CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 01-10-2014

(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Light Crude 90.70 -0.03%

Gold1,213.50 -0.16%

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei 225 16,082.25 -91.27 -0.56%

S&P/ASX 200 5,334.13 +41.32 +0.78%

FTSE 100 6,557.52 -65.20 -0.98%

CAC 40 4,365.27 -50.97 -1.15%

Xetra DAX 9,382.03 -92.27 -0.97%

S&P 500 1,946.16 -26.13 -1.32%

NASDAQ Composite 4,422.09 -71.31 -1.59%

Dow Jones 16,804.71 -238.19 -1.40%

(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,2617 -0,10%

GBP/USD $1,6181 -0,20%

USD/CHF Chf0,9563 +0,15%

USD/JPY Y108,98 -0,57%

EUR/JPY Y137,50 -0,68%

GBP/JPY Y176,33 -0,78%

AUD/USD $0,8732 -0,15%

NZD/USD $0,7781 -0,40%

USD/CAD C$1,1161 -0,31%

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

00:00 China Bank holiday

01:00 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m August -5.7%

01:30 Australia Building Permits, y/y August +9.4%

01:30 Australia Building Permits, m/m August +2.5% +1.1%

01:30 Australia Trade Balance August -1.36 -0.78

05:15 Australia RBA Annual Report

08:30 United Kingdom PMI Construction September 64.0 63.7

09:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index, MoM August -0.1% -0.2%

09:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index (YoY) August -1.1% -1.1%

11:45 Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision 0.05% 0.05%

12:30 Eurozone ECB Press Conference

12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims September 293 299

14:00 U.S. Factory Orders August +10.5% -9.2%

23:30 Australia AIG Services Index September 49.4

West Texas Intermediate oil rose from a 17-month low after U.S. crude supplies dropped to the least since January. Brent rebounded from the lowest level in more than two years in London.

Crude stockpiles slipped 1.36 million barrels to 356.6 million, according to an Energy Information Administration report today. Inventories were forecast to rise by 1.5 million barrels, according to a Bloomberg survey of analysts. Prices will probably rebound this quarter as Saudi Arabia cuts output and global demand increases, according to UBS AG and Barclays Plc.

"Prices are up because of these inventory numbers," Bob Yawger, director of the futures division at Mizuho Securities USA Inc. in New York, said by phone. "We're going to probably see futures move to the $93-$94 area. The slide has been stopped for the time being."

WTI for November delivery advanced $1.24, or 1.4 percent, to $92.40 a barrel at 10:58 a.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Futures traded at $91.94 before the release of the EIA data at 10:30 a.m. in Washington. Futures slid $3.41 to $91.16 yesterday, the biggest one-day decline since November 2012.

Brent for November settlement gained $1.02, or 1.1 percent, to $95.69 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. Yesterday's close of $94.67 was the lowest since June 28, 2012. The European benchmark crude traded at a $3.29 premium to WTI.

Gold prices rose to a minimum of nine months, in spite of the strong dollar and weak demand in China, the largest consumer.

In September, the precious metal fell by 6 per cent, which was the highest decline since June 2013, and the first time this year, finished the quarter in the red.

Dollar exchange rate on Wednesday rose to a six-year high against the yen and is close to a two-year peak against the euro.

"As long as the dollar continues to rise, the price of gold will fall. They are kept up to $ 1,200, but can fall below this mark, if the dollar continues to rally," - wrote in the report, analysts HSBC.

Some pressure on the dollar have data on manufacturing activity in the United States. Final data, published by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), showed that in September manufacturing activity in the United States deteriorated, thus surpassing the average forecast of economists.

PMI index for the industrial sphere of the United States fell in September to 57.5 points versus 59.0 points in August, and preliminary values ​​at the level of 57.9 points. A reading above 50 indicates expansion of industrial activity. Note that the last reading was below the estimates of experts - is expected to decrease to 58.6. Meanwhile. became known, the sub-index of production fell to 59.6 in September from 60.7 in August, while the employment component rose to 56.4 from 54.6.

The world's largest reserves of the gold-exchange-traded fund SPDR Gold Trust Tuesday fell by 2.39 tonnes to 769.86 tonnes - the lowest level since December 2008.

Chinese markets are closed next week for the National Day. Meanwhile in Hong Kong continues thousands of performances fighters for democracy, which is opposed to the police.

The cost of the October gold futures on the COMEX today rose to 1218.60 dollars per ounce.

EUR/USD: $1.2600(E1.7bn), $1.2650(E1.0bn), $1.2700(E480mn), $1.2750(E1.2bn), $1.2775(E665mn), $1.2800(E2.0bn)

USD/JPY: Y109.00($225mn), Y109.60($500mn), Y110.00($740mn)

GBP/USD: $1.6200(stg100mn), $1.6225(stg100mn)

EUR/GBP: Stg0.7775(E970mn), stg0.7850(E1.9bn), stg0.7900(E1,2bn)

USD/CHF: Chf0.9450($260mn)

AUD/USD: $0.8850(A$287mn)

USD/CAD: C$1.1100($186mn), C$1.1145-60($316mn), C$1.1200($175mn)

U.S. stock-index futures declined as tensions in Ukraine increased and investors weighed payrolls data.

Global markets:

Nikkei 16,082.25 -91.27 -0.56%

FTSE 6,574.1 -48.62 -0.73%

CAC 4,376.42 -39.82 -0.90%

DAX 9,433.48 -40.82 -0.43%

Crude oil $91.64 (+0.53%)

Gold $1213.80 (+0.13%)

(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)

Upgrades:

Downgrades:

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) downgraded to Mkt Perform from Outperform at Bernstein

Other:

EUR/USD

Offers $1.2820/30, $1.2800, $1.2780/85, $1.2760, $1.2700

Bids $1.2560/50, $1.2500

GBP/USD

Offers $1.6425/30, $1.6400/10, $1.6325/30, $1.6285

Bids $1.6160, $1.6100, $1.6050

AUD/USD

Offers $0.8900, $0.8850, $0.8795/00, $0.8765

Bids $0.8660, $0.8650, $0.8600

EUR/JPY

Offers Y140.00, Y139.70, Y139.30

Bids Y137.90, Y137.50, Y137.00

USD/JPY

Offers Y111.00, Y110.10

Bids Y109.00, Y108.70, Y108.45

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.7890, stg0.7850, stg0.7830

Bids stg0.7755/45, stg0.7700

EUR/USD: $1.2600(E1.7bn), $1.2650(E1.0bn), $1.2700(E480mn), $1.2750(E1.2bn), $1.2775(E665mn), $1.2800(E2.0bn)

USD/JPY: Y109.00($225mn), Y109.60($500mn), Y110.00($740mn)

GBP/USD: $1.6200(stg100mn), $1.6225(stg100mn)

EUR/GBP: Stg0.7775(E970mn), stg0.7850(E1.9bn), stg0.7900(E1,2bn)

USD/CHF: Chf0.9450($260mn)

AUD/USD: $0.8850(A$287mn)

USD/CAD: C$1.1100($186mn), C$1.1145-60($316mn), C$1.1200($175mn)

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2764 (1817)

$1.2726 (1975)

$1.2671 (443)

Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.2618

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2564 (6268)

$1.2530 (1675)

$1.2490 (1563)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date October, 3 is 65355 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (4936);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date October, 3 is 63335 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2600 (6268);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.97 versus 1.00 from the previous trading day according to data from September, 30

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.6500 (2726)

$1.6400 (1759)

$1.6301 (1692)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.6193

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.6098 (3626)

$1.5999 (2009)

$1.5900 (2165)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date October, 3 is 33375 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6700 (3649);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date October, 3 is 42300 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6300 (4582);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.27 versus 1.29 from the previous trading day according to data from September, 30

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.