The USD is trading generally lower as the Q4 consolidation in the 2022 rally extends. Economists at Scotiabank believe that the greenback is set to suffer a sizeable corerction.
“Broadly, we think the USD is poised to remain relatively firm in the short run but we do think the long run USD rally is looking over-extended and prone to a sizeable correction.”
“Seasonal pressures (USD-negative) are working as expected and should exert a little more negative influence on the broader trend in the next few weeks, assuming year-end liquidity pressures remain contained.”
“A sharper fall in the USD may have to wait until investors are more convinced the Fed tightening cycle is complete.”
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