The euro is trading heavily near 1.0450. A break below 1.0350 would open up additional losses toward parity, economists at BBH report.
“The break below 1.0515 sets up a test of the May 13 low near 1.0350 and after that, we have to start talking about parity.”
“We think the rising risks of fragmentation are a major factor behind subsequent euro weakness. Markets were very disappointed by the lack of any concrete measures to address peripheral spreads, which are making new cycle highs as a result. Reports had hinted at some sort of new emergency bond-buying program but all we got was a pledge to use PEPP reinvestments to address the issue. That wasn't enough and so the euro is plumbing new depths.”
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