AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Drops to near 98.50 due to weakening short-term price momentum

• AUD/JPY continues its losing streak due to a strengthening bearish bias.
• A corrective rebound could be indicated if the 14-day RSI breaks below the 30 level.
• The currency cross may navigate the region around its four-month low of 93.59.

The AUD/JPY cross extends its losing streak for the fifth consecutive day, trading around 98.40 during the European hours on Wednesday. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently above 30, indicating a bearish market trend. If the RSI drops below 30, it would signal an oversold condition, potentially leading to a corrective rebound.

Additionally, an analysis of the daily chart suggests that the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crosses below the 50-day EMA, suggesting a bearish signal. This crossover indicates that the short-term momentum is weakening relative to the longer-term trend, which could signify the continued price weakness.

On the downside, the primary support for the AUD/JPY cross is located around the psychological level of 97.00, followed by the next support at 96.00 level. A decisive break below the latter could open the gates for the currency cross to navigate the region around its four-month low of 93.59, which was recorded on September 11.

To the upside, the AUD/JPY cross may test the primary resistance around the nine-day EMA at 99.92 level, followed by the 50-day EMA at 100.09 level. A break above these levels could weaken the bearish bias, potentially pushing the currency cross toward the four-month high of 102.41, reached on November 7.

AUD/JPY: Daily Chart