For now, the most interesting G10 pair remains USD/JPY, ING’s FX Francesco Pesole notes.
“After clearing the 151.3 200-day moving average level, there is no clear technical resistance level into 155.0. The Japanese Yen (JPY) slump is both a function of higher USD yields and domestic political risk premium ahead of next weekend’s election.”
“The lack of verbal intervention by Japanese authorities so far has probably built speculative sellers' confidence, but we still think any threat of fresh FX intervention can lead to a material USD/JPY correction given the success of the latest Bank of Japan operations.”
“If the Minister of Finance stays quiet on the yen, 155.0 becomes a very tangible risk before the US election.”
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