Fed's Goolsbee: There is an overwhelming Fed consensus for multiple rate cuts
06.09.2024, 16:20

Fed's Goolsbee: There is an overwhelming Fed consensus for multiple rate cuts

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee noted on Friday that Fed officials are finally beginning to catch up with the broader market's view that the time has come for movement from the US central bank on policy rates, but downplayed discussion of a larger opening cut in September.

Key highlights

The job market is slowing down.

Today's employment data is a continuation of what we've been seeing.

It raises some serious questions about this meeting and next several months that we make sure not to make labor market turn into something worse.

There is a overwhelming Fed consensus for multiple rate cuts.

When asked about bigger rate cuts: Look at the dot plots, which didn't show inflation coming down as fast or unemployment rising so high.

When asked about 50 bps cut in September: What happens at next meeting alone is not what is most important.

The current employment average is too low for replacement rate.

We have a little more tolerance for an upside surprise on CPI as the longer arc shows inflation coming down.

I am concerned if we maintain this level of restrictiveness, the odds of recession might be rising.

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Izvršenje trgovinskih operacija sa finansijskim instrumentima upotrebom marginalne trgovine pruža velike mogućnosti i omogućava investitorima ostvarivanje visokih prihoda. Međutim, takav vid trgovine povezan je sa potencijalno visokim nivoom rizika od gubitka sredstava. Проведение торговых операций на финанcовых рынках c маржинальными финанcовыми инcтрументами открывает широкие возможноcти, и позволяет инвеcторам, готовым пойти на риcк, получать выcокую прибыль, но при этом неcет в cебе потенциально выcокий уровень риcка получения убытков. Iz tog razloga je pre započinjanja trgovine potrebno odlučiti o izboru odgovarajuće investicione strategije, uzimajući u obzir raspoložive resurse.

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