Tin tức thì trường

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei -84.78 22622.38 -0.37%

TOPIX +4.10 1790.97 +0.23%

Hang Seng -295.48 28842.80 -1.01%

CSI 300 +21.31 4040.17 +0.53%

Euro Stoxx 50 -5.65 3570.57 -0.16%

FTSE 100 -11.47 7327.50 -0.16%

DAX -10.01 13048.54 -0.08%

CAC 40 -13.76 5375.53 -0.26%

DJIA -109.41 24180.64 -0.45%

S&P 500 -9.87 2629.57 -0.37%

NASDAQ -13.15 6762.22 -0.19%

S&P/TSX -53.35 15915.68 -0.33%

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1825 -0,33%

GBP/USD $1,3441 -0,28%

USD/CHF Chf0,98725 +0,23%

USD/JPY Y112,58 +0,16%

EUR/JPY Y133,13 -0,17%

GBP/JPY Y151,322 -0,12%

AUD/USD $0,7607 +0,12%

NZD/USD $0,6875 +0,25%

USD/CAD C$1,26895 +0,13%

00:30 Australia Gross Domestic Product (YoY) Quarter III 1.8% 3%

00:30 Australia Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) Quarter III 0.8% 0.7%

07:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) October 1% -0.3%

08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) November 0.7% 0.9%

08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) November 0.1% 0.2%

10:30 Eurozone ECB's Yves Mersch Speaks

13:15 U.S. ADP Employment Report November 235 185

13:30 Canada Labor Productivity Quarter III -0.1%

13:30 U.S. Nonfarm Productivity, q/q (Finally) Quarter III 1.5% 3.3%

13:30 U.S. Unit Labor Costs, q/q (Finally) Quarter III 0.3% 0.2%

15:00 Canada Bank of Canada Rate 1% 1%

15:00 Canada BOC Rate Statement

15:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories December -3.429 -3.507

22:30 Australia AiG Performance of Construction Index November 53.2

Major US stock indexes finished trading in negative territory amid a decline in almost all sectors and publication of weak statistical data for the United States. In addition, investors assessed the changes to the Senate tax reform bill, which could affect the ability of companies to reduce their tax costs.

As it became known, the survey data from Markit in November signaled a slower expansion of business activity in the US services sector. Although output growth slightly decreased to a five-month low, the growth of new orders accelerated and was strong overall. The growth rate of employment in the meantime reached a three-month peak, which helped reduce the pressure of the tank. In accordance with this, the stock accumulation softened to a five-month low. The inflationary pressure of both purchasing and selling prices has grown at a faster pace. The latest poll also indicates a drop in business confidence to its lowest level since February. The index of business activity in the US services sector from IHS Markit was 54.5 in November, compared with 55.3 in October. Despite the fact that the last reading of the index reflected a weaker expansion of production, the overall growth rate, however, met the latest standards.

At the same time, the index of business activity in the US services sector, calculated by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), fell to 57.4 points in November, compared to 60.1 points in October. Analysts predicted that the index will deteriorate to 59 points. Recall, the indicator is the result of a survey of about 400 firms from 60 sectors across the US. A value greater than 50 is usually considered an indicator of the growth of production activity.

Most components of the DOW index recorded a decline (22 out of 30). Outsider were shares of The Walt Disney Company (DIS, -2.73%). The leader of growth was the shares of McDonald's Corporation (MCD, + 1.43%).

Almost all sectors of the S & P index ended the session in negative territory. The utilities sector showed the greatest decrease (-1.1%). Only the technological sector grew (+ 0.1%).

At closing:

DJIA -0.45% 24.180.64 -109.41

Nasdaq -1.25% 6,762.21 -85.37

S & P -0.37% 2,629.57 -9.87

EUR/USD on 4-hour time frame chart we can see that price is now close to the upside trend line and close to the support level.

Our suggestion is to wait for how 4-hour candlestick closes and if it close above the support level then we might see further bullish movement.

Economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector grew in November for the 95th consecutive month, say the nation's purchasing and supply executives in the latest Non-Manufacturing ISM Report.

The report was issued today by Anthony Nieves, Chair of the Institute for Supply Management: "The NMI registered 57.4 percent, which is 2.7 percentage points lower than the October reading of 60.1 percent. This represents continued growth in the non-manufacturing sector at a slower rate. The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index decreased to 61.4 percent, 0.8 percentage point lower than the October reading of 62.2 percent, reflecting growth for the 100th consecutive month, at a slightly slower rate in November. The New Orders Index registered 58.7 percent, 4.1 percentage points lower than the reading of 62.8 percent in October. The Employment Index decreased 2.2 percentage points in November to 55.3 percent from the October reading of 57.5 percent".

U.S. stock-index futures were flat on Tuesday, as a continued selloff in tech stocks limited the impact of advances elsewhere, buoyed by expectations of benefits from potential corporate tax cuts.

Global Stocks:

Nikkei 22,707.16 -111.87 -0.49%

Nikkei 22,622.38 -84.78 -0.37%

Hang Seng 28,842.80 -295.48 -1.01%

Shanghai 3,303.04 -6.58 -0.20%

S&P/ASX 5,971.82 -13.77 -0.23%

FTSE 7,344.60 +5.63 +0.08%

CAC 5,365.78 -23.51 -0.44%

DAX 13,006.87 -51.68 -0.40%

Crude $57.32 (-0.26%)

Gold $1,272.30 (-0.16%)

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)

United Tech (UTX) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Atlantic Equities

McDonald's (MCD) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies; target raised to $200 from $150

Canada's merchandise trade deficit with the world totalled $1.5 billion in October, narrowing from a $3.4 billion deficit in September. Exports were up 2.7% on higher exports to the United States, while imports decreased 1.6% on lower imports of motor vehicles and parts.

Total exports increased 2.7% to $44.5 billion in October, following four consecutive monthly declines. Prices were up 1.5% and volumes increased 1.2%. Advances were observed in 9 of 11 sections, led by basic and industrial chemical, plastic and rubber products (+12.4%). There were also notable gains in metal and non-metallic mineral products (+4.5%); farm, fishing and intermediate food products (+7.7%); and energy products (+2.7%). Year over year, total exports were up 0.8%.

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that the goods and services deficit was $48.7 billion in October, up $3.8 billion from $44.9 billion in September, revised. October exports were $195.9 billion, down less than $0.1 billion from September exports. October imports were $244.6 billion, $3.8 billion more than September imports.

The October increase in the goods and services deficit reflected an increase in the goods deficit of $3.8 billion to $69.1 billion and a decrease in the services surplus of less than $0.1 billion to $20.3 billion.

Year-to-date, the goods and services deficit increased $49.1 billion, or 11.9 percent, from the same period in 2016. Exports increased $97.5 billion or 5.3 percent. Imports increased $146.6 billion or 6.5 percent.

On Daily time frame chart we can see that GBP/USD has broken the consolidation zone.

Therefore, the price may make a slight correction and if it tests the support level then we might see a further appreciation on GBP/USD.

In October 2017 compared with September 2017, the seasonally adjusted volume of retail trade decreased by 1.1% in the euro area (EA19) and by 0.5% in the EU28, according to estimates from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In September, the retail trade volume rose by 0.8% in the euro area and by 0.2% in the EU28. In October 2017 compared with October 2016, the calendar adjusted retail sales index increased by 0.4% in the euro area and by 0.9% in the EU28.

November data pointed to a setback for the UK service sector, with business activity growth easing from the six-month peak seen in October. Volumes of new work also increased at a slower pace, while the rate of staff hiring was the joint-slowest since March.

The seasonally adjusted IHS Markit/CIPS UK Services PMI registered 53.8 in November, down from 55.6 in October, but above the 50.0 no-change value for the sixteenth consecutive month. The latest reading signalled a solid increase in service sector business activity, but the rate of expansion was slightly slower than seen on average in 2017 to date.

The rate of euro area economic expansion moved up a gear in November. Output growth accelerated to the fastest in over six-and-a-half years, while rates of increase for all of the main survey indicators covering demand, employment and inflation also hit multi-year highs.

The final IHS Markit Eurozone PMI Composite Output Index posted 57.5 in November, up from 56.0 in October and unchanged from the earlier flash estimate. The headline index has signalled expansion in each of the past 53 months.

Germany's service sector saw its slowest rise in business activity for three months in November, but still enjoyed a solid growth performance overall.

The seasonally adjusted final IHS Markit Germany Services PMI Business Activity Index came in at 54.3 in November, down slightly from 54.7 in October (as well as the earlier 'flash' estimate of 54.9) and signalling the slowest pace of growth for three months. Still, the average for the fourth quarter so far remained above that recorded in the three months to September.

EUR/USD: 1.1640(321 m), 1.1660-65(508 m), 1.1900(543 m), 1.1928-30(733 m)

GBP/USD: 1.3350(747 m)

USD/JPY: Y112.00(1.17 b), 113.00(816 m), 114.00(882 m), 114.15(650 m), 115.00(716 m), 116.00(1.18 b)

AUD/USD: 0.7600(787 m), 0.7645(621 m), 0.7800(278 m)

NZD/USD: 0.6825(349 m), 0.6900(300 m)

USD/CAD: 1.2338(300 m), 1.2725-30(573 m), 1.2740(250 m), 1.2765-75(741 m), 1.2790-95(290 m)

The Spanish service sector continued to grow solidly in November, although there were further slowdowns in rates of expansion for business activity and new orders. There were some reports that political uncertainty in Catalonia acted to dampen demand. On a more positive note, the rate of job creation quickened for the second month running. Meanwhile, the rate of input cost inflation reached the highest since March 2011 and output prices rose at a faster pace.

The headline seasonally adjusted Business Activity Index posted 54.4 in November, down from 54.6 in October and signalling the weakest rise in business activity since January

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1964 (4141)

$1.1927 (5811)

$1.1899 (4150)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1862

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1817 (2746)

$1.1785 (3141)

$1.1744 (3880)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date December, 8 is 165158 contracts (according to data from December, 4) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (8856);

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3549 (2737)

$1.3506 (3690)

$1.3482 (2818)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3409

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3369 (1284)

$1.3331 (1326)

$1.3289 (1945)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date December, 8 is 53370 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3400 (3690);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date December, 8 is 46321 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (3958);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.87 versus 0.85 from the previous trading day according to data from December, 4

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

• Closely watching JGB market, don't see any distortion in market at present

• Weak prices due to deflationary mindset, companies' cautious price-setting stance

• Won't comment on selection of next BoJ governor

• Won't comment on FX levels, daily moves

The seasonally adjusted current account deficit fell $539 million to $9,125 million in the September quarter 2017, according to figures released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics today.

In seasonally adjusted terms, the balance on goods and services surplus in the September quarter 2017 was $3,056 million. Exports of goods and services fell $154 million and imports of goods and services rose $222 million. The fall in the net primary income of $1,044 million to $11,968m was the main contributor to the narrowing of the current account deficit in the September quarter 2017.

Australian retail turnover rose 0.5 per cent in October 2017, seasonally adjusted, according to the latest Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Retail Trade figures.

This follows a 0.1 per cent rise in September 2017.

"In seasonally adjusted terms, there were rises across all industries led by cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services (1.7 per cent)," the Director of the Quarterly Economy Wide Survey, Ben James, said.

There were also rises for food retailing (0.3 per cent), clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing (1.0 per cent), other retailing (0.3 per cent), department stores (0.5 per cent) and household goods retailing (0.1 per cent) in October 2017.

• Australia dec 2017 rba cash rate stays flat at 1.5 percent (fcast 1.5 percent) vs prev 1.5 percent

• Outlook for household consumption a source of uncertainty

• Terms of trade expected to decline going forward but remain at high levels

• Says conditions in global economy continuing to improve

• Expects gdp growth to average around 3 pct over next few years

• Forecast remains for inflation to pick up gradually

The Caixin China Composite PMI data (which covers both manufacturing and services) indicated that growth momentum improved slightly in November. Although the Composite Output Index rose from October's 16-month low of 51.0 to 51.6, the latest figure pointed to only a modest upturn in business activity that remained weaker than the series average. Data broken down by sector indicated that business activity growth improved across both the manufacturing and service sectors during November. In the manufacturing sector, the pace of increase picked up from October's four-month low, but remained moderate overall

U.K. blue-chip stocks pushed higher Monday, with bank shares taking part in broad-based gains seen as being set off by the passage of a tax overhaul package in the U.S. Senate. Meanwhile, the pound was sent on a roller-coaster ride after the U.K. and EU failed to reach an agreement on key Brexit issues at a lunch in Brussels, although they said progress has been made.

A global decline in technology stocks continued Tuesday in Asia, weighing on indexes in Japan and Taiwan. "Technology shares are suffering heavy selling pressure as investors are rotating out from the valuation-rich sector in an attempt to lock in profits" amid continuing U.S. tax-reform efforts, said Margaret Yang, a market analyst at CMC Markets.

The Dow closed at a record Monday as investors cheered the weekend passage of the Senate version of a sweeping overhaul of the U.S. tax code. However, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq finished lower as large-capitalization technology names took a beating.