Market news
18.07.2024, 13:11

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD recovers slightly yet remains below $30.50

  • Silver prices edge up 0.30%, trading at $30.35 after a sharp 3% decline.
  • Technical outlook remains bullish, supported by the 50-DMA at $30.16 and RSI above the 50-neutral line.
  • Key resistance at $30.50 and $31.00; support levels at 50-DMA and $29.48, with a critical psychological barrier at $29.00.

Silver's price edged up early in the North American session but remained below the psychological figure of $30.50 after posting losses of more than 3% on Wednesday. Rising US Treasury yields and a stronger US Dollar weighed on the precious metal, which trades at $30.35 and registers gains of 0.30%.

XAG/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The grey metal remains bullish-biased, capped on the downside by the 50-day moving average (DMA) at $30.16. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) clings above the 50-neutral line, depicting that momentum favors buyers; hence, further upside is seen.

For a bullish continuation, the XAG/USD must climb above $30.50 so buyers can test the $31.00 mark. On further strength, Silver’s next resistance would be the July 17 peak at $31.42, before testing July 12 high at $31.75.

If the grey metal weakens further, the XAG/USD first support would be the 50-DMA before testing the July 3 daily low of $29.48. A breach of the latter will expose the $29.00 psychological figure.

XAG/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

Silver FAQs

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.

 

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