Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD seems vulnerable below mid-$31.00s

• Silver struggles to capitalize on the previous day’s goodish rebound from a three-week low.
• The technical setup favors bears and supports prospects for a further near-term downfall.
• A sustained strength above the $32.30-$32.35 area is needed to negate the negative bias.

Silver (XAG/USD) meets with a fresh supply on Friday and reverses a major part of the previous day's goodish recovery move from over a three-week low. The white metal continues losing ground through the first half of the European session and touches a fresh daily low, around the $31.30 area in the last hour.

From a technical perspective, any further decline is likely to find some support near the $31.00 mark ahead of the $30.85-$30.80 region, or the multi-week low. Some follow-through selling below the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the August-October rally, around the $30.65-$30.60 area, will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders. 

Given that oscillators on the daily chart have just started gaining negative traction, the subsequent fall could drag the XAG/USD below the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), currently pegged around the $30.25 area, towards the $30.00 psychological mark. The downward trajectory could extend to the 61.8% Fibo. level, near the $29.65 region.

On the flip side, the $32.00 round figure now seems to have emerged as an immediate strong hurdle. This is followed by a hurdle near the $32.30-$32.35 horizontal zone, which if cleared decisively might trigger a short-covering move to the $33.00 mark before the XAG/USD extends the positive momentum towards the next relevant barrier near the mid-$33.00s.

Silver daily chart