EUR/USD reverses from weekly top while posting the first daily loss in three around 1.0860 heading into Wednesday’s European session. In doing so, the Euro pair marks the trader’s positioning for today’s top-tier German and the US data while taking a U-turn from a convergence of the 100-SMA and a downward-sloping resistance line from mid-July.
It’s worth noting that the RSI (14) line’s retreat joins the likely easing of the German inflation clues to weigh on the EUR/USD prices.
However, the pullback needs validation from the US data and a three-week-old rising support line, close to 1.0770 to convince the Euro bears. Following that, a slump toward May’s low of around 1.0635 can’t be ruled out.
In a case where the EUR/USD bears keep the reins past 1.0635, the yearly bottom marked in March around 1.0515 will be in the spotlight.
Alternatively, an upside break of the 1.0890 resistance confluence comprising the 100-SMA and a downward-sloping resistance line from July 18 could aim for the previous weekly high of around 1.0930 and the 50% Fibonacci retracement of May-July upside, near 1.0955.
Should the bears remain in control after 1.0955, the 200-SMA level of around 1.0980 and the 1.1000 psychological magnet will be in the spotlight.
Trend: Pullback expected
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