- Analiza
- Novosti i instrumenti
- Vesti sa tržišta
- The US labour market is always good for a surprise – Commerzbank
The US labour market is always good for a surprise – Commerzbank
What a US jobs report! Not only was the actual number higher than any of the economists in the Bloomberg survey had expected, but the previous two months were revised sharply higher and the unemployment rate surprisingly fell, Commerzbank’s FX analyst Michael Pfister notes.
US economy is slowing but remains solid
“Average job growth in the final quarter was actually quite a bit higher than the average in the second quarter. And the July jobs report, which sent shock waves through the market in early August, looks less scary after the revision.”
“First, the market reaction was textbook-like: the USD rallied sharply and a 25bp cut was priced out across the curve. The upshot is that interest rate expectations now look much more realistic, i.e. the market seems to be backing our economists' view that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points per meeting at the upcoming meetings, rather than the larger pace of 50 basis points.”
“The figures have once again confirmed something crucial: one should simply not over-interpret a single data point from the payrolls at the moment, both in terms of positive and negative surprises. Friday's figure is also likely to be revised several times. More important for the Fed's decisions will be the medium-term trend in the number of jobs created. And this underlying trend tends to confirm the pre-summer view that the US economy is slowing but remains solid. Conversely, one should not bet too heavily against the USD.”
© 2000-2024. Sva prava zaštićena.
Sajt je vlasništvo kompanije Teletrade D.J. LLC 2351 LLC 2022 (Euro House, Richmond Hill Road, Kingstown, VC0100, St. Vincent and the Grenadines).
Svi podaci koji se nalaze na sajtu ne predstavljaju osnovu za donošenje investicionih odluka, već su informativnog karaktera.
The company does not serve or provide services to customers who are residents of the US, Canada, Iran, The Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Yemen and FATF blacklisted countries.
Izvršenje trgovinskih operacija sa finansijskim instrumentima upotrebom marginalne trgovine pruža velike mogućnosti i omogućava investitorima ostvarivanje visokih prihoda. Međutim, takav vid trgovine povezan je sa potencijalno visokim nivoom rizika od gubitka sredstava. Проведение торговых операций на финанcовых рынках c маржинальными финанcовыми инcтрументами открывает широкие возможноcти, и позволяет инвеcторам, готовым пойти на риcк, получать выcокую прибыль, но при этом неcет в cебе потенциально выcокий уровень риcка получения убытков. Iz tog razloga je pre započinjanja trgovine potrebno odlučiti o izboru odgovarajuće investicione strategije, uzimajući u obzir raspoložive resurse.
Upotreba informacija: U slučaju potpunog ili delimičnog preuzimanja i daljeg korišćenja materijala koji se nalazi na sajtu, potrebno je navesti link odgovarajuće stranice na sajtu kompanije TeleTrade-a kao izvora informacija. Upotreba materijala na internetu mora biti praćena hiper linkom do web stranice teletrade.org. Automatski uvoz materijala i informacija sa stranice je zabranjen.
Ako imate bilo kakvih pitanja, obratite nam se pr@teletrade.global.
Банковни транcфери
