NZD/USD holds below 0.6000 on dovish RBNZ, US GDP data looms

• NZD/USD softens to around 0.5970 in Wednesday’s Asian session.
• The dovish stance of the RBNZ weighs on the Kiwi, but the additional China stimulus plans might cap its downside. 
• Investors will monitor the advanced US Q3 GDP, which will be published on Wednesday. 

The NZD/USD pair remains on the defensive near 0.5970 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The dovish stance of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) continues to weigh on the pair. Investors will take more cues from the advanced US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the third quarter and the US ADP Employment Change for October on Wednesday. 

Goldman Sachs analysts expect a possible more aggressive rate cut from the RBNZ. Goldman forecasts 50 bps rate cuts in both November and February, with an elevated risk of a 75 bps cut in November. The dovish outlook of the New Zealand central bank is likely to undermine the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) in the near term. 

China is considering issuing around 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion) in extra debt in the next years to revive its sluggish economy, per Reuters. The positive development surrounding China’s fresh stimulus measures might support the China-proxy Kiwi as China is a major trading partner to New Zealand.

The expectation of less aggressive rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year lifts the Greenback. Traders have priced in a nearly 98.4% chance of a 25 bps rate cut by the Fed in the November meeting. 

The US Department of Labor showed on Tuesday that the JOLTS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for September fell to its lowest level in three and a half years, missing expectations.

Meanwhile, the Conference Board (CB) Consumer Confidence for October registered the highest in nine months as perceptions of the labor market improved. Investors will shift their attention to the US Q3 GDP data on Wednesday ahead of the highly-anticipated Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data.