Market news
13.06.2024, 03:27

WTI remains on the back foot below $78.00 mark and two-week top touched on Wednesday

  • WTI is undermined by a surprise build in US inventories and lower demand growth forecast by IEA.
  • The Fed’s hawkish surprise lifts the USD and weighs on the dollar-denominated commodity.
  • The lack of strong follow-through selling warrants caution before positioning for deeper losses.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US crude Oil prices trade with a mild negative bias during the Asian session on Thursday, albeit lack bearish conviction and remain well within the striking distance of a nearly two-week high touched the previous day. 

Official data published by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday showed that US Crude inventories grew by 3.7 million barrels in the first week of June. Adding to this, the International Energy Agency (EIA), in its monthly report, trimmed the outlook for Oil demand growth in 2024 by 100,000 barrels per day to 960,000 bpd. Apart from this, some follow-through US Dollar (USD) buying, bolstered by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish surprise, further seems to undermine USD-denominated commodities, including Crude Oil prices.

The Fed kept interest rates unchanged at the end of a two-day policy meeting and now see the benchmark rate falling to 5.1% this year, suggesting just one rate cut in 2024 as compared to three estimated in March. The shift in projection provides a modest lift to the US Treasury bond yields and assists the USD to build on the overnight bounce from the weekly low touched in the aftermath of softer US consumer inflation figures. That said, persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East might continue to lend some support to Crude Oil prices and limit losses. 

Market participants now look to the US economic docket, featuring the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) and the usual Weekly Initial Jobless Claims data later during the early North American session. This, along with the US bond yields and the broader risk sentiment, will influence the USD and provide some impetus to Oil prices. The aforementioned fundamental backdrop, meanwhile, warrants some caution before positioning for a firm near-term direction.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price 77.84
Today Daily Change -0.14
Today Daily Change % -0.18
Today daily open 77.98
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 77.25
Daily SMA50 80.04
Daily SMA100 79.23
Daily SMA200 79.27
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 78.98
Previous Daily Low 77.59
Previous Weekly High 77.36
Previous Weekly Low 72.46
Previous Monthly High 81.25
Previous Monthly Low 76.04
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 78.45
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 78.12
Daily Pivot Point S1 77.39
Daily Pivot Point S2 76.8
Daily Pivot Point S3 76
Daily Pivot Point R1 78.77
Daily Pivot Point R2 79.57
Daily Pivot Point R3 80.16

 

 

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