Market news
01.10.2024, 00:10

BoJ Summary of Opinions: Member indicates readiness to adjust degree of easing if outlook is realized

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) published the Summary of Opinions from its September monetary policy meeting on September 19 and 20, with the key findings noted below. 

Key quotes

Japan's economy has been recovering moderately, with steady price rises.

Economic activity and prices are generally on track, with moderate growth expected.

Concerns exist regarding the impact of U.S. economic uncertainties on Japan, including exchange rates and corporate profits.

The Bank will maintain its current accommodative stance but will adjust if economic conditions improve.

There are no immediate plans for further rate hikes, emphasizing stability and careful communication. 

Market reaction 

Following the BoJ’s Summary of Opinions, the USD/JPY pair is gaining 0.08% on the day to trade at 143.75, as of writing.

Bank of Japan FAQs

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is the Japanese central bank, which sets monetary policy in the country. Its mandate is to issue banknotes and carry out currency and monetary control to ensure price stability, which means an inflation target of around 2%.

The Bank of Japan embarked in an ultra-loose monetary policy in 2013 in order to stimulate the economy and fuel inflation amid a low-inflationary environment. The bank’s policy is based on Quantitative and Qualitative Easing (QQE), or printing notes to buy assets such as government or corporate bonds to provide liquidity. In 2016, the bank doubled down on its strategy and further loosened policy by first introducing negative interest rates and then directly controlling the yield of its 10-year government bonds. In March 2024, the BoJ lifted interest rates, effectively retreating from the ultra-loose monetary policy stance.

The Bank’s massive stimulus caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers. This process exacerbated in 2022 and 2023 due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks, which opted to increase interest rates sharply to fight decades-high levels of inflation. The BoJ’s policy led to a widening differential with other currencies, dragging down the value of the Yen. This trend partly reversed in 2024, when the BoJ decided to abandon its ultra-loose policy stance.

A weaker Yen and the spike in global energy prices led to an increase in Japanese inflation, which exceeded the BoJ’s 2% target. The prospect of rising salaries in the country – a key element fuelling inflation – also contributed to the move.

 

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