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29.04.2011
18:36
ASIA: The national holidays making up the Golden Week are: April 29 - Showa Day (Showa no hi); May 3 - Constitution Day (Kenpo kinenbi); May 4 - Greenery Day (Midori no hi); May 5 - Children's Day (Kodomo no hi).
18:15
Dow +47.89 at 12811.30, Nasdaq -1.13 at 2871.40, S&P +2.41 at 1362.89

The major equity averages have turned lower in recent trade.
Energy stocks continue to sport impressive gains, though. Occidental Petroleum (OXY 112.32, +7.19) is a top performer as it extends the prior session's gains, which came in response to a stronger-than-expected earnings report. Meanwhile, Chevron (CVX ) is up, but much more modestly.Overall, the energy sector is up 1.2%, which is far stronger than any other major sector.

17:54
GBP/USD holds higher

GBP/USD rises to $1.6710 area and slight shy of recent high around $1.6713. Cable remains shy of the Thursday and 2011 high at $1.6747 and faces offers in place at $1.6720/25 and $1.6750.

17:36
Dow +63.01 at 12826.41, Nasdaq +1.98 at 2874.51, S&P +3.14 at 1363.62

Strength among a few blue chips has the Dow up solidly to its best level in nearly three years, but the tech-rich Nasdaq remains mired near the neutral line.
Shares of Caterpillar (CAT 115.62, +2.98) have spiked to a record high on the back of a better-than-expected earnings report. An upside earnings surprise from Merck (MRK 35.90, +0.13) and an analyst upgrade of Procter & Gamble (PG 64.96, +0.46) have helped the Dow extend its recent streak of gains - it's up for the seventh time in eight sessions.
Microsoft (MSFT 25.59, -1.12) has been a drag on the Dow, though. Its 4% drop comes as investors shrug off better-than-expected earnings in light of the firm's narrowed margins and reduced target prices among a handful of analysts. Verizon (VZ 37.75, -0.52) has also hampered the Dow following its downgrade at Citigroup.
Research In Motion (RIMM 49.01, -7.58) is in some of the worst shape of any stock this session. Its precipitous drop to a a six-month low comes in response to a disappointing forecast.

   

17:23
Gold posts a new life high of 1553.20/oz with further targets in the stratosphere include $1575 and $1600.
17:11
OIL:

Oil holds gains of $0.48, trades at $113.34 amid of firm commodity prices, black gold in the upper reaches of its $112.25/113.55 range.

16:55
AUD/USD refreshed record highs around $1.0964 before rate retreated to current $1.0948 amid an overall weak dollar and solid commodity prices.
16:40
Dow +61.38 at 12824.69, Nasdaq -1.43 at 2871.10, S&P +2.14 at 1362.60

A recent spurt of buying interest took the Nasdaq back to the neutral line, but it has failed to poke back into positive territory. Weakness in shares of Research In Motion (RIMM 48.83, -7.76) has hampered the tech-rich Index. Shares of RIMM are down dramatically in high volume, which is already quadruple its daily average, in response to a disappointing forecast for earnings. The stock now sits at a six-month low.

15:55
US focus: Dollar index under pressure; Franc rallies

The Dollar index was headed for its biggest monthly decrease since September as a slowing U.S. economy encouraged the Federal Reserve to maintain stimulus.
“There’s a perception out there that a weak dollar might well be good for the U.S. economy in the short term, given some signs of softer growth,” said Alan Ruskin at Deutsche Bank AG. “The market really took Bernanke as a green light to weaken the dollar further.”
“With the extraordinary weakening of the dollar this week, people are taking profit in quiet market conditions,” said Carl Forcheski at Societe Generale SA.
The Swiss franc and Australian dollar rallied to records against the greenback amid signs of accelerating inflation.
The franc appreciated against the dollar as Swiss National Bank President Philipp Hildebrand said that price stability may be threatened by higher commodity prices and expansionary monetary policy. Switzerland’s leading economic indicator unexpectedly increased in April, signaling the economy is gaining momentum.
The Australian dollar extended its biggest monthly gain this year and reached a record as Treasurer Wayne Swan said the currency’s strength reflects the improving economy and higher commodity prices.
Consumer prices in Australia increased 1.6% last quarter from the previous three months, the biggest jump since 2006.
The dollar dropped for a ninth day versus the euro to the weakest level since December 2009.
Economic growth slowed to a 1.8% annual rate last quarter from 3.1% in the prior three months, the Commerce Department reported yesterday.
Bernanke signaled on April 27 in his first press conference following a policy decision that the central bank will likely continue reinvesting maturing debt after its $600 billion program of bond buying expires in June as planned.
The euro was poised for a fifth monthly gain on speculation the European Central Bank will increase borrowing costs further while Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said this week he was unsure when U.S. monetary stimulus will unwind.
Inflation in the 17-nation euro region quickened to 2.8% in April.
China’s yuan strengthened beyond 6.5 per dollar for the first time since 1993. The currency gained for a third day on speculation the central bank will let its currency appreciate faster to curb accelerating inflation.
Consumer prices in Asia’s biggest economy rose 5.4% in March from a year earlier, the most since July 2008.


15:38
GBP/USD rises

GBP/USD spikes to fresh highs for the day around $1.6690 and amid thin conditions, while EUR/GBP extends its losses from the overnight high at stg0.8936 to currently stg0.8888 area. Cable offers noted earlier at $1.6690/00 while euro-sterling holds bids at stg0.8880.

15:23
USD/CAD volatile

USD/CAD on the defensive but off its low for the day. Canadian dollar is weaker in the wake of a disappointing Feb GDP outcome and also ahead of a Monday election where the outcome seems far from certain. After beginning the session around C$0.9495, dollar lifted to near C$0.9550 in the wake of the morning data but has retraced to C$0.9520.

15:13
GOLD:

Gold prices posted a new life high of $1542.91/oz (up from an earlier of $1531.75). The next topside target is $1550. Barclays Capital technical analysts say the trend for gold remains bullish, and they maintain their topside targets of $1548 and $1615 (channel resistance at $1600).

14:12
Dow +18.09 at 12781.40, Nasdaq -7.05 at 2865.48, S&P -1.14 at 1359.34
13:56
US: Apr U-Mich final consumer sentiment 69.8 vs 69.6p and 67.5f in March.
13:50
US: Apr Chicago PMI 67.6 vs 70.6 Mar

Prices paid 81.8. New orders 66.3, employment 63.7, inventories 53.5, production 70.0.

13:21
Before the bell:

Investors were hoping for another day of gains, with U.S. stock futures edging higher ahead of Friday's opening bell on the back of relatively decent earnings.


Investors remain nervous about the economy and inflation. The Fed has been pretty clear that interest rates aren't likely to budge this year. Meanwhile, gold and silver continue to hit new highs as the U.S. dollar keeps sliding, falling to a three-year low against the euro.
On Thursday, U.S. stocks rose to multi-year highs, as investors looked beyond a series of mixed earnings reports and disappointing GDP and jobless claims reports.
Ahead of Friday's opening bell, Dow components Caterpillar (CAT) and Merck (MRK) reported better-than-expected earnings.
Merck's quarterly profit tripled, on strong drug sales, while Caterpillar benefited from strong demand for bulldozers and other machinery. Shares of Merck edged up 1.5%, while Caterpillar's stock rose nearly 3%.
Chevron (CVX) is also slated to deliver quarterly results before the bell. Analysts forecast Chevron will post a profit of $3 per share.
Companies: Late Thursday, Microsoft reported a 31% surge in quarterly profit, on strong Office and Kinect sales. But not all the news was good, as netbook sales fell 40%.
Microsoft's (MSFT) stock slipped 1% in premarket trading.
Research in Motion on Thursday cut its forecast for the current quarter, citing sluggish Blackberry sales. RIM's (RIMM) stock price fell nearly 12% in premarket trading.
World markets:

Oil for June delivery were flat at $112.86 a barrel.
The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury slipped, pushing up the yield slightly to 3.32%.

12:32
CANADA: Feb GDP -0.2% vs Jan +0.5%
12:31
US: Mar Personal Income +0.5%, PCE +0.6% and PCE core px +0.1%
11:48
EU session review: Dollar remains under pressure

Data released:
06:00     Germany     Retail sales (March) real adjusted    -2.1%    0.2%    -0.3%
06:00     Germany     Retail sales (March) real unadjusted Y/Y    -3.5%    1.4%    1.1%
08:00     EU(17)     M3 money supply (March) adjusted Y/Y    2.3%    2.1%    2.0%
08:00     EU(17)     M3 money supply (3 months to March) adjusted Y/Y    2.0%    1.9%    1.7%
09:00     EU(17)     Harmonized CPI (April) Y/Y preliminary    2.8%    2.7%    2.6%
09:00     EU(17)     Unemployment (March)    9.9%    9.9%    9.9%
09:00     EU(17)     Economic sentiment index (April)    106.2    107.1    107.3
09:00     EU(17)     Business climate indicator (April)    1.28    1.40    1.43 (1.41)

The US currency weakened this month as the Fed maintained a near- zero benchmark interest rate and boosted the supply of the U.S. currency by buying Treasuries, a policy known as quantitative easing that is set to end in June.
The Swiss franc strengthened to a record against the dollar. Switzerland’s leading economic indicator unexpectedly increased in April, signaling the economy is gaining momentum. The index climbed to 2.29 compared with a revised 2.25 in March, the KOF Swiss Economic Institute said in a statement today. That’s the highest since August 2006. Economists expected a decline to 2.20.
China’s yuan strengthened beyond 6.5 per dollar for the first time since 1993, supported by speculation the central bank will allow appreciation to help tame the fastest inflation in more than two years.
The currency’s seventh weekly gain, its longest winning streak since July 2008, may damp U.S. criticism of China’s exchange-rate policy before Vice Premier Wang Qishan heads to Washington next month for talks with Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner. Consumer prices in Asia’s biggest economy rose 5.4% from a year earlier in March, exceeding the government’s 4% goal for this year.

EUR/USD was back to $1.4880 after declining to $1.4770.

GBP/USD retreats from session highs on $1.6690. Currently rate holds around $1.6666. 

USD/JPY consolidated within the Y81.50/60 range before retreated to Y81.28.


A heavy US session kicks off at 1230GMT, with the release of the April ISM-NY Business Index data. Also at 1230GMT, March Personal Income, Expenditures data and the Q1 Employment Cost Index data are released. Personal income is expected to rise 0.4% in March, as payrolls rose 216,000, but hourly earnings were flat, and the average workweek held steady at 34.3 hours.
PCE is expected to rise 0.5%, as retail sales rose 0.4% and sales were up 0.8% excluding autos. The core PCE price index is forecast to rise 0.1%. The Employment Cost Index is expected to rise by 0.5% in the first quarter after rising 0.4% in each of the last two quarters.



11:24
EUR/GBP retreats

Moves through stg0.8925 to take out the reported barrier here and currently holds around stg0.8920. Cross earlier printed highs around stg0.8935. Next resistance seen between stg0.8940/50.

10:43
Orders desk:

EUR/USD
Offers: $1.4900, $1.4930/35, $1.4950, $1.4990/000
Bids: $1.4825/20, $1.4800/795, $1.4750

10:14
EUR/USD keeps positive mood

Extends to $1.4865, but progress seen slow as rate attempts to advance on Thursday's posted high of $1.4881. Above this level and the Dec 7 2009 high at $1.4903 moves into view.

09:25
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut:

EUR/USD $1.4900, $1.4850, $1.4795, $1.4750, $1.4600
USD/JPY Y81.50, Y82.00, Y82.75 
EUR/JPY Y120.00
GBP/USD $1.6700, $1.6500
USD/CHF Chf0.8920
AUD/USD $1.0950, $1.0800, $1.0750

09:01
EMU DATA: The Eurozone unemployment rate was unchanged at 9.9%; Annual consumer price inflation in the Eurozone surprised to the upside in April, hitting a 30-month high of 2.8%
08:45
Asian session: The dollar weakened

China’s yuan strengthened beyond 6.5 per dollar for the first time since 1993, supported by speculation the central bank will allow appreciation to help tame the fastest inflation in more than two years.
The yuan strengthened 0.17 percent to 6.4907 per dollar as of 2:50 p.m. in Shanghai, earlier touching a 17-year high of 6.4898, according to the China Foreign Exchange Trade System. It’s set for a 0.9 percent monthly advance, the best performance of 2011. 
The People’s Bank of China set the yuan’s reference rate at 6.4990 per dollar, the strongest level since July 2005. The currency is allowed to trade up to 0.5 percent on either side of the official rate.
The dollar weakened this month against all 16 major currencies monitored by Bloomberg as the Fed maintained a near- zero benchmark interest rate and boosted the supply of the U.S. currency by buying Treasuries, a policy known as quantitative easing that is set to end in June.

EUR/USD: the pair bargained in a range $1,4810-$ 1,4850.
GBP/USD: the pair bargained in a range $1,6620-$ 1,6670.
USD/JPY: the pair bargained in range Y81,45-Y81,65.

There is a slew of Eurozone data at 0900GMT. Data includes the release of April business climate indicator, industrial confidence, Apr consumer confidence, Apr flash HICP and EMU Mar unemployment rate.
A heavy US session kicks off at 1230GMT, with the release of the April ISM-NY Business Index data. Also at 1230GMT, March Personal Income, Expenditures data and the Q1 Employment Cost Index data are released. Personal income is expected to rise 0.4% in March, as payrolls rose 216,000, but hourly earnings were flat, and the average workweek held steady at 34.3 hours. PCE is expected to rise 0.5%, as retail sales rose 0.4% and sales were up 0.8% excluding autos. The core PCE price index is forecast to rise 0.1%. The Employment Cost Index is expected to rise by 0.5% in the first quarter after rising 0.4% in each of the last two quarters.

08:42
Комментарии главы ШНБ оказали поддержку франку

Пара USD/CHF снизилась на 50 пунктов и приблизилась к поддержке в области Chf0,8670.

08:37
Forex: Thursday's review

The Dollar Index fell to its lowest level in more than two years as the U.S. economy expanded in the first quarter at a slower rate than forecast, encouraging the Federal Reserve to keep borrowing costs low.
The U.S. currency fell against the euro and yen after the Commerce Department reported that gross domestic product rose at a 1.8 percent annual pace in the first quarter after a 3.1 percent rate of expansion in the last three months of 2010. The median forecast of economists was for a 2 percent pace of growth. 
The yen appreciated versus most of its major counterparts after a report showed Japanese investors sold foreign assets last week.
The yen rallied today as Japanese investors were net sellers of foreign bonds during the week ended April 22. They sold 171.8 billion yen ($2.1 billion) in overseas bonds and notes and 5.6 billion yen in overseas stocks, according to figures based on reports from designated major investors released by the Ministry of Finance in Tokyo. They bought 14.6 billion yen in overseas short-term securities. The total net sale was 162.8 billion yen. 
New Zealand’s dollar was one of the worst performers against the greenback after Reserve Bank Governor Alan Bollard called the currency’s recent advance “unwelcome.” The dollar sank a day after Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said he was unsure when monetary stimulus will unwind.

EUR/USD: the pair bargained in a range $1,4770-$ 1,4880.
GBP/USD: the pair shown high in the field of $1,6740 then decreased. The rate finished session in around $1,6630.
USD/JPY: the pair decreased in around 81,50.
There is a slew of Eurozone data at 0900GMT. Data includes the release of April business climate indicator, industrial confidence, Apr consumer confidence, Apr flash HICP and EMU Mar unemployment rate.
A heavy US session kicks off at 1230GMT, with the release of the 
April ISM-NY Business Index data. Also at 1230GMT, March Personal Income, Expenditures data and the Q1 Employment Cost Index data are released. Personal income is expected to rise 0.4% in March, as payrolls rose 216,000, but hourly earnings were flat, and the average workweek held steady at 34.3 hours. PCE is expected to rise 0.5%, as retail sales rose 0.4% and sales were up 0.8% excluding autos. The core PCE price index is forecast to rise 0.1%. The Employment Cost Index is expected to rise by 0.5% in the first quarter after rising 0.4% in each of the last two quarters.

08:24
Asian stocks close:

Hang Seng -0.36% 23,720.81

Shanghai Composite +0.85% 2,911.51

08:04
Stocks: Thursday's review

Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average rose to the highest level since the March 11 earthquake after companies including Nippon Electric Glass Co. reported better earnings and the U.S. Federal Reserve renewed its pledge to stimulate growth in the world’s biggest economy.
Nippon Electric Glass, which makes glass for liquid-crystal displays, surged 8.6 percent. Panasonic Corp. rallied 2.4 percent after a report the electronics manufacturer plans to cut more than 10 percent of its workforce. Olympus Corp., a camera maker that gets about 20 percent of its sales in Europe, jumped 3.1 percent after the yen weakened.
Advantest Corp., the world’s biggest maker of tools used to test memory chips, jumped 5.6 percent to 1,597 yen. The company yesterday said it returned to profit in the year through March, posting net income of 3.16 billion yen. Sales jumped 87 percent.

European stocks rose for a sixth day, extending an eight-week high, as Deutsche Bank AG’s earnings beat estimates and the Federal Reserve pledged to keep rates low for an “extended period.”
Deutsche Bank surged the most in almost a year as Germany’s biggest bank reported a 17 percent increase in first-quarter profit. Suez Environnement climbed 4 percent after also posting higher earnings. SAP AG sank the most in 1 1/2 years after reporting a smaller-than-expected increase in profit.
In Germany, a report showed unemployment fell below 3 million for the first time in almost 19 years in April in adjusted terms, increasing the likelihood that household spending will boost economic growth.
In the U.K., consumer confidence slumped to its weakest level since the depth of the recession in February 2009 as the government’s budget cuts began in earnest, a report by GfK NOP Ltd. showed.

It took stocks a while to muster any kind of upward momentum, but the major equity averages managed to make modest gains, which ultimately extended their recent highs.
Even though there was a rush of headlines this morning, stocks struggled to establish a clear direction. Participants first got their hands on another big batch of quarterly reports, but those announcements became of secondary concern with the release of the advance reading on first quarter GDP. Although the economy grew from January through March at an annualized rate of 1.8%, which is greater than the 1.7% increase that had been broadly expected to follow the 3.1% spike in the fourth quarter, participants were disappointed with the latest initial jobless claims tally.
Initial claims for the week ended April 23 totaled 429,000, which is greater than the 390,000 initial claims that had been expected, on average, among economists surveyed by Briefing.com. Given that initial claims have climbed back above 400,000 and exceeded expectations in each of the past several weeks, some consternation has been developing among market participants.
The latest round of earnings reports didn't induce much trading in the overall market, but there were a few movers in the pack. Akamai Tech (AKAM 34.94, -6.04) dove sharply as participants ignored an upside earnings surprise and plans to repurchase shares to focus on the company's cautious commentary and outlook. Norfolk Southern (NSC 73.87, +5.46) moved in the other direction; its spike to a record high followed stronger-than-expected earnings.
Dow component Exxon Mobil (XOM 87.34, -0.44) moved modestly lower, despite an upside earnings surprise. Fellow blue chip Procter & Gamble (PG 64.50, +0.48) actually came short of the consensus earnings estimate, but still booked a gain. PepsiCo (PEP 69.72, +1.79), eBay (EBAY 34.00, -0.03), Colgate-Palmolive (CL 82.97, +1.91), AstraZeneca (AZN 49.90, -1.72), BristolMyersSquibb (BMY 28.29, +0.01), and Aetna (AET 41.45, +1.64) all posted better-than-expected bottom line results.
Treasuries managed to put together modest gains of their own, even though the results from an auction of 7-year Notes proved unimpressive. The auction drew a bid-to-cover of 2.63, dollar demand of $76.3 billion, and an indirect bidder participation rate of 38.7%. For comparison, the prior auction drew a bid-to-cover of 2.79, dollar demand of $80.9 billion, and an indirect bidder participation rate of 49.4%.
Precious metals continue to put on a show that has repeatedly featured new highs. Gold gained 0.9% to settle at $1530.60 per ounce after it reached a record high of almost $1539 per ounce. Silver prices pushed closer to $50 per ounce for a fresh 30-year high, but settled with a 4.2% gain at $47.90 per ounce.

07:44
Tech on USD/JPY

Resistance 3:Y82.80 (Apr 27 high) 
Resistance 2: Y82.00 (МА(200) for Н1) 
Resistance 1:Y81.60 (session high) 
Current price: Y81.52
Support 1:Y81.45 (session low)    
Support 2:Y81.20 (Apr 27 low)  
Support 3:Y80.70 (around of Mar 18-24 low)  
Comments: the pair bargains in a narrow range. The nearest support - Y81.45. Below losses are possible to Y81.20. The nearest resistance - Y81.60. Above growth is possible  to Y82.00.

07:23
Tech on USD/CHF

Resistance 3: Chf0.8880 (МА(200) for Н1)
Resistance 2: Chf0.8820 (resistance line from Apr 6)
Resistance 1: Chf0.8760 (Apr 28 high)
Current price: Chf0.8727
Support 1: Chf0.8670 (Apr 27 low)
Support 2: Chf0.8600 (psychological mark)
Support 3: Chf0.8500 (psychological mark)
Comments: the pair bargains in former frameworks. The nearest support - Chf0,8670. Below loss may extend to Chf0.8600. The nearest resistance - Chf0.8760. Above is located Chf0.8820. 

07:06
Tech on GBP/USD

Resistance 3: $ 1.7040 (Aug'2009 high)
Resistance 2: $ 1.6880 (Nov'2009 high)
Resistance 1: $ 1.6740 (Apr 28 high)
Current price: $1.6661
Support 1 : $1.6625 (session low, Apr 28 low, 38,2 % FIBO $1,6430-$ 1,6740)
Support 2 : $1.6580 (50,0 % FIBO $1,6430-$ 1,6740)
Support 3 : $1.6550 (61,8 % FIBO $1,6430-$ 1,6740)
Comments: the pair bargains in former frameworks. The nearest resistance - area $1.6740. Above growth is possible  to $1.6880. The nearest support $1.6625. Below is possible testings of area $1.6580. 

06:22
Tech on EUR/USD

Resistance 3: $ 1.5140 (high of Nov-Dec'2009)
Resistance 2: $ 1.5000 (psychological mark)
Resistance 1: $ 1.4880 (Apr 28 high)
Current price: $1.4833
Support 1 : $1.4770 (Apr 28 low)
Support 2 : $1.4630 (Apr 27 low, support line from Apr 18)
Support 3 : $1.4490 (Apr 26 low)
Comments: the pair bargains in former frameworks. The nearest resistance - $1.4880. Above growth is possible to $1,5000. The nearest support $1,4770. Below losses are possible to $1.4630.

06:01
GERMANY DATA: Retail sales -2.1% on the month in March, -3.5% on the yea
05:48
Schedule for today, Friday, Apr 29 2011:

06:00 Germany  Retail sales (March) real adjusted 0.2% -0.3%
06:00 Germany Retail sales (March) real unadjusted Y/Y 1.4% 1.1%
09:00 EU(17) Harmonized CPI (April) Y/Y preliminary 2.7% 2.6%
09:00 EU(17) Unemployment (March) 9.9% 9.9%
12:30 USA Personal income (March) 0.4% 0.3%
12:30 USA Personal spending (March) 0.5% 0.7%
12:30 USA PCE price index ex food, energy (March) 0.1% 0.2%
12:30 USA PCE price index ex food, energy (March) Y/Y - 0.9%
12:30 USA Employment cost index (Q1) 0.5% 0.4%
13:45 USA Chicago PMI (April) 67.3 70.6
13:55 USA Michigan sentiment index (April) final 69.7 69.6

04:42
Техника по EUR/USD

Сопротивление 3:$1.5140              (максимум ноября-декабря 2009 года)
Сопротивление 2:$1.5000              (психологическая отметка)
Сопротивление 1:$1.4880               (максимум 28 апреля)
Текущая цена: $1.4833
Поддержка 1: $1.4770                (минимум 28 апреля)
Поддержка 2: $1.4630                (минимум 27 апреля, линия поддержки от 18 апреля)
Поддержка 3: $1.4490                (минимум 26 апреля)
Комментарии: пара торгуется в прежних рамках.  Ближайшее сопротивление -$1.4880. Выше возможен рост до $1,5000. Ближайшая поддержка $1,4770. Ниже возможны потери до $1.4630.

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