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03.07.2025
Gold prices climbed 2.4% to $3,352 per troy
ounce this week, largely recovering from last week’s decline. A similar pattern
played out earlier when gold surged to $3,450 on reports of U.S. airstrikes
against Iranian nuclear facilities, only to retreat by 2.0% to $3,360. The
yellow metal appears to be running flat, failing to break above resistance at
$3,430–$3,450 even at the peak of geopolitical tensions, and bouncing off
support at $3,230–$3,250 after strong U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures
(PCE) inflation data.
01.07.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has declined by
0.82% to 96.60 points, while the EURUSD has climbed by 0.81% to 1.18110. The
Dollar came under sustained pressure throughout the week as a wave of negative
developments hit the market. By Tuesday, the Middle East conflict had been
largely dismissed after Iran and Israel agreed to a ceasefire. The EURUSD
initially jumped to 1.15770. Not
long after, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell contributed to the Dollar’s troubles during his testimony to Congress.
26.06.2025
Brent crude prices plunged 11.9% this week to
$68.10 per barrel — a dramatic reversal that erased the entire geopolitical
risk premium built up over recent weeks. Just on Monday, that premium was
estimated as high as $13.70 per barrel. In hindsight, the events of the weekend
marked a seismic shift for energy markets.
Last Wednesday, it became evident that Israel
alone would not succeed in disabling Iran’s nuclear infrastructure. On Thursday evening, the U.S. government signalled
that a decision on further action would be taken by President Donald Trump within
two weeks.
24.06.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) dropped by 1.2% to
97.98 points this week, while the EURUSD rose by 0.77% to 1.16120 as currency
markets responded to rapid shifts in Middle East tensions. Initially, the Euro
rebounded from support at 1.14500 to 1.15500 after U.S. President Donald Trump
announced a two-week pause before deciding on further action against Iran.
However, when Trump later ordered strikes on Iranian nuclear sites and Iran
responded with retaliatory attacks, the EURUSD fell back toward 1.14500. A
confirmed break below that level could have triggered a deeper decline toward
1.
19.06.2025
Gold prices declined by 2.0% this week,
retreating to around $3,370 per troy ounce. The pullback is largely a
correction from last Friday’s sharp spike driven by escalating tensions in the
Middle East. Talks between the U.S. and Iran over a potential nuclear agreement
stalled on June 11, prompting gold to break above the key resistance zone at
$3,330–3,350. U.S. President Donald Trump’s cryptic warning that “something
would happen” preceded Israel’s airstrikes on Iranian military and nuclear
sites early Friday. In response, gold surged to $3,446, the highest since April
22.
17.06.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) remains pinned
near 98.18 points, while the EURUSD is trading slightly higher by 0.05% at
1.15550 this week. The pair has already surpassed all key technical upside
targets, having broken above the primary resistance at 1.15500 immediately
after the release of weaker-than-expected U.S. consumer inflation data for May
on June 11. The pressure on the Greenback continued the next day when producer
price index (PPI) data for May showed a mixed picture: headline PPI rose in
line with expectations to 2.6% year-over-year from 2.
10.06.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) remains subdued
near 99.17 points, with the EURUSD trading slightly higher by 0.10% at 1.14050.
The pair initially advanced last week on the back of weak U.S. macroeconomic
data, including disappointing manufacturing PMI and a sharp drop in ADP Nonfarm
Payrolls to just 37,000 for May—the lowest figure since January 2022. This
weakness helped propel the EURUSD toward its primary upside target zone of
1.14500–1.15500, reaching as high as 1.14940.
05.06.2025
Brent crude prices rose by 3.5% to $65.40 per
barrel, largely returning to the average level seen over the past two months.
Despite a series of political and economic developments, no single event has
had a decisive impact on the oil market. On May 28, Brent climbed 0.8% to
$64.85 following the U.S. Court of International Trade’s decision to overturn
proposed tariff hikes. However, after the U.S. Appeals Court reinstated those
tariffs, prices slid by 1.5% to $63.89.
03.06.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) fell by 0.41% to
98.92 points this week, while EURUSD climbed by 0.57% to 1.14110, with currency
markets remaining heavily influenced by ongoing tariff developments. Initially,
the delay of the 50% U.S. tariffs on EU imports until July 9 supported the
Dollar, lifting it by as much as 0.6% during the first half of the week and
pushing EURUSD down to 1.12920. This signaled a potential move toward the
1.12600 support level, which materialized after the U.S. Court of International
Trade blocked Trump’s proposed tariff hikes.
29.05.2025
Gold prices fell sharply this week by 2.0% to
$3,286 per troy ounce, extending the decline to as much as 3.3% at the weekly
low of $3,245 — near the critical support zone at $3,230–3,250. This area has
proven technically and psychologically significant, marking a key battleground
for bulls and bears. The major driver of volatility has been U.S. trade policy.
After initially rallying on renewed tariff threats from President Trump, gold
reversed sharply when a U.S. Federal court blocked those tariffs, ruling they
exceeded presidential authority.
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