The US Dollar Index (DXY) has recovered strongly but despite this strength analysts at Credit Suisse view this as a temporary rally before the risk turns lower in due course.
The DXY continues to recover strongly but despite this, our bias for now remains to see this as temporary and corrective following the completion of a large bearish ‘triangle’ continuation pattern, and we thus stay bearish and look for an eventual resumption of the core downtrend.
Price and 55-DMA resistance at 102.56/64 need to cap on a closing basis to maintain our negative stance for a fall back to 99.58/50 ahead of what we would look to be better support at the 61.8% retracement of the 2021/2022 uptrend and 200-week average at 98.98 and 98.26 respectively.
A close above 102.64 though would suggest the DXY is back on a broad and choppy range and the current recovery can extend further yet to the July high and 200-day average at 103.57/93 but with a better cap expected here.
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