The AUD/NZD is currently trading with slight gains, as market participants digest recent figures from Australia and look forward to ANZ data from New Zealand.
In Australia, Retail sales for April came in slightly under expectations at 0.1% MoM, following a 0.4% decline in March. This lackluster performance could influence the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) policies and might prompt it to take a more dovish approach, taking off the table a rate hike after its New Zealander peer, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) revived that discussion recently.
On the Kiwis, the anticipation in New Zealand is centered on the ANZ business survey data for May to be released during the upcoming Asian session. Depending on the results, this could sway the betting on the RBNZ's upcoming monetary policy decisions. While officials have hinted at a potential rate cut, market predictions continue to bet on a first cut to occur in Q4.
On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) maintains its position in negative territory. This is fortified by the red bars of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram, confirming a continued downward momentum.
Nevertheless, the pair trades above its 100- and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA), suggesting a medium-to-long uptrend. However, with the AUD/NZD standing below the 20-day SMA, it highlights a dominance for the short-term.
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