Forex-novosti i prognoze od 13-04-2018

The number of job openings was little changed at 6.1 million on the last business day of February, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, hires and separations were little changed at 5.5 million and 5.2 million, respectively. Within separations, the quits rate was unchanged at
2.2 percent and the layoffs and discharges rate was little changed at 1.1 percent. This release includes estimates of the number and rate of job openings, hires, and separations for the nonfarm sector by industry and by four geographic regions.

• Companies name Russia, Middle East, North Africa, Turkey and China as regions where they experienced hindrances to their activities the most

• Despite rising barriers to business, a quarter of 2,100 firms surveyed expect business to improve, 10 pct expect deterioration

• First quarter job growth 'strong'; risk of boom-bust if unemployment drops too far

• U.S. should increase policy buffers ahead of next downturn

• Fiscal stimulus could leave economy vulnerable in next downturn

• Trade tariffs risk disrupting U.S. economy in hard-to-predict ways

Tremendous pressure is building, like never before, for the Border Wall and an end to crime cradling Sanctuary Cities. Started the Wall in San Diego, where the people were pushing really hard to get it. They will soon be protected! @realDonaldTrump

• Propose banning U.S. goods, such as tobacco and alcohol, and medicine

• Propose banning some american citizens from entering Russia

The first estimate for euro area (EA19) exports of goods to the rest of the world in February 2018 was €177.5 billion, an increase of 3.0% compared with February 2017 (€172.3 bn). Imports from the rest of the world stood at €158.6 bn, a rise of 1.5% compared with February 2017 (€156.2 bn). As a result, the euro area recorded a €18.9 bn surplus in trade in goods with the rest of the world in February 2018, compared with +€16.1 bn in February 2017. Intra-euro area trade rose to €153.7 bn in February 2018, up by 3.9% compared with February 2017.

• OECD stocks could reach 5-year average by may, product stocks already in deficit

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2447 (2181)

$1.2429 (1394)

$1.2395 (215)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2326

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2258 (3773)

$1.2222 (4049)

$1.2182 (3636)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date May, 4 is 75998 contracts (according to data from April, 12) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2650 (4069);

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.4333 (2094)

$1.4302 (2028)

$1.4278 (883)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.4241

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.4184 (354)

$1.4160 (498)

$1.4132 (896)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 4 is 23118 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4400 (3203);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date May, 4 is 23781 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3850 (2488);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.03 versus 1.03 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 12

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

Consumer prices in Germany were 1.6% higher in March 2018 than in March 2017. The inflation rate - measured by the consumer price index - thus increased slightly. In the three preceding months the rate of inflation had declined gradually. Compared with February 2018, the consumer price index rose by 0.4% in March 2018. The Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) thus confirms its provisional overall results of 29 March 2018.

The prices of energy products were up 0.5% year on year in March 2018. The rise in energy prices was thus considerably smaller than the overall rise in prices. In February 2018, the rate of energy price increase had been even lower at +0.1%. From March 2017 to March 2018, price rises were recorded especially for heating oil (+5.4%). The price of electricity (+1.5%) and charges for central and district heating (+0.8%) were also up on a year earlier. In contrast, price decreases were recorded in the same period for solid fuels (-1.6%), gas (-1.4%) and motor fuels (-0.7%). Excluding energy prices, the inflation rate in March 2018 would have been +1.6% as well.

China's exports declined unexpectedly in March, while imports grew more-than-expected, according to rttnews.

In dollar terms, exports fell 2.7 percent year-over-year in March, confounding economists' forecast for a notable increase of 11.8 percent.

Meanwhile, imports surged 14.4 percent in March from a year ago, faster than the expected spike of 12.0 percent.

The trade deficit came in at $4.98 billion in March, in contrast to the expected surplus of $27.5 billion.

• Bank capital ratios close to or above "unquestionably strong" targets

• Risks to bank capital from past misconduct "appear limited" so far

• Overall funding costs for banks has declined over the past year

• Small minority of borrowers with interest only loans to face difficulty with refinancing