Dovish comments from ECB Governors Simkus and Kazaks support market expectations for a further reduction in ECB rates in December, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
“But there is little appetite for large reductions in rates, comments suggest, which perhaps means markets expectations are a little stretched (32bps priced in for December at this point). EUR/USD is likely to remain under pressure in the short run but bargain hunters may become a bit more active around 1.08.”
“A decent rebound in the EUR late last week does not appear to signal a reversal in the EUR’s recent slide. The sell-off is looking over-extended on the intraday and daily oscillators but a firm cap appears to have been set on spot rebounds at 1.0872, where the 200-day MA sits currently.”
“Minor gains from Thursday’s low appear corrective ahead of renewed losses. Support is firm at 1.0780/00. Weakness below there targets 1.0650/00.”
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