Economists at Westpac expect the EUR/USD pair to trade within a 1.05-1.09 range in the short-term. What’s more, the common currency is unlikely to enjoy sustained medium-term upside given ongoing geopolitical threats.
“Temporary supply chain disruptions from China’s covid lockdowns will account for some of the April activity weakness. But a more sustained real income squeeze stemming from Europe’s geopolitical threats won’t subside anytime soon. Europe natural gas prices continue to trade near all-time highs.”
“The ECB is unlikely to ultimately deliver on the 225bp in rate hikes priced by OIS markets through end-2023.”
“EUR is likely to be held in a 1.05-1.09 range near term.”
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