The Chicago
Federal Reserve announced on Monday the Chicago Fed national activity index
(CFNAI), a weighted average of 85 different economic indicators, came in at 0.27
in September, down from an upwardly revised 1.11 in August (originally 0.79),
pointing to slower growth in economic activity than in the previous month but
still slightly above the average. That was the lowest reading since the sharp decline
in April.
Economists had
forecast the index to come in at 0.39 in September.
At the same
time, the index’s three-month moving average fell to +0.51 in September from
+0.71 in August.
According to
the report, three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct
the index made positive contributions in September, but three of the four
categories declined from August.
Production-related
indicators made a negative contribution of -0.24 to the CFNAI in September,
down from +0.31 in August. Meanwhile, the contribution of the personal
consumption and housing category to the CFNAI improved to +0.09 in September
from a neutral value in August. Employment-related indicators contributed +0.35
to the CFNAI in September, down from +0.71 in August. The contribution of the
sales, orders, and inventories category to the CFNAI decreased to +0.07 in
September from +0.10 in August.
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