Dow Jones Industrial Average squeezes higher on Friday

• The Dow Jones is inching back into record highs on Friday.
• The index continues to find play above 42,000 in the post-Fed glut.
• The Dow Jones stock index rose up to 100 points, or 0.25%, during Friday trading.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) edged back into the top end during the Friday market session, keeping bids north of 42,000 and sticking close to this week’s all-time record peaks. Equities pivoted firmly into the bullish side after the Federal Reserve (Fed) cut interest rates for the first time in over four years, delivering an outsized 50 bps rate cut.

Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell delivered a jumbo 50 bps rate cut this week, pivoting the narrative as a “re-calibration of policy” to shore up the US labor market rather than an outright snap reaction to decaying economic indicators. Markets, for their part, scooped up the Fed Chair’s bid full-parcel, bolstering equities across the board in a rate-cut splurge and sending the US Dollar Index (DXY) to a 14-month low.

With the Fed’s first rate cut in over four years finally out of the way, investors are now ready to pivot to the next immediate task: betting on whether the Fed’s November rate cut will be a 25 bps follow-up or another 50 bps slash. According to the CME’s FedWatch Tool, rate traders have fully priced in another rate cut from the Fed on November 7, with bets evenly split between 25 and 50 bps. Rate markets are so confident the Fed will deliver a follow-up rate cut in a little over six weeks there is currently a 0% chance priced in of the Fed holding rates steady in November.

Dow Jones news

A little under half of the Dow Jones equity index is underwater on Friday, with losses being led by Intel (INTC) which has backslid -3.5% and tumbled below $20.50 per share. Intel recently announced multiple plans to spin the vessel back keel-side down, including axing around 10% of their global workforce, spinning off their foundry business into an independent subsidiary, and inking a fresh deal with Amazon to produce exclusive AI-based chipsets for Amazon Web Services. Despite all of the planned pivots, investors are still balking at the silicon company’s expected $25 to $27 billion in capital expenditures over the next year.

The Dow Chemical Company (DOW) is also chasing the bottom of the barrel on Friday, despite a recent announcement that the manufacturing company was tapped to receive $100 million in subsidy funding from the Department of Energy to establish or expand US-based battery manufacturing.

Dow Jones price forecast

Despite an absolutely stellar performance on the charts recently, bidding pressure is beginning to show signs of exhaustion, with the Dow Jones struggling to continue chalking in subsequent record highs with little to no pullback. The major equity index rose nearly 5.5% from the last swing low into the 40,000 major price handle, and price action is set to dig into the 42,000 level for the time being.

Dow Jones daily chart