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10.07.2018
23:50
Japan: Core Machinery Orders, y/y, May 16.5% (forecast 8.6%)
23:50
Japan: Core Machinery Orders, May -3.7% (forecast -5.5%)
22:26
Commodities. Daily history for July 10’2018:


Raw materials

Closing price

% change

Oil

74.21

+0.49%

Gold

1,255.80

-0.30%

22:25
Stocks. Daily history for July 10’2018:


Index

Change items

Closing price

% change

Nikkei

+144.71

22196.89

+0.66%

TOPIX

+4.34

1716.13

+0.25%

Hang Seng

-6.25

28682.25

-0.02%

CSI 300

+8.34

3467.52

+0.24%

Euro Stoxx 50

+12.87

3473.31

+0.37%

FTSE 100

+4.05

7692.04

+0.05%

DAX

+65.96

12609.85

+0.53%

CAC 40

+36.25

5434.36

+0.67%

DJIA

+143.07

24919.66

+0.58%

S&P 500

+9.67

2793.84

+0.35%

NASDAQ

+3.00

7759.20

+0.04%

S&P/TSX

+96.38

16548.72

+0.59%

22:24
Currencies. Daily history for July 10’2018:


Pare

Closed

% change

EUR/USD

$1,1738

-0,08%

GBP/USD

$1,3274

+0,17%

USD/CHF

Chf0,99193

+0,00%

USD/JPY

Y110,98

+0,13%

EUR/JPY

Y130,28

+0,05%

GBP/JPY

Y147,318

+0,30%

AUD/USD

$0,7435

-0,35%

NZD/USD

$0,6820

-0,22%

USD/CAD

C$1,31284

+0,11%

21:56
Schedule for today, Wednesday, July 11’2018 (GMT+3)


Time

A country


Index


Period

Previous value

Forecast

02:50

Japan

Core Machinery Orders

May

10.1%

-5.5%

02:50

Japan

Core Machinery Orders, y/y

May

9.6%

8.6%

03:30

Australia

Westpac Consumer Confidence

July

102.2


04:30

Australia

Home Loans

May

-1.4%

-1.9%

07:30

Japan

Tertiary Industry Index

May

1%


10:00

Eurozone

ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks




10:30

Eurozone

ECB's Peter Praet Speaks




15:00

Eurozone

ECB's Yves Mersch Speaks




15:00

United Kingdom

NIESR GDP Estimate

II sq. M

0.2%

0.3%

15:30

USA

PPI, y/y

June

3.1%

3.2%

15:30

USA

PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y

June

2.4%

2.6%

15:30

USA

PPI excluding food and energy, m/m

June

0.3%

0.2%

15:30

USA

PPI, m/m

June

0.5%

0.2%

17:00

Canada

Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report




17:00

Canada

Bank of Canada Rate


1.25%

1.5%

17:00

USA

Wholesale Inventories

May

0.1%

0.5%

17:30

USA

Crude Oil Inventories

July

1.245

-4.2

18:15

Canada

BOC Press Conference




18:30

United Kingdom

BOE Gov Mark Carney Speaks




19:30

USA

FOMC Member Bostic Speaks




23:30

USA

FOMC Member Williams Speaks



20:06
The main US stock indexes finished trading on the positive territory

The main US stock indices rose slightly, and the S & P 500 reached a 4-month high against the backdrop of rising energy companies' shares due to rising oil prices, and strong PepsiCo results marked the beginning of the second quarter's report season.

In addition, according to a survey of vacancies and labor turnover (JOLTS), published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the USA, in May the number of vacancies decreased to 6.638 million. Meanwhile, the indicator for April was revised upwards from 6.698 million to 6.840 million. Analysts it was expected that the number of vacancies would drop to 6.583 million. The vacancy rate was 4.3%, decreasing by 0.1% compared to April. The number of vacancies decreased in the private sector (-228,000), and little changed in the government segment. With regard to industries, the number of vacancies increased to the federal government (+12,000) and mining and logging (+10,000), but declined in the information sector (-60,000) and the arts, entertainment and recreation segment (-27,000).

Most of the components of DOW finished trading in positive territory (24 out of 30). The leader of growth was the shares of The Procter & Gamble Company (PG, + 2.50%). Outsider were the shares of Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. (WBA, -0.79%).

Most sectors of the S & P recorded a rise. The utilities sector grew most (+ 0.7%). The greatest decrease was shown by the sector of conglomerates (-0.4%).

At closing:

Index

Dow 24,918.65 +142.06 +0.57%

S & P 500 2,793.82 +9.65 +0.35%

Nasdaq 100 7,759.20 +3.00 +0.04%

19:01
DJIA +0.54% 24,909.82 +133.23 Nasdaq +0.02% 7,757.42 +1.22 S&P +0.31% 2,792.81 +8.64
16:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 +4.05 7692.04 +0.05% DAX +65.96 12609.85 +0.53% CAC 40 +36.25 5434.36 +0.67%
14:41
U.S job openings edged down to 6.6 million on the last business day of May

The number of job openings edged down to 6.6 million on the last business day of May, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, hires and separations were little changed at 5.8 million and 5.5 million, respectively. Within separations, the quits rate and the layoffs and discharges rate were little changed at 2.4 percent and 1.1 percent, respectively. This release includes estimates of the number and rate of job openings, hires, and separations for the nonfarm sector by industry and by four geographic regions.

14:00
U.S.: JOLTs Job Openings, May 6.638 (forecast 6.583)
13:50
A rate increase by the Bank of England in August remains "very much" on the table says RBC Capital Markets

A rate increase by the Bank of England in August remains "very much" on the table, says Cathal Kennedy, European economist at RBC Capital Markets. The U.K. economy looks to be on course to expand by 0.3%-0.4% in the second quarter, with two months' data available, Mr. Kennedy says. The outlook for June looks positive on the back of improved PMI data and the 'feel good factor' from good weather and England's World Cup run. Mr. Kennedy's comments come after the statistics office published new monthly gross domestic product data for the first time. The data show the U.K. economy expanding by 0.3% month-on-month in May, accelerating from 0.2% month-on-month in April - via WSJ.

13:33
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.42% Nasdaq +0.10%, S&P +0.16%
13:26
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.14%, NASDAQ futures +0.10%

U.S. stock-index futures rose slightly on Tuesday, as investors' focus shifted to the Q2 earnings season that kicks off this week, while concerns over escalating trade tensions took a back seat in the wake of favourable economic data.


Global Stocks:

Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Nikkei

22,196.89

+144.71

+0.66%

Hang Seng

28,682.25

-6.25

-0.02%

Shanghai

2,827.44

+12.33

+0.44%

S&P/ASX

6,258.10

-27.90

-0.44%

FTSE

7,693.10

+5.11

+0.07%

CAC

5,426.70

+28.59

+0.53%

DAX

12,594.95

+51.06

+0.41%

Crude

$74.32


+0.64%

Gold

$1,254.50


-0.40%

12:54
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


ALCOA INC.

AA

48.3

0.01(0.02%)

2222

ALTRIA GROUP INC.

MO

58.2

0.18(0.31%)

400

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,739.20

0.18(0.01%)

39665

American Express Co

AXP

100

0.09(0.09%)

300

AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP

AIG

55.45

-0.11(-0.20%)

126

Apple Inc.

AAPL

190.79

0.21(0.11%)

110408

AT&T Inc

T

32.19

0.04(0.12%)

15754

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

13.2

-0.07(-0.53%)

16400

Boeing Co

BA

342.7

0.78(0.23%)

5835

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

141.5

0.53(0.38%)

3098

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

42.65

-0.02(-0.05%)

2018

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

69.08

0.14(0.20%)

48830

Deere & Company, NYSE

DE

145.21

0.79(0.55%)

3617

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

82.94

0.04(0.05%)

1624

Facebook, Inc.

FB

204.98

0.24(0.12%)

57417

FedEx Corporation, NYSE

FDX

235.49

0.55(0.23%)

585

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

17.95

-0.16(-0.88%)

4171

General Electric Co

GE

14.01

0.06(0.43%)

73733

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

39.65

-0.10(-0.25%)

725

Goldman Sachs

GS

228.45

0.46(0.20%)

1835

Google Inc.

GOOG

1,155.99

1.94(0.17%)

2694

Home Depot Inc

HD

196.55

0.47(0.24%)

395

Intel Corp

INTC

51.95

0.09(0.17%)

34817

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

144.45

0.06(0.04%)

967

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

107.55

0.27(0.25%)

21707

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

62.03

0.01(0.02%)

600

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

102.17

0.32(0.31%)

35152

Nike

NKE

77.67

0.39(0.50%)

415

Pfizer Inc

PFE

37.18

0.02(0.05%)

5451

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

78.06

0.20(0.26%)

2722

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

50.08

0.18(0.36%)

2772

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

326.2

7.69(2.41%)

352624

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

44.63

0.23(0.52%)

27414

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

44.29

0.15(0.34%)

251225

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

50.86

0.12(0.24%)

1700

Visa

V

135.92

0.40(0.30%)

1659

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

85.55

-0.38(-0.44%)

1501

Walt Disney Co

DIS

106.39

0.37(0.35%)

756

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

37.51

0.02(0.05%)

5075

12:48
Target price changes before the market open

Apple (AAPL) target raised to $230 from $225 at BofA/Merrill

12:35
The value of building permits issued by Canadian municipalities increased 4.7% to $8.2 billion in May

The value of permits issued by Canadian municipalities increased 4.7% to $8.2 billion in May. This followed a 4.7% drop in April, the only month this year where municipalities reported a total value below the $8.0 billion mark.

In the residential sector, municipalities issued $5.5 billion worth of permits in May, up 7.7% from April. This was the second-highest value on record, following the $5.7 billion worth of permits issued in October 2016. Five provinces posted increases, with Ontario and British Columbia reporting the largest gains.

The multi-family dwelling component reached a record high in May, with municipalities issuing $3.1 billion worth of building permits. The increase was the result of higher construction intentions in British Columbia, Ontario and Alberta


12:30
Canada: Building Permits (MoM) , May 4.7% (forecast 1.4%)
12:25
Buy GBP/USD On Political Dips if EUR/USD Above 1.15 says Societe Generale

As long as EUR/USD stays above 1.15, Societe Generale prefers buying GBP/USD when it falls on political issues, it says. SocGen sees a strong and stable correlation between EUR/USD and GBP/USD. Both pairs trade lower on Tuesday, with EUR/USD down 0.4% at 1.1705 and GBP/USD down 0.2% at 1.3236 as the U.S. dollar rises broadly - via WSJ.

12:16
Canada: Housing Starts, June 248.1 (forecast 210)
09:39
The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany recorded a decrease of 8.6 points in July

The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany recorded a decrease of 8.6 points in July 2018 and now stands at minus 24.7 points. This is the lowest reading since August 2012 and well below the long-term average of 23.2 points. Since the beginning of the year, expectations have sunk by a considerable 45.1 points.

The assessment of the current economic situation in Germany decreased by 8.2 points, leaving the corresponding indicator at 72.4 points.

09:34
Iranian Vice President Says Despite U.S. Economic War With Iran, Tehran Will Sell As Much Oil As It Can - Fars News
09:01
Eurozone: ZEW Economic Sentiment, July -18.7 (forecast -13.2)
09:00
Germany: ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment, July -24.7 (forecast -18)
08:43
UK GDP rose 0.3% m/m, as expected

Commenting on today's GDP figures, Head of National Accounts Rob Kent-Smith said:

"The first of our new rolling estimates of GDP shows a mixed picture of the UK economy with modest growth driven by the services sector, partly offset by falling construction and industrial output.

"Retailing, computer programming and legal services all performed strongly in the three months to May while housebuilding and manufacturing both contracted.

Services, in particular, grew robustly in May with retailers enjoying a double boost from the warm weather and the royal wedding. Construction also saw a return to growth after a weak couple of months."

08:38
The total UK trade deficit widened £5.0 billion to £8.3 billion q/q

The total UK trade deficit widened £5.0 billion to £8.3 billion in the three months to May 2018, mainly due to falling goods exports and rising goods imports.

Falling exports of cars and rising imports of unspecified goods were mostly responsible for the £5.0 billion widening of the total trade deficit in the three months to May 2018.

Removing the effect of inflation, the total trade deficit widened £4.7 billion in the three months to May 2018; falling goods export volumes was the main factor as prices generally increased.

Excluding erratic commodities (mainly unspecified goods), the deficit widened £2.9 billion to £8.7 billion in the three months to May 2018.

08:36
In the three months to May 2018, UK services output increased by 0.4%

In the three months to May 2018, services output increased by 0.4% compared with the three months ending February 2018.

The wholesale, retail and motor trade sector made the largest contribution to the three-month on three-month growth, contributing 0.11 percentage points.

The Index of Services increased by 0.3% between April 2018 and May 2018.

The wholesale, retail and motor trade also made the largest contribution to the month-on-month increase, contributing 0.18 percentage points.

08:35
In may UK industrial production decreased by 0.4% compared with April

In the three months to May 2018, the Index of Production fell by 0.6% compared with the three months to February 2018, due primarily to a fall of 1.2% in manufacturing; this was partially offset by a rise in mining and quarrying of 4.6%.

In May 2018, total production was estimated to have decreased by 0.4% compared with April 2018, led by falls in energy supply of 3.2% and mining and quarrying of 4.6%.

The monthly increase in manufacturing output of 0.4% was supported by increases in 9 of the 13 sub-sectors.

In the three months to May 2018, the Index of Production increased by 1.8% compared with the same three months to May 2017.

08:30
United Kingdom: Total Trade Balance, May -2.79
08:30
United Kingdom: Manufacturing Production (MoM) , May 0.4% (forecast 0.9%)
08:30
United Kingdom: Manufacturing Production (YoY), May 1.1% (forecast 1.9%)
08:30
United Kingdom: Industrial Production (MoM), May -0.4% (forecast 0.5%)
08:30
United Kingdom: Industrial Production (YoY), May 0.8% (forecast 1.9%)
08:21
Italian industrial production rose less than expected in May

In May 2018 the seasonally adjusted industrial production index increased by 0.7% compared with the previous month. The percentage change of the average of the last three months with respect to the previous three months was -0.4.

The calendar adjusted industrial production index increased by 2.1% compared with May 2017 (calendar working days in May 2018 being the same as in May 2017); in the period January- May 2018 the percentage change was +2.8 compared with the same period of 2017.

The unadjusted industrial production index increased by 2.1% compared with May 2017.

07:27
Fitch says UK Brexit Plan Faces Major Political, Negotiating Hurdles

The Brexit plan formulated by the Conservative cabinet late last week would position the UK for a relatively soft exit from the EU, but it faces significant challenges, Fitch Ratings says. It is not clear that the plan in its current form will be acceptable to EU negotiators and the UK parliament, as highlighted by today's resignations of two senior cabinet ministers.

The political, economic and institutional uncertainty stemming from the UK-EU negotiations is reflected in the Negative Outlook on the UK's 'AA' sovereign rating.

The UK government on 6 July said that it had agreed 'a more developed and comprehensive proposal' for the future economic relationship based on 'a free trade area for goods' with a common rulebook to ensure frictionless trade at the border. The relevant agreements would be interpreted under a 'joint institutional framework' with UK courts paying due regard to EU case law regarding the common rulebook. The UK would levy UK tariffs on goods intended for the UK and EU tariffs on goods intended for the EU.

07:25
FTSE +12.44 7700.43 +0.16% DAX +32.62 12576.51 +0.26% CAC +12.80 5410.91 +0.24%
07:25
Chinese CPI down 0.1% in June

Consumer prices in China were up 1.9 percent on year in June, according to rttnews - in line with expectations and up from 1.8 percent in May.

On a monthly basis, consumer prices eased 0.1 percent after sliding 0.2 percent in the previous month.

The bureau also said that producer prices jumped an annual 4.7 percent versus expectations for 4.5 percent and up from 4.1 percent a month earlier.

07:17
Trump Says Chooses Conservative Federal Appeals Court Judge Brett Kavanaugh As Nominee To U.S. Supreme Court @LiveSquawk
07:16
In May 2018 French output fell back in the manufacturing industry (−0.6%, after +0.4% in April)

In May 2018, output fell back in the manufacturing industry (−0.6%, after +0.4% in April). It decreased slightly in the whole industry (−0.2% after −0.5%).

Manufacturing output decreased over the last three months (−0.5%), as well as in the overall industry (−0.8%).

Output decreased markedly in mining and quarrying, energy, water supply (−2.3%), in the manufacture of machinery and equipment goods (−1.2%), in the manufacture of transport equipment (−1.0%) and more moderately in "other manufacturing" (−0.4%). It tumbled in the manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products (−14.7%). Conversely, it grew in the manufacture of food products and beverages (+1.3%).

06:50
Options levels on tuesday, July 10, 2018 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1884 (1940)

$1.1847 (2592)

$1.1821 (155)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1743

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1696 (1787)

$1.1662 (2992)

$1.1623 (3065)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date August, 13 is 78697 contracts (according to data from July, 9) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1600 (4284);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3409 (830)

$1.3368 (661)

$1.3340 (669)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3248

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3186 (1462)

$1.3158 (1404)

$1.3127 (1868)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date August, 13 is 21673 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3600 (3189);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date August, 13 is 24789 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3100 (2432);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.14 versus 1.01 from the previous trading day according to data from July, 9.

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

06:45
France: Industrial Production, m/m, May -0.2% (forecast 0.7%)
06:12
Japan: Prelim Machine Tool Orders, y/y , 11.4%
01:46
Australia: National Australia Bank's Business Confidence, June 6 (forecast 8)
01:30
China: CPI y/y, June 1.9% (forecast 1.9%)
01:30
China: PPI y/y, June 4.7% (forecast 4.5%)

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