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24.07.2025
Brent crude prices declined by 0.4% to $69.24
per barrel this week, continuing a period of consolidation that began in early
July, hovering just below the resistance range of $71.00–$73.00. Despite
several attempts, prices have been unable to break meaningfully higher or drop
significantly lower.
Over the past ten
days, Brent briefly climbed to $71.99, the highest level since June 23, suggesting
a potential breakout, but gains were capped following an unexpectedly
conciliatory statement from U.S. President Donald Trump regarding sanctions on
Russia.
22.07.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) declined by 0.54%
to 97.91 points this week, while the EURUSD rose by 0.60% to 1.16890. The pair
has nearly reached its downside target after touching 1.15920 on July 16,
following the release of hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data for June. Headline inflation accelerated to 2.7% YoY from 2.4%, marking the highest reading since February.
Shortly afterward, U.S. President Donald Trump
stepped in, determined to push for interest rate cuts.
17.07.2025
Gold prices declined by 0.52% to $3,338 per
troy ounce this week, remaining trapped in an increasingly narrow sideways
range centred around $3,330–$3,350. Fluctuations have become so minor that they
appear almost irrelevant, with the precious metal firmly locked in a dull
summer consolidation phase. Even major geopolitical and macroeconomic
developments have failed to generate sustained momentum. Earlier in July, U.S. President Donald Trump
extended a global tariff deadline to August 1, initially sending gold tumbling
by 1.
15.07.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) climbed 0.15% to
98.00 this week, while EURUSD is hovering flat around 1.16900. Although the Euro
weakened 0.69% last week, a drop in line with broad Dollar strength, it has
fared noticeably better than the British pound. GBPUSD fell 1.11% over the same
period and has lost nearly 2.0% over the last two weeks, compared to just a
0.29% decline for the Euro. This growing divergence
suggests deeper forces at play beyond simple market volatility.
One key factor could be the differing trade
dynamics with the U.S.
10.07.2025
Brent crude prices are rising by 2.3% to $70.90
per barrel this week, recovering after an early-week dip. On Monday, prices
fell by 1.3% to $68.04 following an unexpected decision from OPEC+, which
announced a substantial increase in oil production by 548,000 barrels per day
starting in August. This follows a previous gradual ramp-up of 411,000 bpd that
began in May. The August increase is the largest so far and nearly completes
the reversal of OPEC+’s prior 2.2 million bpd output cuts, leaving only 419,000
bpd to be restored by September.
08.07.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) rose by a modest
0.10% to 97.26 points this week, while the EURUSD declined 0.20% to 1.17500,
signaling that the Euro is beginning to retreat from its recent highs. Much of
the previous upward momentum in the EURUSD was driven by Federal Reserve Chair
Jerome Powell’s dovish tone at the ECB conference in Portugal in June, where he
outlined multiple possibilities for the July FOMC meeting, including the
potential for a rate cut. At the same time, the U.S. Senate passed Donald
Trump’s new tax bill, which increased the national debt ceiling by $3.4
trillion.
03.07.2025
Gold prices climbed 2.4% to $3,352 per troy
ounce this week, largely recovering from last week’s decline. A similar pattern
played out earlier when gold surged to $3,450 on reports of U.S. airstrikes
against Iranian nuclear facilities, only to retreat by 2.0% to $3,360. The
yellow metal appears to be running flat, failing to break above resistance at
$3,430–$3,450 even at the peak of geopolitical tensions, and bouncing off
support at $3,230–$3,250 after strong U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures
(PCE) inflation data.
01.07.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has declined by
0.82% to 96.60 points, while the EURUSD has climbed by 0.81% to 1.18110. The
Dollar came under sustained pressure throughout the week as a wave of negative
developments hit the market. By Tuesday, the Middle East conflict had been
largely dismissed after Iran and Israel agreed to a ceasefire. The EURUSD
initially jumped to 1.15770. Not
long after, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell contributed to the Dollar’s troubles during his testimony to Congress.
26.06.2025
Brent crude prices plunged 11.9% this week to
$68.10 per barrel — a dramatic reversal that erased the entire geopolitical
risk premium built up over recent weeks. Just on Monday, that premium was
estimated as high as $13.70 per barrel. In hindsight, the events of the weekend
marked a seismic shift for energy markets.
Last Wednesday, it became evident that Israel
alone would not succeed in disabling Iran’s nuclear infrastructure. On Thursday evening, the U.S. government signalled
that a decision on further action would be taken by President Donald Trump within
two weeks.
24.06.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) dropped by 1.2% to
97.98 points this week, while the EURUSD rose by 0.77% to 1.16120 as currency
markets responded to rapid shifts in Middle East tensions. Initially, the Euro
rebounded from support at 1.14500 to 1.15500 after U.S. President Donald Trump
announced a two-week pause before deciding on further action against Iran.
However, when Trump later ordered strikes on Iranian nuclear sites and Iran
responded with retaliatory attacks, the EURUSD fell back toward 1.14500. A
confirmed break below that level could have triggered a deeper decline toward
1.
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