Novosti svih centralnih banaka

Novosti banaka

  • 19 новембар 2020, 09:39
    ECB can't go bankrupt even it suffers losses

    Reuters reports that ECB President Christine Lagarde said that the European Central Bank could "neither go bankrupt nor run out of money" even if it were to suffer losses on the multi-trillion-euro pile of bonds it has bought under its stimulus programmes.

    "As the sole issuer of euro-denominated central bank money, the Eurosystem will always be able to generate additional liquidity as needed," Lagarde said.

    "So, by the definition, it will neither go bankrupt nor run out of money. In addition to that, any financial losses, should they occur, would not impair our ability to seek and maintain price stability.

  • 13 новембар 2020, 10:57
    ECB's De Cos says it will take time before COVID vaccine has positive impact on economy

    Reuters reports that European Central Bank policymaker Pablo Hernandez de Cos said that it will take time before any COVID-19 vaccine has a positive impact on the economy. 

    New restrictions imposed in euro zone countries to curb the second wave of the pandemic mean that the ECB's upcoming macroeconomic projections in December would be most likely revised downwards, de Cos added.

    "The vaccine is very positive news, regarding investor confidence, consumers confidence and economic activity. But I would like to be cautious. In the short term, restrictions will continue across Europe," de Cos said.

    The good news on the vaccine "will take time to translate into economic activity," he added.

  • 12 новембар 2020, 08:43
    Bank of England (BOE) Governor Bailey: Vaccine news is broadly consistent with BOE forecast assumptions

    • Vaccine news starts to reduce the weight of uncertainty

    • Today's GDP data was in line with where we thought it would be

    • We've had a strong recovery, but there is still a huge gap

    • The recovery has been very uneven

    • Don't have a date in mind for negative rates review outcome

    • We have talked about yield curve control, but it's something I don't see a great need for at the moment

    • Great deal of work to be done with banks in deciding if negative rates are doable

    • We will have more information on Brexit in December meeting

  • 20 октобар 2020, 09:40
    Bank of England policymaker Vlieghe: It appears downside risks are starting to materialise

    • Not yet at a point where we can reach a conclusion on negative rates

    • There is a risk that negative rates end up being counterproductive

    • Outlook for monetary policy is skewed towards adding further stimulus

    • QE is probably less potent now than in March

    • Risks are skewed towards even larger job losses

    • Difficult to see a scenario where all furlough workers are reintegrated seamlessly

    • The speed of the recovery is likely to be slower while the virus remains a concern

  • 22 септембар 2020, 08:03
    BOE governor Bailey: UK recovery has been quite rapid, substantial, but below the surface, the recovery is very uneven

    • UK recovery in Q3 is a little bit ahead of expectations

    • The economy can be viewed as glass half-full or half-empty

    • Labour demand is weak, unemployment is higher than reported number

    • Investment is also very weak, but housing market is strong

    • We will do everything we can to support the UK economy

    • We have looked very hard at scope to cut rates further

    • That includes negative interest rates

    • Concluded that negative rates should be in the toolbox

    • We do not intend to take any action to tighten policy until there is very clear evidence of significant progress to achieve 2% inflation target sustainably

    • Like the Fed, BOE is flexible in returning inflation back to its target

  • 4 септембар 2020, 09:58
    Bank of England policymaker Saunders It is likely that additional easing will be appropriate

    • The economy’s faster-than-expected rebound in the last few months has reflected a benign window in which large fiscal support has coincided with the relaxation of lockdown measures and low infection rates. This window may now be closing.

    • Unemployment is likely to rise significantly in coming quarters as the furlough scheme winds down and workforce participation recovers.

    • The strength in money growth is an indication of the exceptional level of fiscal and monetary policy support in recent months. It is unlikely to translate into excess spending given the economic impact from Covid-19.

    • Looking forward, I suspect that risks lie on the side of a slower recovery over the next year or two and a longer period of excess supply than the forecast in the August MPR. 

    • If these risks develop, then some further monetary loosening may be needed in order to support the economy and prevent a persistent undershoot of the 2% inflation target.

  • 7 август 2020, 09:19
    BOE policymaker Ramsden: Debt, higher borrowing was a necessary response to the pandemic

    • Yields in the gilt market are extraordinarily low

    • Trends over many years have pushed down rates

    • We are not actively planning for negative rates

    • We are using tried and test policies such as QE

    • Important to stress that negative rates are now in the toolbox

    • Financial structure is a key conditionality for negative rates

    • BOE can support the transition by keeping rates low

  • 4 август 2020, 09:41
    Size of ECB bond buys depend on inflation outlook, Lane says

    Reuters reports that the size of the European Central Bank’s bond purchases will depend on the inflation outlook, the ECB’s chief economist Philip Lane said on Tuesday, warning once again about “highly uncertain” economic prospects for the euro zone.

    “The overall envelope of PEPP (Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme) purchases is a core determinant of the ECB’s overall monetary stance,” Lane said in a blog post.

    “In line with the ECB’s price stability mandate, the inflation outlook plays the central role in determining the appropriate monetary stance.”

  • 31 јул 2020, 07:30
    ECB President Christine Lagarde: We have to maintain safety net at least until June 2021

    • We should envisage support continuing beyond 2020

    • We really have to maintain attractive conditions until the middle of next year at least

  • 26 јун 2020, 07:40
    ECB president Christine Lagarde: We probably have passed the lowest point of the crisis, but cautious about possibility of a second wave of infections

    • Economic recovery will be sequential

    • The recovery will be a complicated matter, there is a lot of uncertainty

    • Savings grew substantially over the past two months

    • It will take a while before that translates back into investments, spending

    • Central banks have responded to the crisis in a 'massive' way

    • This crisis is worse than the 2008-09 financial crisis

    • The ECB mandate is the same i.e. focus on price stability

    • We have to use instruments that provide the most proportionate response

    • Needed to ensure that there was sufficient liquidity

    • Also needed to make sure that banks could continue lending to the economy

    • For once, monetary policy and fiscal policy worked hand in hand

  • 22 јун 2020, 06:50
    BOE Governor Andrew Bailey: Would shrink balance sheet before raising rates in future

    • Massive programme of asset purchases has been the right thing to do.

    • Central bank independence should not be called into question by COVID-19.

    • Financial system mustn’t become reliant on these extraordinary levels of central bank reserves.

    • Current scale of central bank reserves mustn’t become a permanent feature.

    • Elevated balance sheets could limit the room for manoeuvre in future emergencies.

    • As economies recover, it’s likely that some of the exceptional monetary stimulus will need to be withdrawn, including by reducing reserves.

  • 12 јун 2020, 08:41
    ECB's Enria urges banks to eat into capital and lend

    Reuters reports that the European Central Bank's top supervisor urged banks on Friday to eat into their capital buffers and continue lending during the coronavirus crisis, insisting the ECB would be slow in raising requirements again.

    "I hear sometimes that banks might not be willing to use the buffers because of concerns that the ECB would... ask for a fast replenishment of the buffers," Andrea Enria told a virtual meeting of bankers.

    "I want to reassure all parties that we will strive to put in place a well-designed and credible path to normality," he added.

  • 29 мај 2020, 09:29
    ECB's Visco says policymakers must counter deflation risk

    Reuters reports that European Central Bank Governing Council member Ignazio Visco said on Friday policy makers had to act to head off deflationary risks brought about by the sudden halt to economic activity during the coronavirus crisis.

    Visco, who is also governor of the Bank of Italy, said disinflationary pressures could be strong and persistent, threatening economies where already high levels of public debt are growing massively during the crisis.

    Presenting the Bank of Italy's annual report, he said the ECB was ready to use all the instruments available to ensure that all sectors of the economy could benefit from accommodative financing conditions.

    "Steps must be taken to counter the significant risk of low inflation and the marked fall in economic activity from translating into a permanent reduction in expected inflation or into the possible resurfacing of the threat of deflation," he said.

    "Also as a result of the high levels of public and private debt in the euro area as a whole, this could trigger a dangerous spiral between the fall in prices and that in aggregate demand."

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