Market news
24.07.2024, 04:59

EUR/USD hangs near two-week low, below mid-1.0800s ahead of Eurozone PMIs

  • EUR/USD drifts lower for the second straight day and drops to a nearly two-week low.
  • The ECB’s dovish outlook continues to undermine the Euro and exerts some pressure.
  • September Fed rate cut bets cap the USD and should lend support ahead of flash PMIs.

The EUR/USD pair prolongs its recent corrective slide from the vicinity of mid-1.0900s, or a four-month high touched last week, and remains under some selling pressure for the second straight day on Wednesday. This also marks the fourth day of a negative move in the previous five and drags spot prices to a nearly two-week low, around the 1.0840 region during the Asian session. 

The shared currency is undermined by the European Central Bank's (ECB) downbeat view of the Eurozone's economic prospects and expectations that inflation would keep falling, which left the door for a rate cut in September wide open. The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, has strengthened to its highest level since July 11 amid an uptick in the US Treasury bond yields. Apart from this, a softer risk tone benefits the Greenback's relative safe-haven status and contributes to the offered tone surrounding the EUR/USD pair. 

Meanwhile, the markets seem convinced that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will lower borrowing costs in September and have been pricing in the possibility of two more rate cuts by year-end. This, in turn, could act as a headwind for the US bond yields and the Greenback. Furthermore, traders could unwind the 'Trump trade' amid increasing chances that US Vice President Kamala Harris will clinch the Democratic nomination. This might further contribute to capping the USD upside and lend some support to the EUR/USD pair. 

Traders might also prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of this week's key US macro data – the release of the Advance Q2 GDP print on Thursday and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data. In the meantime, the flash Eurozone/US PMIs will be looked upon for short-term trading opportunities later this Wednesday. Nevertheless, the aforementioned mixed fundamental backdrop warrants some caution before placing aggressive bearish bets around the EUR/USD pair and positioning for further losses.

Economic Indicator

HCOB Composite PMI

The Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), released on a monthly basis by S&P Global and Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB), is a leading indicator gauging private-business activity in the Eurozone for both the manufacturing and services sectors. The data is derived from surveys to senior executives. Each response is weighted according to the size of the company and its contribution to total manufacturing or services output accounted for by the sub-sector to which that company belongs. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month and can anticipate changing trends in official data series such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), industrial production, employment and inflation. The index varies between 0 and 100, with levels of 50.0 signaling no change over the previous month. A reading above 50 indicates that the private economy is generally expanding, a bullish sign for the Euro (EUR). Meanwhile, a reading below 50 signals that activity is generally declining, which is seen as bearish for EUR.

Read more.

Next release: Wed Jul 24, 2024 08:00 (Prel)

Frequency: Monthly

Consensus: 51.1

Previous: 50.9

Source: S&P Global

 

© 2000-2024. All rights reserved.

This site is managed by Teletrade D.J. LLC 2351 LLC 2022 (Euro House, Richmond Hill Road, Kingstown, VC0100, St. Vincent and the Grenadines).

The information on this website is for informational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice.

The company does not serve or provide services to customers who are residents of the US, Canada, Iran, The Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Yemen and FATF blacklisted countries.

AML Website Summary

Risk Disclosure

Making transactions on financial markets with marginal financial instruments opens up wide possibilities and allows investors who are willing to take risks to earn high profits, carrying a potentially high risk of losses at the same time. Therefore you should responsibly approach the issue of choosing the appropriate investment strategy, taking the available resources into account, before starting trading.

Privacy Policy

Use of the information: full or partial use of materials from this website must always be referenced to TeleTrade as the source of information. Use of the materials on the Internet must be accompanied by a hyperlink to teletrade.org. Automatic import of materials and information from this website is prohibited.

Please contact our PR department if you have any questions or need assistance at pr@teletrade.global.

Bank
transfers
Feedback
Live Chat E-mail
Up
Choose your language / location