EUR/JPY is lower at the start of the week, down some 0.12% and has been pressured to a low of 143.69 so far having slipped from a high of 144.07. Hotter-than-expected data has helped the US Dollar to strengthen against many of its major peers this week, leaving the crosses somewhat in consolidation.
EUR/JPY remains between familiar range boundaries although the upside has been in play for the most part as traders aim to break into the 144s. The divergence between the central banks has been supporting the Euro over of the Yen with European Central Bank last hiking hawkishly, as it all but confirms a third 50bp hike in March. ''Although the ECB may slow down after next month, Lagarde signalled that March will not mark the final hike. We have raised our forecast accordingly,'' analysts at Rabobank explained. ''We expect a 50bp hike in March, followed by two 25bp hikes in Q2 to a terminal rate of 3.50%.''
As for the Bank of Japan, the incoming Governor has not been ruffling too many market feathers. He thinks the right path forwards is to continue monetary easing while devising ways to respond to the current situation, Jit Juckes at Societe Generale said.
''In other words, we should expect more tinkering with yield curve control, but not tighter monetary policy. Yen bulls got no help from Mr Ueda, nor did they get any from the latest weekly securities flow data. The only thing preventing USD/JPY from continuing to retrace towards 140 is the dip in Treasury yields yesterday.''
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