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- Long EUR/USD at 1.1080 – Westpac
Long EUR/USD at 1.1080 – Westpac
Analysts at Westpac are recommending to go long on EUR/USD pair at 1.1080 levels for the target price of 1.1280, while maintaining stop loss of 1.1015.
“Rationale:
- Recent EZ data have beaten estimates with an apparent shift in trend from ever weaker activity reports
- Latest German new export and capital orders suggest a floor may been in place for a key driver of EZ’s economy
- EC has accepted Italy’s Budget proposals suggesting a less aggressive stance on annual assessments
- Regional rises in yields have lifted French 10yr OATs above zero
- Improvements in US-China trade stance lifts global risk sentiment and is now USD negative
- EU officials suggest that there is no imminent risk around EU-US auto negotiations despite lack of a deal
- Germany’s Fin Min appears to have broken the national hurdle towards the potential of an EU banking union.
Risks:
- US-China talks are still some distance from being assured and Dec signing could still be derailed
- Any deterioration in EU-US trade negotiations even if the mid-November deadline appears to have been pushed forward
- EC’s lower growth forecasts feed into ECB and cause a further push in accommodative forward guidance
- Trump Tweets: either against US trade or Fed
- EUR/USD has been tightly range-bound since mid-Oct. and may fail to find a directional push.”
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