S&P 500 needs to clear 4410 to ease immediate thoughts of a correction lower for strength back to 4448, potentially 4500/4535, which analysts at Credit Suisse look to cap.
Above resistance at 4400/10 is needed to ease the immediate threat for a more concerted correction lower for strength back to the 4448/53 current cycle high, then the channel top at 4500. With major resistance seen just above here at 4513/4535 – the 78.6% retracement of the 2022 downtrend and ‘reversal day’ high from late April 2022 – we continue to look for a more important top here.
A close below 4346/28 would suggest a near-term top is already in place and a deeper correction lower can indeed emerge. We would then see support next at 4299/92, ahead of the 4261 early June reaction low, where we would expect fresh buyers to show at first.
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