Обзоры рынков: Мнения экспертов

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19.03.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has gained 0.5% to 103.93 points this week, signaling continued strength amid expectations of extended monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which is set to meet this Wednesday. The EURUSD pair declined by 0.4% to 1.08450 as the Greenback strengthened. This movement comes in response to the recent inflation data for February in the United States, which showed an unexpected increase to 3.2% YoY, up from 3.1% YoY in January. Additionally, the producer price index surged to 1.
14.03.2024
Brent crude prices have seen a 3.2% increase this week, reaching $85.05 per barrel, which is very close to the 4-month high of $85.09. This level has acted as a robust resistance for the past two weeks. Maintaining prices above the $81.00-83.00 resistance since March 13 has paved the way for a target range of $87.00-92.00 per barrel. This upward trend has now become the primary scenario. However, before reaching this target, prices must surpass the significant obstacle at $85.09. Investor sentiment appears optimistic regarding this upward trajectory, as evidenced by the $51.
12.03.2024
The Greenback is trading neutrally this week, with the U.S. Dollar index (DXY) adding 0.1% to reach 102.83 points. The EURUSD has risen at the same pace to 1.09320, indicating good market synchronization. Last Friday, the Dollar experienced a 1.3% loss as the EURUSD peaked at 1.09810, the highest level since January 12. Despite a subsequent retreat, no reversal formations have been detected, suggesting a potential further decline of the Dollar. The primary reason for the Dollar's weakening is the cooling labor market in the United States.
07.03.2024
Gold prices are rising by 3.4% to $2154 per troy ounce. Gains were even bigger on Thursday morning, but the bullion has retreated a little. There is no particular reason for gold to rally by 5.5% since last Friday. The last time a similar upside movement was recorded was in October 2023 when Hamas attacked Israel. Prices surged by 6.0% within 6 days then. Although there are some reasons why gold prices are rising. Foremost, China is increasing gold imports from Switzerland. The country has bought 3 times more gold in January, reaching 110 tonnes. This is the highest in the last 3.
05.03.2024
The U.S. Dollar is exhibiting a neutral trend this week, with the U.S. Dollar index showing a slight 0.1% increase to 103.93 points. The EURUSD pair remains mostly unchanged, hovering slightly above the resistance at 1.08200-1.08400. In the previous week, the pair retraced to 1.08000 after approaching 1.09400. Macroeconomic data in the United States is favoring the weakening of the Dollar. The U.S. Q4 2023 GDP estimate was revised down to 3.2% QoQ from the previous 3.3%, while the Atlanta Federal Reserve (Fed) lowered its Q1 2024 GDP estimate to 2.
29.02.2024
This week, Brent crude prices increased by 0.8% to $82.50 per barrel. However, this formal rise is considered non-indicative, as prices have been consolidating within the resistance range of $81.00-$83.00 per barrel for three consecutive weeks. Macroeconomic concerns are taking precedence over geopolitical tensions. U.S. President Joe Biden has expressed hope for a ceasefire in Israel's conflict with Gaza before March 4. The combination of a global macroeconomic slowdown and eased geopolitical tensions could contribute to lower crude prices.
27.02.2024
The U.S. Dollar is experiencing a decline, with its index (DXY) dropping by 0.3% to 103.68 points this week. Against the Euro, the EURUSD has edged lower by 0.3%, currently trading at 1.08620. The performance of the Greenback appears mixed when compared to other major reserve currencies. The EURUSD is trading above the resistance level at 1.07900-1.08300, indicating a potential further upside. While the pair reached 1.08880 last week, it retreated after the release of mixed PMI data in both the Eurozone and the U.S. Nevertheless, the pair remains above 1.08000, a sign of strength.
22.02.2024
Gold prices have experienced a 1.0% increase, reaching $2032 per troy ounce this week. This contributes to a solid 2.0% rise since February 15. Despite the vulnerable position of gold, it has shown resilience and growth during this period. U.S. 10-year Treasuries yields are currently at three-month highs, ranging from 4.31% to 4.33%. Bets on interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in March and May have declined to 6.5% and 27.5%, respectively.
20.02.2024
The currency market has stabilized following the release of January inflation data in the United States. The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) is hovering around 104.30 points, while the EURUSD remains unchanged at 1.07700. Last week's inflation data in the U.S. exceeded expectations, indicating a monthly acceleration in prices. This suggests renewed inflationary pressures that may lead the Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain its interest rates unchanged in March and May. Bets on interest rate cuts declined to 8.5% and 32.9%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
15.02.2024
Brent crude prices experienced a 0.9% decline to $81.40 per barrel over the week, initially climbing by 1.8% to $83.74 per barrel before retracing. The retracement followed the report of a significant increase in U.S. oil inventories by 12.0 million barrels, marking the largest rise since November 2023. This substantial growth surpassed expectations of a 5.5 million barrel increase. Although the unexpected surge in inventories led to a temporary setback, oil prices are still navigating within a resistance zone of $81.00-83.00 per barrel.
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