- Analytics
- News and Tools
- Market News
- Event risk of the September FOMC meeting not a particularly bearish one for the Dollar – ING
Event risk of the September FOMC meeting not a particularly bearish one for the Dollar – ING
The Dollar is going into the September Fed meeting at the strongest levels since March. Economists at ING analyze USD outlook.
Few reasons for Dollar to hand back gains, yet
The concept of US ‘exceptionalism’ (both in growth and interest rates) looms large over the market and as yet there have been few reasons to bet against the Dollar.
The event risk of the September FOMC meeting does not seem a particularly bearish one for the Dollar. We are not expecting the Fed to call time on its tightening cycle. And by leaving one more hike in the dot plot, the Fed can avoid yields at the long end of the bond market slipping too far and providing premature stimulus. Indeed, the greater risk might be the Fed scaling down its dot plot median forecast of a 100 bps easing cycle in 2024.
A hawkish September FOMC does not mean the USD has to rally a lot. But assuming there are no surprises, it probably means ideas of a prolonged pause in the policy cycle will see interest rate volatility fall even further and demand for the carry trade stay strong.
© 2000-2024. All rights reserved.
This site is managed by Teletrade D.J. LLC 2351 LLC 2022 (Euro House, Richmond Hill Road, Kingstown, VC0100, St. Vincent and the Grenadines).
The information on this website is for informational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice.
The company does not serve or provide services to customers who are residents of the US, Canada, Iran, The Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Yemen and FATF blacklisted countries.
Making transactions on financial markets with marginal financial instruments opens up wide possibilities and allows investors who are willing to take risks to earn high profits, carrying a potentially high risk of losses at the same time. Therefore you should responsibly approach the issue of choosing the appropriate investment strategy, taking the available resources into account, before starting trading.
Use of the information: full or partial use of materials from this website must always be referenced to TeleTrade as the source of information. Use of the materials on the Internet must be accompanied by a hyperlink to teletrade.org. Automatic import of materials and information from this website is prohibited.
Please contact our PR department if you have any questions or need assistance at pr@teletrade.global.
Bank transfers
