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- EUR/USD could break back above 1.1000 on a soft ECI number – ING
EUR/USD could break back above 1.1000 on a soft ECI number – ING
Thursday proved a bad day back in the office for EUR/USD. Economists at ING analyze the pair’s outlook.
ECI to the rescue
The ECB press conference proved a negative for the Euro as ECB President Lagarde backed away from a September rate hike and seemed to acknowledge both softer activity data and welcome disinflation. This was not really a bloodbath for the Euro – indeed the trade-weighted Euro did not move too much, nor did two-year rate differentials. It just so happened that we had some strong US data coming out at the same time.
If we are right today with our call for a soft ECI number, we could see EUR/USD breaking back above 1.1000 and starting to trace out the kind of 1.1000-1.1150 range over the coming sessions.
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