US markets re-open today after an uneventful Monday for global markets. Economists at ING markets’ outlook.
The US calendar is unlikely to be a big driver today. China is once again the focus as banks reduced their five-year loan prime rates by a record 25 bps to 3.95% overnight, the first move of this kind since June. This kind of monetary easing has a generally higher impact on the property market, but once again markets have shown little enthusiasm.
We favour a strong Dollar in the near term as US data remains supportive, but this looks increasingly to be the perfect recipe for range-bound trading.
In DXY terms, 104.00/105.00 may hold as a range in the short run.
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