CFD Trading Rate US Dollar vs Singapore Dollar (USDSGD)

USD/SGD rose another leg higher, as USD strength post-FOMC overwhelmed. Pair was last seen trading at 1.3615, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Near term pullback move lower is possible

“Daily momentum turned bullish while RSI rose into overbought conditions. Not ruling out pullback move lower in the near term but dips may still find support. Resistance at 1.3620, 1.3670 levels. Support at 1.3510, 1.3460 (21 DMA).”

“S$NEER weakened with our S$NEER index now closer to May-2024 levels. % deviation from model-implied mid has also ease to around 0.64%.”

USD/SGD continued to trade near recent highs. The pair was last at 1.3504, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Consolidation likely near term

“Mild bearish momentum on daily chart faded but rise in RSI shows signs of fading. Consolidation likely. Immediate resistance here at 1.3520 levels (triple top). Support at 1.3340 (200 DMA, 23.6% fibo retracement of Sep low to Nov high), 1.3310 (50 DMA).”

“Pair should continue to take directional cues from USD and CNY moves ahead of FOMC event risk later this week. S$NEER was last at 0.83% above model implied mid.”

USD/SGD resumed its rise, tracking the move higher in UST yield while weaker JPY and RMB saw negative spillover effects. Pair was last at 1.3501, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Set to continue to take directional cues from USD and CNY

“Mild bearish momentum on daily chart faded while RSI rose. Consolidation likely. Resistance at 1.3490, 1.3520 levels. Support at 1.3340 (200 DMA, 23.6% fibo retracement of Sep low to Nov high), 1.3310 (50 DMA).”

“Pair should continue to take directional cues from USD and CNY moves ahead of FOMC event risk later this week. Next set of SG data is NODX (Tue) and CPI (next Mon). S$NEER was last at 0.91% above model-implied mid.”

USD/SGD continued to inch higher, tracking broader USD strength while softer EUR and RMB spillover. Pair was last at 1.3475, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Pair to take directional cues from USD and CNY moves

“Mild bearish momentum on daily chart faded while RSI rose. Consolidation likely with slight bias to the upside. Resistance at 1.3490, 1.3520 levels. Support at 1.3340 (200 DMA, 23.6% fibo retracement of Sep low to Nov high), 1.33. Pair should continue to take directional cues from USD and CNY moves in absence of key data.”

“Next set of SG data is NODX (17 Dec) and CPI (23 Dec). S$NEER was last at 0.98% above model-implied mid.”

USD/SGD firmed, tracking the move up in USD/CNH. Pair was last at 1.3435, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Pair to continue to take directional cues from USD and CNY

“Mild bearish momentum on daily chart intact while RSI fell. Consolidation likely with slight bias to the downside. Support at 1.3340 (200 DMA, 23.6% fibo), 1.33, 1.3240 (32.8% fibo retracement of Sep low to Nov high). Resistance at 1.3460, 1.3490 levels.”

“Pair should continue to take directional cues from USD and CNY moves in absence of key data. Next set of SG data is NODX (17 Dec) and CPI (23 Dec). S$NEER was last at 1.08% above model-implied mid.”

USD/SGD traded a subdued range. Pair was last seen at 1.3466, OCBC’s FX analyst Christopher Wong notes.

Slight bias to downside

“Mild bearish momentum on daily chart intact while RSI fell. Consolidation likely with slight bias to the downside. Support at 1.3340 (200 DMA, 23.6% fibo), 1.33, 1.3240 (32.8% fibo retracement of Sep low to Nov high). Resistance at 1.3490 levels.”

“Pair should continue to take directional cues from USD and CNY fix in absence of key data. Next set of SG data is NODX (17 Dec) and CPI (23 Dec). S$NEER strengthened; last at 1.1% above model-implied mid.”

USD/SGD continued to trade near recent highs; last seen at 1.3464, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

USD is waiting for a catalyst to move

“Mild bearish momentum on daily chart intact for now while RSI is flat. Consolidation likely in the near term. Resistance at 1.3490, 1.3520 levels. Support at 1.3390 (21 DMA), 1.3340 (200 DMA).”

“US payrolls data on Fri may provide the directional catalyst for USD while we continue to watch CNY fixing. S$NEER was last at 0.93% above model-implied mid. This still shows that SGD remains firmer vs. peers in the trade basket but it is less firm today (vs. than for most of the year).”

USD/SGD continued to inch higher, tracking the rise in USDCNH. Pair was last seen at 1.3475, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Consolidation higher likely in the near term

“Mild bearish momentum on daily chart faded while RSI rose. Consolidation higher likely in the near term. Resistance at 1.3490, 1.3520 levels. Support at 1.3390 (21 DMA), 1.3340 (200 DMA).”

“S$NEER was last at 0.86% above model-implied mid. This still shows that SGD remains firmer vs. peers in the trade basket but it is less firm today (vs. than for most of the year).”

USD/SGD bounced this morning, tracking the move higher in USD/CNH. Pair was last seen at 1.3444, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

SGD can still remain resilient on trade-weighted terms

“Mild bullish momentum on daily chart continues to fade while the dip in RSI moderated. Consolidation likely in the near term. Support at 1.3410, 1.3340/60 levels (21, 200 DMAs) and 1.3290 (61.8% fibo retracement of Jun high to Oct low). Resistance at 1.3520 levels. S$NEER has continued to ease; last at 0.92% above model-implied mid. Looking back, SGD has been easing since Oct-2024 on tradeweighted terms even as MAS maintained policy status quo.”

“That said, SGD remains stronger vs. peers in the basket but it is less strong today (vs. than for most of the year). Historically the positive correlation between the change in S$NEER and MAS core inflation shows that SGD strength can ease when core inflation eases materially. Monday’s release of CPI report saw both headline and core CPI surprised to the downside. The sharp pullback has also led to chatters if MAS would ease soon at the next MPC in Jan-2025.”

“We think there is no hurry to ease amidst many moving parts – tariff threats, geopolitics – which may see price pressures return. MAS is better off monitoring further to avoid any risk of flip-flopping on policy. MAS maintaining policy status quo suggests that SGD can still remain somewhat resilient on trade-weighted terms. At some point in 2Q or 3Q in 2025, MAS may ease policy if core CPI does ease further.”

S$NEER continued to ease; last at 0.9% above model-implied mid. Looking back, SGD has been easing since Oct-2024 on trade-weighted terms even as MAS maintained policy status quo. Pair was last seen at 1.3431.

Signs of some degree of bearish pullback in the near term

“That said, SGD remains stronger vs. peers in the basket but it is just less strong today (vs. than for most of the year). Historically the positive correlation between the change in S$NEER and MAS core inflation shows that SGD strength can ease when core inflation eases materially. Monday’s release of CPI report saw both headline and core CPI surprised to the downside. The sharp pullback has also led to chatters if MAS would ease soon at the next MPC in Jan-2015.”

“We think there is no hurry to ease amidst many moving parts – tariff threats, geopolitics – which may see price pressures return. MAS is better off monitoring further to avoid any risk of flip-flopping on policy. MAS maintaining policy status quo suggests that SGD can still remain somewhat resilient on trade-weighted terms. At some point in 2Q or 3Q in 2025, MAS may ease policy if core CPI does ease further.”

“USD/SGD eased, alongside the pullback seen in broad USD. Mild bullish momentum on daily chart continues to fade while RSI is flat. Bearish divergence on MACD appears to be playing out. Technical patterns suggest signs of some degree of bearish pullback in the near term. Support at 1.3410, 1.3340 (200 DMA) and 1.3290 (61.8% fibo retracement of Jun high to Oct low). Resistance at 1.3520 levels.”

USD/SGD jumped above 1.35- levels this morning, in reaction to Trump’s threat of tariff. But the move higher was brief, and the pair has eased slightly since then. Pair was last seen at 1.3474, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Technical patterns suggest signs of bearish pullback

“Mild bullish momentum on daily chart continues to fade while RSI turned lower. Bearish divergence on MACD appears to be playing out. Technical patterns suggest signs of bearish pullback in the near term. Support at 1.3410, 1.3340 (200 DMA) and 1.3290 (61.8% fibo retracement of Jun high to Oct low). Resistance at 1.3520 levels. S$NEER continued to ease; last at 0.97% above model-implied mid.”

“SGD has been easing since Oct-2024 on trade-weighted terms even as MAS maintained policy status quo. That said, SGD remains stronger vs. peers in the basket but it is just less strong today (vs. than for most of the year). Historically the positive correlation between the change in S$NEER and MAS core inflation shows that SGD strength can ease when core inflation eases materially. Yesterday release of CPI report saw both headline and core CPI surprised to the downside.”

“The sharp pullback has also led to chatters if MAS would ease soon at the next MPC in Jan-2015. We think there is no hurry to ease amidst many moving parts – tariff threats, geopolitics – which may see price pressures return. MAS is better off monitoring further to avoid any risk of flip-flopping on policy. MAS maintaining policy status quo suggests that SGD can still remain somewhat resilient on trade-weighted terms. At some point in 2Q or 3Q in 2025, MAS may ease policy if core CPI does ease further. SGD strength can ease further when that happens.”

USD/SGD fell in early trade this morning, tracking the broad USD pullback. Pair was last seen at 1.3464, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Technical patterns suggest signs of bearish pullback

“Mild bullish momentum on daily chart continues to fade while RSI turned lower. Bearish divergence on MACD appears to be playing out.”

“Technical patterns suggest signs of bearish pullback in the near term. Support at 1.3340 (200 DMA), 1.3290 (61.8% fibo retracement of Jun high to Oct low). Resistance at 1.3490, 1.3520 levels. S$NEER was last at 1.21% above model implied mid.”

USD/SGD rebounded as markets continue to trade 2-way, caught between the forces of heightened geopolitical tensions and policy uncertainties associated with Trump presidency. Swings in RMB, JPY continued to drive USDSGD in the near term. Pair was last seen at 1.3472, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Technical patterns suggest signs of bearish pullback

“Daily momentum is mild bullish, but RSI continues to show some signs of turning lower. Bearish divergence on MACD appears to be playing out. Technical patterns suggest signs of bearish pullback in the near term. Support at 1.3340 (200 DMA), 1.3290 (61.8% fibo retracement of Jun high to Oct low). Resistance at 1.3490, 1.3520 levels.”

“MTI revised 2024 growth forecast higher to around 3.5%, up from 2 – 3% previously. For 2025, MTI looks for growth at 1 – 3%. MTI expects growth in Spore’s key trading partners to ease slightly from 2024 levels, especially for the US and China, and flagged that global economic uncertainties have risen, including uncertainty over the policies of the incoming US administration, with the risks tilted to the downside.”

“The downside risks cited included 1/ a further escalation of geopolitical risks (including in the Middle East as well as trade tensions among major economies could lead to higher prices and production costs, as well as greater policy uncertainty, which in turn could weigh on global investment, trade and growth, and 2/ disruptions to the global disinflation process could prompt tighter financial conditions for longer and the desynchronisation of monetary policies could trigger latent vulnerabilities in financial systems.”

USD/SGD continued to trade lower, amid broad US Dollar (USD) pullback. Pair was last seen at 1.3407 levels.

Technical patterns point to signs of bearish pullback

“Daily momentum is mild bullish but shows signs of waning while RSI was flat. Bearish divergence on MACD and rising wedge pattern appear to be forming. Technical patterns point to signs of bearish pullback in the near term. Support at 1.3340 (200 DMA), 1.3290 (61.8% fibo retracement of Jun high to Oct low). Resistance at 1.3490, 1.3520 levels.”

“Policy uncertainties associated with Trump policies, swings in RMB and JPY should continue to drive USDSGD in the near term. S$NEER was last at 1.35% above model-implied mid.”

USD/SGD eased into Fri NY close and continued to trade on the back foot this morning. Pair was last seen at 1.3442 levels, OCBC FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong notes.

Bearish divergence on MACD and rising wedge pattern are forming

“Daily momentum is mild bullish but rise in RSI moderated. Bearish divergence on MACD and rising wedge pattern appear to be forming. Technical patterns point to signs of bearish pullback in the near term. Support at 1.3340 (200 DMA), 1.3290 (61.8% fibo retracement of Jun high to Oct low).”

“Resistance at 1.3490, 1.3520 levels. Policy uncertainties associated with Trump policies, swings in RMB and JPY should continue to drive USDSGD in the near term. S$NEER was last at 1.27% above modelimplied mid.”

USD/SGD’s advancement came close to 1.3490 but eased this morning. Last seen at 1.3404 levels, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Bearish divergence on MACD appears to be forming

“Daily momentum is mild bullish but rise in RSI moderated. Bearish divergence on MACD appears to be forming. We watch price action if USD/SGD trades lower, tactically.”

“Support at 1.3290 (61.8% fibo retracement of Jun high to Oct low). Resistance at 1.3490, 1.3520 levels. S$NEER was last at 1.30% above model-implied mid.”

USD/SGD extended its bull run, tracking moves in broad USD. Pair was last at 1.3475 levels, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Risk skewed to the upside

“Trend is your friend and trump trade is the trend for now. Risks remain skewed to the upside. Daily momentum is mild bullish while RSI rose. Risk skewed to the upside.”

“Resistance at 1.3520 levels. Support at 1.3340 (200 DMA), 1.3290 (61.8% fibo retracement of Jun high to Oct low). S$NEER was last at 1.25% above model-implied mid.”

USD/SGD inched higher, tracking moves in broad US Dollar (USD). Pair was last at 1.3380 levels, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Consolidation is likely

“Daily momentum is mild bullish while RSI rose. Consolidation likely with slight risk to the upside. Resistance here at 1.3410 levels (76.4% fibo). Support at 1.3340 (200 DMA), 1.3290 (61.8% fibo retracement of Jun high to Oct low).”

“S$NEER was last at 1.38% above model-implied mid.”

USD/SGD resumed its move higher this morning, tracking moves in broad USD. Pair was last at 1.3376 levels, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Consolidation on the day

“Daily momentum turned mild bullish while RSI rose. Consolidation likely with slight risk to the upside. Support at 1.3290 (61.8% fibo retracement of Jun high to Oct low), 1.3190 (50% fibo), 1.31 (38.2% fibo).”

“S$NEER was last at 1.42% above model-implied mid.”