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25.08.2022, 21:19

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears back on the prowl, eyes on 135.50 still

  • USD/JPY weekly W-formation is a reversion pattern (the lower time frame H4 Gartley), which leaves a bearish tendency on the charts.
  • The neckline of the formation opens risk to a move below 38.2% and towards the 50% mean reversion point near 134.70.

As per the prior analysis, USD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears are stepping on the gas and a move to 135.50 could be on the cards,  the bears stepped in and remain in charge while below critical resistance as per the following analysis:

USD/JPY H4 chart

The Gartley is a reversion pattern that predicts that the price will reverse from point D. The price, in this instance, is finding resistance and could be above to make a significant move to the downside as follows:

The price has met the resistance of an M-formation and is now decelerating there with sights on a move to test the W-formation's neckline near 136.70. A break of that will open prospects of a move to test the recent lows of the last bullish leg around 136.20 that is guarding the 38.2% Fibonacci level of the weekly bullish impulse near 135.50:

USD/JPY weekly chart

The weekly W-formation is a reversion pattern (the lower time frame H4 Gartley). The neckline of the formation opens risk to a move below 38.2% and towards the 50% mean reversion point near 134.70. This makes 135 a compelling round-figure target for the week ahead. 

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