Another drop in the eurozone manufacturing PMI yesterday and the composite index dropping into contractionary territory, FX strategist Chris Turner notes.
“Yesterday's swathe of PMI data took its toll on the rates markets (two-year EUR swap rates off 7bp) and the Euro.”
“Were it not for the global inflationary environment EUR/USD would look more vulnerable under 1.1100. For the time being, however, we slightly favour this 1.1100-1.1150 range to hold, with the best news for EUR/USD potentially coming with US price data on Friday.”
“As above, we continue to see the possibility of EUR/AUD trading lower and expect that the trend could extend to 1.60. Helping the move is the consistently hawkish Reserve Bank of Australia. The RBA remains definitely on inflation-watch and looks unlikely to cut rates this year.”
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