Market news
26.03.2024, 00:16

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD extends rally above $2,170 amid weaker US Dollar, geopolitical tension risks

  • Gold Price extends gains around $2,171 amid the weaker USD.
  • The upward momentum of gold prices is supported by the expectations of rate cuts by the Fed this year. 
  • The escalating geopolitical tensions in both Eastern Europe and the Middle East might lift the gold price. 

Gold Price (XAU/USD) extends its upside above the mid-$2,150 during the early Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The expectations of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year and the dovish remarks from Fed officials weigh on the US Dollar (USD) and provide some support to the US Dollar-denominated Gold. At the press time, gold price is trading at $2,171, adding 0.04% on the day. 

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the value of the USD against a weighted basket of currencies used by US trade partners, retreats from multi-week peaks of 104.50 and hovers around 104.20. The US Treasury bond yields edge slightly higher, with the 10-year yield standing at 4.25%.

The uptick in yellow metal is driven by higher bets on the rate cut expectation in 2024. However, traders will closely monitor the US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) data for February on Friday for confirmation on the timing of rate cuts. The headline PCE is forecast to show an increase of 0.4% MoM, while the Core figure is expected to rise by 0.3% MoM. Traders have priced in a 70% probability of a June rate cut, versus 65% before the Fed's March meeting last week.

Russia carried out one of its most massive missile and drone attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure overnight into Friday since the start of its full-scale invasion more than two years ago, per CNN. That being said, the rising geopolitical tensions in both Eastern Europe and the Middle East could boost the safe-haven flows and benefit the gold price. 

Looking ahead, market players will focus on US Consumer Confidence by the Conference Board, Durable Goods Orders, and the FHFA’s House Price Index on Tuesday. Later this week, the US Gross Domestic Product Annualized for the fourth quarter (Q4) will be due on Thursday, and the US PCE report will be released on Friday. 

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 2172.9
Today Daily Change 1.81
Today Daily Change % 0.08
Today daily open 2171.09
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 2138.89
Daily SMA50 2069.88
Daily SMA100 2044.32
Daily SMA200 1985.22
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 2181.35
Previous Daily Low 2163.6
Previous Weekly High 2223.22
Previous Weekly Low 2146.16
Previous Monthly High 2065.49
Previous Monthly Low 1984.26
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 2174.57
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 2170.38
Daily Pivot Point S1 2162.68
Daily Pivot Point S2 2154.26
Daily Pivot Point S3 2144.93
Daily Pivot Point R1 2180.43
Daily Pivot Point R2 2189.76
Daily Pivot Point R3 2198.18

 

 

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