EUR/CHF is probing the base of a Triangle pattern it has formed over the last three months (see chart below). It has broken below the bottom of the Triangle on an intraday but not a closing basis. That said, the base seems weakened and vulnerable to finally giving way.
A break below the 0.9339 November 13 low would probably confirm more weakness down to the next downside target at 0.9132, the 61.8% Fibonacci extrapolation of the height of the Triangle lower.
The bearish trend prior to the formation of the Triangle (Since May 27) further tips the odds in favor of a downside evolution.
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