The Indian Rupee (INR) has traded in a slightly wider range in the last month, after months of tight trading around the 83.30 level against the US Dollar (USD). Economists at ING analyze USD/INR outlook.
At 83.10, the INR is not much stronger than it has been, but it looks as if maybe the Reserve Bank of India is going to be a bit more tolerant of appreciation and practice more asymmetric currency management.
Inflation has crept up towards the top of the RBI’s inflation target range, though this is almost all food-related, and will likely drop back closer to 5% in the near term. However, we still don’t see the RBI easing until after the Fed’s first move.
USD/INR – 1M 83.00 3M 83.00 6M 83.00 12M 84.00
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