017:

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei -72.56 22866.17 -0.32%

TOPIX +1.74 1815.08 +0.10%

Hang Seng -171.41 28793.88 -0.59%

CSI 300 -53.48 4016.02 -1.31%

Euro Stoxx 50 +18.14 3600.35 +0.51%

FTSE 100 +46.93 7500.41 +0.63%

DAX +59.88 13183.53 +0.46%

CAC 40 +40.36 5427.19 +0.75%

DJIA +118.77 24504.80 +0.49%

S&P 500 +4.12 2664.11 +0.15%

NASDAQ -12.76 6862.32 -0.19%

S&P/TSX +10.52 16114.03 +0.07%

23:24
Currencies. Daily history for Dec 12’2017:

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1740 -0,24%

GBP/USD $1,3316 -0,17%

USD/CHF Chf0,99133 -0,06%

USD/JPY Y113,54 0,00%

EUR/JPY Y133,31 -0,24%

GBP/JPY Y151,198 -0,18%

AUD/USD $0,7557 +0,42%

NZD/USD $0,6932 +0,34%

USD/CAD C$1,28647 +0,08%

22:49
Schedule for today, Wednesday, Dec 13’2017 (GMT0)

07:00 Germany CPI, m/m (Finally) November 0.0% 0.3%

07:00 Germany CPI, y/y (Finally) November 1.6% 1.8%

09:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y October 2.2% 2.2

09:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y October 2.2% 2.5%

09:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate October 4.3% 4.2%

09:30 United Kingdom Claimant count November 1.1 3.2

10:00 Eurozone Employment Change Quarter III 0.4% 0.4%

10:00 Eurozone Industrial Production (YoY) October 3.3% 3.5%

10:00 Eurozone Industrial production, (MoM) October -0.6% 0.0%

13:30 U.S. CPI, m/m November 0.1% 0.4%

13:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y November 1.8% 1.8%

13:30 U.S. CPI, Y/Y November 2% 2.2%

13:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, m/m November 0.2% 0.2%

15:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories December -5.610 -3.78

19:00 U.S. FOMC Economic Projections

19:00 U.S. Fed Interest Rate Decision 1.25% 1.5%

19:30 U.S. Federal Reserve Press Conferenc

23:00 U.S. FOMC Member Brainard Speaks

22:01
New Zealand: Food Prices Index, y/y, November 2.3%
21:13
The major US stock indexes finished trading in different directions

The main US stock indexes mostly rose on Tuesday. The focus of market participants is the meeting of the Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the Fed, which begins today, and its results will be announced tomorrow.

In addition, as it became known today, producer prices in the US rose in November against the backdrop of rising gasoline prices and the cost of other goods, which led to the largest annual increase in almost six years and indicates a widespread acceleration of wholesale inflation. The Ministry of Labor on Tuesday said that the producer price index for final demand increased by 0.4% last month. The PPI increased with the same margin for three consecutive months. For the 12 months to November, the PPI rose 3.1%. This was the biggest increase since January 2012 and followed the growth of 2.8% in October. Economists predicted a PPI growth of 0.3% last month and an increase of 2.9% compared to the previous year.

Oil lost previously earned positions, and moved to negative territory, which was caused by partial profit-taking, and strengthening of the US dollar. In addition, investors assess the consequences of the suspension of the work of the key oil pipeline in Britain. The night before, Ineos reported that the Forties pipeline will be closed for "a few weeks" due to the increase in the crack that arose last week. About 445,000 barrels of oil per day are delivered via this pipeline, which corresponds to approximately 40% of the total number of North Sea oil producing capacities in Britain.

Most components of the DOW index finished trading in positive territory (16 out of 30). The leader of growth was the shares of The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS, + 3.05%). Outsider were shares of 3M Company (MMM, -1.33%).

Most sectors of the S & P index recorded an increase. The financial sector grew most (+ 0.7%). The utilities sector showed the greatest decrease (-1.4%).

At closing:

DJIA + 0.49% 24,504.80 +118.77

Nasdaq -0.19% 6,862.32 -12.76

S & P + 0.15% 2,664.11 +4.12

20:00
DJIA +0.63% 24,540.75 +154.72 Nasdaq -0.03% 6,873.18 -1.90 S&P +0.34% 2,668.95 +8.96
19:00
U.S.: Federal budget , November -139.0 (forecast -134.0)
17:20
EUR/USD Daily time frame chart

EUR/USD is now close to the bottom of the downside channel and close to the support zone.


It could be interesting to see how the price reacts on that area and if it starts rejecting the bottom of the channel and the support level then we can expect a bullish movement to the top of the channel.


17:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 +46.93 7500.41 +0.63% DAX +59.88 13183.53 +0.46% CAC 40 +40.36 5427.19 +0.75%
15:22
Moscow says all Russian embassy employees in Yemen have left the country due to situation there - RIA cites foreign ministry
14:54
U.S. secretary of state Tillerson says he is optimistic, can achieve North Korea denuclearization via negotiation - U.S. Official
14:32
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.25% Nasdaq -0.04%, S&P +0.09%
14:17
U.S dollar index rises to 93.93 after strong producer price data
14:10
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.07%, NASDAQ futures -0.05%

U.S. stock-index futures were flat on Tuesday ahead of a two-day meeting of the Federal Reserve that is widely expected to raise the fed funds target range by 25 basis points.


Global Stocks:

Nikkei 22,866.17 -72.56 -0.32%

Hang Seng 28,793.88 -171.41 -0.59%

Shanghai 3,281.01 -41.19 -1.24%

S&P/ASX 6,013.20 +14.90 +0.25%

FTSE 7,474.34 +20.86 +0.28%

CAC 5,414.46 +27.63 +0.51%

DAX 13,147.72 +24.07 +0.18%

Crude $58.35 (+0.62%)

Gold $1,240.30 (-0.27%)

13:53
U.S Producer Price Index increased 0.4 percent in November

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.4 percent in November, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices also moved up 0.4 percent in both October and September. On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index rose 3.1 percent for the 12 months ended in November, the largest advance since a 3.1-percent increase for the 12 months ended January 2012.
In November, three-fourths of the rise in the final demand index is attributable to a 1.0-percent increase in prices for final demand goods. The index for final demand services climbed 0.2 percent.
The index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services rose 0.4 percent in November, the largest advance since increasing 0.6 percent in April. For the 12 months ended in November, prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services moved up 2.4 percent.

13:46
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


3M Co

MMM

242.25

2.95(1.23%)

3693

ALCOA INC.

AA

42.45

0.21(0.50%)

4100

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,168.11

-0.81(-0.07%)

7523

AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP

AIG

60.00

0.21(0.35%)

100

Apple Inc.

AAPL

172.40

-0.27(-0.16%)

42724

AT&T Inc

T

36.95

0.05(0.14%)

4951

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

13.62

-0.03(-0.22%)

800

Boeing Co

BA

288.50

5.34(1.89%)

18562

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

37.89

-0.07(-0.18%)

2803

Deere & Company, NYSE

DE

151.88

0.55(0.36%)

400

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

83.15

0.12(0.14%)

565

Facebook, Inc.

FB

178.90

-0.14(-0.08%)

106813

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

15.13

0.11(0.73%)

11536

General Electric Co

GE

17.72

0.07(0.40%)

12749

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

41.66

-0.01(-0.02%)

362

Goldman Sachs

GS

252.00

1.87(0.75%)

1212

Google Inc.

GOOG

1,041.29

0.19(0.02%)

714

Intel Corp

INTC

43.58

-0.08(-0.18%)

5790

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

155.13

-0.28(-0.18%)

997

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

141.45

0.31(0.22%)

1205

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

105.85

0.23(0.22%)

2711

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

56.80

0.46(0.82%)

11653

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

85.48

0.25(0.29%)

23455

Nike

NKE

62.09

0.18(0.29%)

596

Pfizer Inc

PFE

36.29

0.08(0.22%)

1373

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

330.25

1.34(0.41%)

39130

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

22.21

0.16(0.73%)

28585

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

52.15

0.31(0.60%)

19610

Visa

V

112.87

0.50(0.45%)

1251

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

97.17

0.24(0.25%)

3407

Walt Disney Co

DIS

107.35

0.52(0.49%)

7981

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

33.60

0.31(0.93%)

2100

13:41
Analyst coverage initiations before the market open

Exxon Mobil (XOM) initiated with a Neutral at Credit Suisse

Chevron Corp. (CVX) initiated with a Neutral at Credit Suisse

13:40
Upgrades before the market open

Verizon (VZ) upgraded to Buy at Nomura

13:30
U.S.: PPI, m/m, November 0.4% (forecast 0.3%)
13:30
U.S.: PPI, y/y, November 3.1% (forecast 2.9%)
13:30
U.S.: PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y, November 2.4% (forecast 2.3%)
13:30
U.S.: PPI excluding food and energy, m/m, November 0.3% (forecast 0.2%)
12:49
Irish C.Bank deputy gov Sibley says enormous amount of progress has been made on npls in Irish banks, challenging cases remain
11:53
Irish central bank says border deal welcome but Brexit continues to pose major risk to Irish economy

  • Overheating in wider economy remains a risk as it approaches full employment

  • Large share of debt, including mortgage debt, vulnerable to a rise in interest rates

10:53
AUD/JPY Daily time frame chart
AUD/JPY has rejected the support level (at 84.500) and since that the price has been gain strength for a new bullish movement.

However, it could be interesting how the price reacts close to the resistance level (red zone) and if it starts rejecting then we can expect a new bearish movement on this pair.

10:52
Italy treasury sells 4.75 bln euros in 12-month bot bills at average yield of -0.407 pct, new record low
10:52
AUD/JPY Daily time frame chart
AUD/JPY has rejected the support level (at 84.500) and since that the price has been gain strength for a new bullish movement.

However, it could be interesting how the price reacts close to the resistance level (red zone) and if it starts rejecting then we can expect a new bearish movement on this pair.

10:12
ZEW institute says financial market experts expect negative effects from govt formation, Brexit talks, EU reforms

  • Uncertainty on future german government has not had any impact on assessment of economic outlook so far

  • Outlook for german economy in coming six months remains positive

10:02
Eurozone: ZEW Economic Sentiment, December 29 (forecast 30.2)
10:01
Germany: ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment, December 17.4 (forecast 18.0)
09:36
UK house prices grew by 4.5% y/y

UK house prices grew by 4.5% in the year to October 2017, experiencing a 0.3 percentage point decrease from the previous month.

In terms of housing demand the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors' (RICS) Residential Market Survey for October 2017 reported that the headline near term price expectations series slipped to -11%, from -8% in September, and has now been negative in each of the last three months. New buyer enquiries continue to signal a softening in demand, with the net national balance remaining at -20%.

09:35
UK producer price inflation rose 3.0% on the year to November

The headline rate of inflation for goods leaving the factory gate (output prices) rose 3.0% on the year to November 2017, up from 2.8% in October 2017.

Prices for materials and fuels (input prices) rose 7.3% on the year to November 2017, up from 4.8% in October 2017.

All industries provided upward contributions to both input and output annual inflation; the largest contributors to the change in the annual rates were crude oil and petroleum products respectively.

Core input inflation was 4.6% on the year to November 2017, up from 3.4% in October 2017.

09:32
UK CPI up 0.3% in November

The Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers' housing costs (CPIH) 12-month inflation rate was 2.8% in November 2017, unchanged from October 2017.

The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) 12-month rate was 3.1% in November 2017, up from 3.0% in October 2017; it was last higher in March 2012.

The largest upward contribution to change in both the CPIH and CPI rates came from air fares which fell between October and November but by less than a year ago.

Rising prices for a range of recreational and cultural goods and services, most notably computer games, also had an upward effect.

Falling prices in the miscellaneous goods and services category (covering products such as travel goods and financial services) provided the largest offsetting downward contribution


09:30
United Kingdom: Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) , November 3.0% (forecast 3.0%)
09:30
United Kingdom: HICP, m/m, November 0.3% (forecast 0.2%)
09:30
United Kingdom: Producer Price Index - Output (MoM), November 0.3% (forecast 0.3%)
09:30
United Kingdom: HICP, Y/Y, November 3.1% (forecast 3.0%)
09:30
United Kingdom: Producer Price Index - Input (MoM), November 1.8% (forecast 1.5%)
09:30
United Kingdom: Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) , November 7.3% (forecast 6.8%)
09:30
United Kingdom: Retail prices, Y/Y, November 3.9% (forecast 4%)
09:30
United Kingdom: Retail Price Index, m/m, November 0.2% (forecast 0.3%)
09:30
United Kingdom: HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y, November 2.7% (forecast 2.7%)
09:09
Romanian inflation accelerated for the third straight month in November

Romania's consumer price inflation accelerated for the third straight month in November, figures from the National Institute of Statistics, cited by rttnews.

The consumer price index climbed 3.2 percent year-over-year in November, faster than the 2.6 percent increase in October. The measure has been rising since January.

Food prices grew 3.9 percent annually in November and non-food prices advanced by 4.1 percent. Costs for services registered a slight increase of 0.1 percent.

On a monthly basis, consumer prices went up 0.7 percent in November.

09:03
German economy ministry says sees continuing increase in private consumption as incomes and employment keep rising

  • Sees further increase in german exports despite recent weakness

  • Sees strong economic growth in 2017

08:47
Major European stock markets little changed: FTSE 7451.07 -2.41 -0.03%, DAX 13126.65 +3.00 + 0.02%, CAC 5391.69 +4.86 + 0.09%
08:47
Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

EUR/USD: 1.1700 (243m), 1.1750 (193m), 1.1820-30 (608m), 1.1850-60 (1.0b), 1.1900 (1.2b)

USD/JPY: 113.00 (147m), 113.15-20 (368m), 113.25-30 (254m), 113.45-50 (376m), 113.60 (175m), 114.17 (308m)

GBP/USD: 1.3350 (428m)

USD/CHF: 0.9900 (250m)

USD/CAD: 1.2775-80 (210m)

08:18
Paris - EU's Dombrovskis says EU commission is considering lowering capital charges for banks' green investments
07:38
Options levels on tuesday, December 12, 2017 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1910 (2125)

$1.1894 (1026)

$1.1871 (208)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1779

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1720 (3360)

$1.1681 (3935)

$1.1638 (3399)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date January, 5 is 89464 contracts (according to data from December, 11) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1800 (4707);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3505 (1999)

$1.3461 (1430)

$1.3432 (859)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3343

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3285 (1770)

$1.3258 (1615)

$1.3227 (2130)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date January, 5 is 29272 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3500 (3805);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date January, 5 is 28426 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2900 (2426);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.97 versus 0.99 from the previous trading day according to data from December, 11

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

07:33
Bitcoin blasts through $17,000 on Bitstamp platform for fresh all-time high, up more than 16 percent
07:31
Brent crude oil futures rise above $65 per barrel for first time since june 2015 after North Sea Forties pipeline outage
07:29
Eurostoxx 50 futures up 0.2 pct, DAX futures up 0.2 pct, CAC 40 futures up 0.3 pct, FTSE futures up 0.3 pct, IBEX futures up 0.1 pct
07:27
The Residential Property Price Index (RPPI) for Sydney fell 1.4 per cent in the September

The Residential Property Price Index (RPPI) for Sydney fell 1.4 per cent in the September quarter 2017 following positive growth over the last five quarters, according to figures released today by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).

Sydney established house prices fell 1.3 per cent and attached dwellings prices fell 1.4 per cent in the September quarter 2017.

"The fall in Sydney property prices this quarter was consistent with market indicators," Chief Economist for the ABS, Bruce Hockman said.

Falls in the RPPI were also seen in Perth (-1.0 per cent), Darwin (-2.6 per cent) and Canberra (-0.2 per cent). These were offset by rises in Melbourne (+1.1 per cent), Brisbane (+0.7 per cent), Adelaide (+0.7 per cent) and Hobart (+3.4 per cent).

For the weighted average of the eight capital cities, the RPPI fell 0.2 per cent in the September quarter 2017. This was the first fall in the RPPI since the March quarter 2016.

07:25
French NFP in line with expectations in Q3

In Q3 2017, net payroll job creation reached 44,500, that is an increase of +0.2% after an increase of +0.4% in the previous quarter. The payroll employment increased by 49,900 in the private sector while it decreased by 5,400 in the public sector. Year on year, it rose by 269,100 net jobs (that is +1.1%): 260,100 jobs were created in the private sector and 9,000 jobs in the public service.

In Q3 2017, payroll employment in industry continued to decrease slightly: −2,800 (that is −0.1%, as in the previous quarter). Year on year, industry lost 15,600 jobs (that is −0.5%).

06:31
Global Stocks

European stocks closed slightly lower Monday, pulling back from a one-month high as technology stocks sagged. But U.K. stocks bucked that trend as continued pressure on the pound helped the British blue-chip index outperform its regional rivals.

U.S. stocks finished higher Monday, with the S&P 500 index and Dow industrials closing at records on the back of a rally in telecommunications and technology shares. Wall Street shrugged off news of a terrorism incident in the heart of New York City earlier in the session, which resulted in no fatalities. Investors mostly looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's two-day monetary-policy meeting, which is slated to conclude Wednesday.

Most Asian equities fell as traders await U.S. and European central bank meetings this week for further clues on the 2018 policy outlook. The dollar was steady and oil extended gains around $58 a barrel. Benchmarks in Tokyo sat on recent gains, while Hong Kong and Chinese shares slipped, after U.S. stock indexes hit fresh highs overnight.

06:30
France: Non-Farm Payrolls, Quarter III 0.2% (forecast 0.2%)
00:30
Australia: House Price Index (QoQ), Quarter III -0.2% (forecast 0.6%)
00:30
Australia: National Australia Bank's Business Confidence, November 6

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