Preliminary
data released by IHS Markit on Friday revealed that U.S. private sector
business activity continued to expand strongly during July, albeit at a softer
pace than in June.
According
to the report, the Markit flash manufacturing purchasing manager's index (PMI)
came in at 63.1 in July, up from 62.1 in May. The latest reading pointed to a record
expansion in factory activity. Economists had expected the reading to decrease
to 62.0. A reading above 50 signals an expansion in activity, while a reading
below this level signals a contraction. The growth in the headline index was supported
by a quicker rise in new orders across the manufacturing sector, as new and existing
customers ramped up their spending. Production grew at a slightly quicker pace
despite further reports of material shortages. The pace of job creation
accelerated to the sharpest for three months. On the price front, cost burdens saw the fastest rise on record amid stronger demand for inputs globally and a
scarcity of materials. Subsequently, the rate of charge inflation accelerated
to a fresh series high.
The
Markit flash services purchasing manager's index (PMI) dropped to 59.8 in July,
down from 64.6 in the previous month. This was the lowest reading since
February. Economists had expected the reading to increase to 64.8. Contributing
to the weaker expansion of business activity was a slower upturn in new
business across the service sector in July. The pace of expansion was the least
marked for five months, as some firms noted customer hesitancy amid noticeable increases
in selling prices. Similarly, the rate of advance in new export orders eased. Although
firms recorded a solid rise in employment, the level of outstanding business
grew further in July as service providers struggled to keep up with incoming
new business.
Overall,
IHS Markit Flash U.S. Composite PMI Output Index came in at 59.7 in July, down
from 63.7 in June. This was the lowest reading since March.
“The
provisional PMI data for July point to the pace of economic growth slowing for
a second successive month, though importantly this cooling has followed an unprecedented
growth spurt in May,” noted Chris
Williamson, Chief Business Economist at HIS Markit. “Some moderation of service
sector growth in particular was always on the cards after the initial reopening
of the economy, and importantly we’re now seeing nicely-balanced strong growth
across both manufacturing and services."
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