Economists at Credit Suisse believe USD/JPY has seen an important peak in 2022 and look for further weakness to 127.47/27.
“The surprise BoJ tweak to their Yield Curve Control (YCC) framework should further reinforce the likelihood for continued weakness into Q1 2023 and reinforce the view that we have seen a major peak in USD/JPY in 2022.”
“We maintain our target of 127.47/27, which is the 50% retracement of the 2021/2022 bull trend and more importantly the ‘neckline’ to the 2007/2022 base, and this is where we will look for a potentially important floor to define the lower end of a broad range.”
“Should weakness extend directly below 127.27 and key price support at 126.36, we would see scope for the sell-off to extend to the 61.8% retracement of the 2021/2022 uptrend at 121.44.”
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