Новини ринків

УВАГА: Матеріал у cтрічці новин та аналітики оновлюєтьcя автоматично, перезавантаження cторінки може уповільнити процеc появи нового матеріалу. Для оперативного отримання матеріалів рекомендуємо тримати cтрічку новин поcтійно відкритою.
Cортувати за валютними парами
19.05.2024
23:46
EUR/USD gains ground above 1.0850, focus on Fedspeak EURUSD
  • EUR/USD holds positive ground near 1.0875 in Monday’s early Asian session. 
  • Many Fed officials emphasized their cautious stance to hold rates higher for longer. 
  • ECB’s Schnabel said they should move cautiously on rate cuts because there is a risk of easing prematurely. 

The EUR/USD pair trades on a stronger note around 1.0875 on Monday during the early Asian trading hours. The uptick in the major pair is bolstered by the softer Greenback. The Federal Reserve’s (Fed) Bostic, Barr, Waller, Jefferson, and Mester are scheduled to speak on Monday. Eurozone data highlight will be preliminary May PMI on Thursday.

Inflationary pressures eased in April, but the progress was unlikely to prompt the Fed to lower interest rates soon. The Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that he thinks the US central bank will need more data to gain confidence on whether inflation is steadily falling towards 2%. Furthermore, several Fed officials emphasized their cautious stance to hold rates higher for longer. 

Last week, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic stated he saw signs of cooling inflation in the recent CPI report, but he prefers to watch the May and June data to make sure that the inflation doesn’t turn back the other way. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said policy was well positioned, and it was premature to say progress on inflation had stalled. Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin noted the central bank needs to keep borrowing costs high for longer to ensure inflation is on track to its target. The lower bets on rate cut expectations from the US Fed might lift the USD and create a headwind for the EUR/USD pair. 

Across the pond, European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Isabel Schnabel said the ECB may slash interest rates in June, but warned about further cuts in borrowing costs given uncertainty over the outlook. Nomura analysts stated “a gradual pace of three cuts this year is currently the most probable scenario,” despite the ECB's actions remaining data-dependent and could shift to more aggressive cuts if economic conditions worsen. 

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.0874
Today Daily Change 0.0005
Today Daily Change % 0.05
Today daily open 1.0869
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.0756
Daily SMA50 1.0783
Daily SMA100 1.082
Daily SMA200 1.0789
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.0878
Previous Daily Low 1.0836
Previous Weekly High 1.0895
Previous Weekly Low 1.0766
Previous Monthly High 1.0885
Previous Monthly Low 1.0601
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0862
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0852
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0844
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0818
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0801
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0886
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0904
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0929

 

 

23:11
AUD/USD trades with mild positive bias near 0.6700, RBA Meeting Minutes eyed AUDUSD
  • AUD/USD posts modest gains around 0.6695 on Monday. 
  • The markets remain unconvinced that the Fed will pivot earlier than previously expected. 
  • Australia’s Unemployment Rate rose more than expected last month, easing the possibility of another RBA rate hike.

The AUD/USD pair trades with a mild positive bias near 0.6695 during the early Asian session on Monday. The weaker US Dollar (USD) provides some support to the pair. The Fed’s Bostic, Barr, Waller, Jefferson, and Mester are set to speak on Monday. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will publish the minutes of its monetary policy meeting on Tuesday. 

Fed officials remain very cautious about cutting interest rates prematurely. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin noted that inflation is easing but highlighted that it will "take more time" to reach the Fed’s 2% target. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said that the Fed's current monetary policy stance is appropriate as it continues to assess incoming economic data. Additionally, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said the policy is restrictive but is willing to hike rates if inflation stalls or reverses.

The FOMC minutes will be due on Wednesday. In the latest meeting, the Fed held rates steady and the tone of the policy statement was little changed. The US central bank emphasized a lack of further progress toward its inflation objective. Investors have priced in 10% odds of a cut in June and nearly 80% chance in September. The higher-for-longer US rate narrative might boost the Greenback in the near term and cap the upside of the AUD/USD pair.

On the Aussie front, Australia’s jobless rate climbed more than expected last month, easing the chance of another RBA rate hike. The recent jobs report showed the economy added 38.5K jobs in April, while the Unemployment Rate rose to 4.1%. According to the RBA’s forecasts for employment and inflation, the Australian central bank expected the jobless rate would be 4% by June, 4.2% by year end, and 4.3% in June 2025.
 

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6694
Today Daily Change 0.0001
Today Daily Change % 0.01
Today daily open 0.6693
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6577
Daily SMA50 0.6551
Daily SMA100 0.6567
Daily SMA200 0.6525
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6701
Previous Daily Low 0.6649
Previous Weekly High 0.6714
Previous Weekly Low 0.658
Previous Monthly High 0.6644
Previous Monthly Low 0.6362
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6681
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6669
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6661
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6629
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6609
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6713
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6733
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6766

 

 

23:03
United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (YoY) down to 0.6% in May from previous 1.7%
23:01
United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (MoM): 0.8% (May) vs previous 1.1%

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