After facing a resistance trendline, which intersects with the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), the USD/CHF dropped and extended its losses for two straight days. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF is trading at 0.9133, up 0.08%, as Friday’s Asian session begins.
The USD/CHF slid from the 0.9200 mark as the US Dollar (USD) weakened across the FX board. Furthermore, the USD/CHF pair is downward biased, though to further cement its bearish case, the major needs to break below the March 13 swing low at 0.9070. Once cleared, the USD/CHF pair would test the YTD lows at 0.9059, which, once cleared, could open the door towards 0.9000. On the flip side, buyers reclaim the 20-day EMA at 0.9215, and the major could test 0.9300.
Short term, the USD/CHF4-hour chart portrays a triple bottom forming, though it is at the brisk of being invalidated if the spot price tumbles and extends below 0.9118. If buyers keep the price above the latter, the chart pattern will remain in play. If the USD/CHF breaks above the daily pivot at 0.9150, the next resistance would be 0.9180, followed by March 30 high at 0.9200. Once cleared, the next reistace would be the 100-EMA at 0.9218, ahead of the 200-EMA at 0.9244.
In an alternate scenario, if the USD/CHF pair dwindles below 0.9118, that would pave the way to test the YTD low at 0.9059.
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