USD/JPY rebounded sharply last week. Economists at OCBC analyze the pair’s outlook ahead of BoJ meeting.
Our house view still expects the BoJ to move away from YCC, NIRP regime at some stage this year as inflationary pressures broaden; growth outlook improves and upward pressure on wage growth remains intact.
In the event BoJ surprises on Friday, then we may see USD/JPY turn lower as markets may be caught wrongfooted.
We believe the risk for USD/JPY is asymmetric going into the MPC.
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