The GBP/JPY is getting knocked around in a tug-of-war as the softening Pound Sterling (GBP) gets stuck in place against the Japanese Yen (JPY), and the GBP/JPY sees a rough intraday range between 185.80 and 185.20.
Chances of a topside recovery for the GBP/JPY withered early Wednesday after the latest semi-annual Financial Stability Report from the Bank of England (BoE). The UK’s central bank continues to see an environment full of challenges and downside risks, with vulnerabilities within the financial system specifically. The only hawkish note for the Financial Stability Report was noting that the UK banking system remains well-capitalized.
Thursday kicks off a Japan-heavy data docket in the back half of the week with Japanese Foreign Bond and Stock Investment, as well as Japanese Foreign Reserves. Friday brings a Japanese quarterly GDP update, which is expected to hold steady at a -0.5% print for the third quarter.
Friday will close out the trading week with an update on Consumer Inflation Expectations from the BoE, which last showed UK consumers expected inflation to land at 3.6% over the following twelve months.
Intraday action sees the GBP/JPY getting squeezed into the end with prices getting propped up at the 185.20 level, a technical barrier firming up into likely-to-break support if Yen flows don’t reverse.
The 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) is turning bearish from 186.80 as near-term momentum tilts towards the downside.
The GBP/JPY has closed down for six of the last seven consecutive trading session, and a thin downside for Wednesday looks set to chalk in a fourth straight decline with the Pound Sterling slightly back against the Yen, down roughly a tenth of a percent on the day.
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